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G20 Meeting Nets Little More than Platitudes



-- Posted Tuesday, 18 November 2008 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | Source: GoldSeek.com

The Morning Gold Report by Peter A. Grant

Nov 18 a.m. (USAGOLD) -- Gold continues to trade within the recent range in the wake of this past weekend's G20 meeting. While the yellow metal remains in 'wait and see' mode, the stock market has reacted negatively to perceived G20 inaction.

The leaders of the twenty largest economies in the world met in Washington over the weekend to discuss the global financial crisis. While it was unlikely that a solution would be discovered, little more came out of the meeting than platitudes about greater oversight and cooperation.

As we discussed in our most recent USAGOLD RoundTable discussion, government efforts to address the financial crisis and re-instill confidence in global markets have thus far been unsuccessful. If anything, inconsistencies and changes to existing plans have further eroded confidence in the government's ability to shepherd us through this mess.

Despite much hype, the G20 had little to offer. There did seem to be some consensus that the global economy was in need of additional fiscal stimulus. China has already announced a massive fiscal stimulus package geared at sustaining growth.

Should we be expecting a check from the government in our Christmas stockings this year, or will Congress withhold so the new administration can grace us with their largess next year? Perhaps all our dollars are destined for the banking and auto industries.

Yesterday, Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Hoenig said, "I think the Fed has done about as much as it can do." Meanwhile, the ECB's Noyer said that global policy makers have more room to act. Just two days after the G20 meeting it's apparent that coming up with a consistent message was not on the agenda. That makes even the platitudes somewhat suspect.

I'm no PR flak, but it seems the first step in generating confidence is to have a consistent message from the parties that are presumably managing the situation. If the Fed and the ECB aren't on the same page, can we assume the G20 is in disarray with each country scrambling to protect their own interests?

Fed Chairman Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Paulson will appear before the House Financial Services Committee this morning. They will be answering questions on TARP as well as the various Fed liquidity facilities. The proposed bailout of the auto industry is likely to come up as well. My guess is that the questioning is going to be pretty heated.

At this point, I think it's reasonably to anticipate more of the same: Even lower interest rates. And more money will be thrown at the problem. Perhaps some of that money will make it to the consumer level, but the bottom line is that global currencies are likely destined for further debasement.

This is exactly the environment where physical gold admirably serves its role as a preserver of wealth. Wealth manager Pura Saxena sums it up nicely in an article entitled Deflation Hoax, saying, "I would suggest that you take advantage of the recent rout in the markets by converting more of your cash to hard assets."

Gold Market Movers:

US TIC data shows net inflows of $143.4 bln in Sep.

U.S. PPI for Oct plunged a record 2.8%, but core was a higher than expected +0.4%.

UK CPI for Oct 4.5% y/y, versus 5.2% in Sep.

Why gold is down, but you can't get your hands on any

Gold investors to "buy the dips" as Mid-East ramps up buying

Fed's work here is done

Citi cuts 52,000 more jobs

Darling spells out terms of bank bail-outs

Opinions expressed in commentary on the USAGOLD.com website do not constitute an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any precious metals product, nor should they be viewed in any way as investment advice or advice to buy, sell or hold. Centennial Precious Metals, Inc. recommends the purchase of physical precious metals for asset preservation purposes, not speculation. Utilization of these opinions for speculative purposes is neither suggested nor advised. Commentary is strictly for educational purposes, and as such USAGOLD - Centennial Precious Metals does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information found here.

Pete Grant is the Senior Metals Analyst and an Account Executive with USAGOLD - Centennial Precious Metals. He has spent the majority of his career as a global markets analyst. He began trading IMM currency futures at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in the mid-1980's. In 1988 Mr. Grant joined MMS International as a foreign exchange market analyst. MMS was acquired by Standard & Poor's a short time later. Pete spent twelve years with S&P - MMS, where he became the Senior Managing FX Strategist. As a manager of the award-winning Currency Market Insight product, he was responsible for the daily real-time forecasting of the world's major and emerging currency pairs, along with the precious metals, to a global institutional audience. Pete was consistently recognized for providing invaluable services to his clients in the areas of custom trading strategies and risk assessment. The financial press frequently reported his personal market insights, risk evaluations and forecasts. Prior to joining USAGOLD, Mr. Grant served as VP of Operations and Chief Metals Trader for a Denver based investment management firm.


-- Posted Tuesday, 18 November 2008 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com




 



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