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Gold Investments Market Update - U.S. and Russian Warships in Black Sea as Tensions Escalate



-- Posted Monday, 25 August 2008 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | Source: GoldSeek.com

 

Gold

Gold finished trading in New York on Friday at $827.00, down $6.30 and silver was down 26 cents to $13.50 after a very strong week. Gold and silver fell in Asian and in early European trading this morning. Gold is trading at $821.30/821.70 per ounce (1030 GMT).

Gold has fallen this morning on flat oil prices, a stronger dollar (EUR/USD 1.4743) and profit taking after last week's more than 5% gain. Equity markets internationally are mixed on continuing fears regarding the outlook for the global economy.

The geopolitical situation remains fraught and this should lead to gold remaining firm this week.

U.S. and Russian Warships in Black Sea as Tensions Escalate
The Russian parliament has voted to recognize South Ossetia and Abkhazia which will not do much for sharply deteriorating relations between Russia and NATO. Nor will the fact that US warships have docked in a strategic Black Sea port and are engaged in routine exercises. Washington says the guided missile destroyer that sailed into the port was carrying blankets and baby food. But Russia has denounced the presence of NATO vessels in the Black Sea, saying it will only further destabilise the region. And there was evidence of tensions elsewhere in the Black Sea when Russian ships returned from Georgia to the Ukrainian port of Sevastopol. Moscow leases its naval base there from Ukraine, which backed Georgia in the conflict.

Huge Physical Demand Versus a Lack of Coin Blanks
Physical demand remains very robust in the US, India, the Middle East and Asia. Reuters reports that dealers in Singapore and Hong Kong are also experiencing tight supply for gold bars. The large international refiner, Johnson Matthey has recently had an 8-10 week delay for 100 ounce silver bars and now they are no longer taking orders.

Clearly, this is about a lot more than blanks for coins and this is very important and should not be downplayed and underestimated.

Gold and Silver Investments Limited cannot buy or source American Eagles (1 ozt) from some of the largest wholesaler dealers in the US (we also cannot source Krugerrands (1ozt) from some of the largest wholesaler dealers in the US for the first time ever). These large wholesalers are supplied coins by the government mints and bars by refineries.  These are not recent strikes or 2008 freshly minted coins rather we cannot source any year of these coins which have been minted for years (Krugerrands since 1967 and Eagles since 1986). A lack of blanks can only affect coins that are being minted now in 2008.

They also receive inventories when they make a market and buy back bullion from retailers. However, there has been minimal selling in recent weeks and months and very significant buying. Besides problems regarding bullion coins, there are issues securing silver bars (1 , 10 and 100 ozt) from wholesalers who are finding to difficult to secure adequate supply from refiners. While it should be acknowledged that there are blank issues with regard to some bullion coins especially the Silver Eagles and Silver Maples (1 ozt),  this is clearly more to do with an unprecedented level of demand and a lack of supply rather than a lack of blanks.

The bottom line is that this lack of supply and huge demand will result in materially higher prices in the coming weeks - otherwise these supply/demand issues will become even sharper and the lack of availability of certain smaller bullion products will likely spread to other bullion products and may "move up the value chain" and affect the larger bar market as well.

Today's Data and Influences

The data release calendar is light today with just US existing home sales for July due for release.

Gold and Silver

Gold is trading at $821.30/821.70 per ounce (1030 GMT).
Silver is trading at $13.31/13.37 per ounce (1030 GMT).

PGMs

Platinum is trading at $1408/1418 per ounce (1030 GMT).
Palladium is trading at $285/290 per ounce (1030 GMT).

 

Financial Regulation: Gold & Silver Investments Limited trading as Gold Investments is regulated by the Financial Regulator as a multi-agency intermediary. Our Financial Regulator Reference Number is 39656. Gold Investments is registered in the Companies Registration Office under Company number 377252. Registered for VAT under number 6397252A. Codes of Conduct are imposed by the Financial Regulator and can be accessed at www.financialregulator.ie or from the Financial Regulator at PO Box 9138, College Green, Dublin 2, Ireland. Property, Commodities and Precious Metals are not regulated by the Financial Regulator

Disclaimer: The information in this document has been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable. We cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment. Any person acting on the information contained in this document does so at their own risk. Recommendations in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Individual circumstances should be considered before a decision to invest is taken. Investors should note the following: The value of investments may fall or rise against investors’ interests. Income levels from investments may fluctuate. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value of, or income from, investments denominated in foreign currencies. Past experience is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

All the opinions expressed herein are solely those of Gold & Silver Investments Limited and not those of the Perth Mint. They do not reflect the views of the Perth Mint and the Perth Mint accepts no legal liability or responsibility for any claims made or opinions expressed herein.


Fair Use Notice: This newsletter contains copyrighted material the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. We are making such material available in our efforts to advance understanding of issues of financial and economic significance. At all times we credit and attribute the copywrite owner and publication.We believe this constitutes a 'fair use' of any such copyrighted material as provided for in Copyright Law. The material on this site is distributed without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for economic research purposes. If you wish to use copyrighted material from this site for purposes of your own that go beyond 'fair use', you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.

Gold Investments
63 Fitzwilliam Square
Dublin 2
Ireland

Ph +353 1 6325010
Fax  +353 1 6619664
Email info@gold.ie
Web www.gold.ie


Gold Investments
Tower 42, Level 7
25 Old Broad Street
London
EC2N 1HN
United Kingdom
Ph +44 (0) 207 0604653
Fax +44 (0) 207 8770708
Email info@goldinvestments.org
Web www.goldinvestments.org
Mission Statement
Gold and Silver Investments Limited hope to inform our clientele of important financial and economic developments and thus help our clientele and prospective clientele understand our rapidly changing global economy and the implications for their livelihoods and wealth.
We focus on the medium and long term global macroeconomic trends and how they pertain to the precious metal markets and our clienteles savings, investments and livelihoods. We emphasise prudence, safety and security as they are of paramount importance in the preservation of wealth.

Gold and Silver Investments Ltd. have been awarded the MoneyMate and Investor Magazine Financial Analyst of 2006.


-- Posted Monday, 25 August 2008 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com




 



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