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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up December 20-26, 2004
Gold-Seeker.com



Market Analysis from CapitalUpdates.com:

 

Notice: A truncated version of Gold Seeker Closing report will be posted next week.  The normal Gold Seeker Closing Report will resume January 3rd. 

 

Very thin volume in all aspects of the markets highlighted Thursday’s action as a slew of overall disappointing economic reports sent the dollar to yet another new record low versus the euro.

 

Thursday morning brought Durable Orders for November beating the expected 0.7% at 1.6%, but without autos, Durable Goods fell 0.8%.  Initial Claims for 12/18 came in lower than the expected 335,000 at 333,000, Personal Income for November beat the expected 0.2% at 0.3%, and Personal Spending for November came in less than the expected 0.3% at 0.2%.  The revised reading of Michigan Sentiment for December beat the expected 95.7 at 97.1 and New Home Sales for November came in much less than the expected 1,200,000 at 1,125,000.

 

While Durable Orders, Initial claims, and Michigan Sentiment were overall pleasing economically, New Home Sales really disappointed.  People saving more and spending less than were expected is good for them personally, but it is not good economically, at least in the short term.  While some economists find it troubling that Personal Spending is low, Americans need to save more than they spend in order to stay afloat in the long term and combat any credit bubble that may be out there.  Overall, a very mixed economic picture to end this holiday shortened week.

 

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The Yukos auction was defended by Russian President Putin today as the oil company has essentially become a state-owned entity in order to combat the privatization of companies that took place in Russia in the early 1990’s.  While this is something that is not viewed as very favorable by the West, Putin likely doesn’t care and the U.S. can’t do much about it since we need their oil.  Oil ended the day lower by $0.06 to $44.18 as investors fully digest this bizarre situation.  For the week, oil is down by $2.10 or 4.54% after its 13.68% gain last week.

 

The 10-Year Treasury note yield gained 0.017 points on Thursday and is up by 0.21% on the week to 4.218%.  The March 2005 US Treasury bond lost 06/32 to 112 09/32 on Thursday.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P all traded slightly higher in thin volume on Thursday and ended with 0.10%, 0.17%, and 0.05% gains, respectively.  The Dow and S&P sit at 3 and ½ year highs while the Nasdaq sits just 10.65 points away from 3 and ½ year highs.  For the week, the Dow is by 177.20 or 1.66% to 10827.12, the Nasdaq is up by 25.42 points or 1.19% to 2160.62, and the S&P is up by 15.91 points or 1.33% to 1210.13.

 

The U.S. dollar index lost 0.65 points to 81.33 on Thursday and is down by 0.79 points or 0.96% on the week.  The euro made a new all time high of 135.03 before falling off a bit and ending with a 0.91 points gain on Thursday to 134.85.  The yen gained 0.35 points on Thursday to 96.39.  For the week, the euro is up by 2.04 points or 1.54% and the yen is up by 0.55 points or 0.57%.

 

Notice:  Holiday Schedules:

 

Markets:

Friday Dec 24 - US markets closed all day. Canadian markets open until 1PM EST.

Monday Dec 27 - US markets open normal hours.  Canadian markets closed.

Tuesday Dec 28 - US markets open normal hours.  Canadian markets closed.

Wednesday Dec 29 - US and Canadian markets open as normal.

 

NYMEX Schedule:

Friday Dec 24 - Electronic trading closed December 23; reopens 7 PM, December 26.

Friday Dec 31 - Electronic trading closed December 30; reopens 7 PM, January 2, 2005

Dec 23 and 30- Energy markets, including NYMEX ClearPortsm clearing, close at 1 PM.  Aluminum and palladium close at 12 noon; copper and silver at 12:05 PM; and platinum and gold at 12:10 PM.

 

This week’s economic reports:

 

Statistics

 

New Home Sales - November

1125K v. 1278K

 

Mich Sentiment-Rev. - December

97.1 v. 95.7

 

Personal Income - November

0.3% v. 0.6%

 

Personal Spending - November

0.2% v. 0.8%

 

Initial Claims - 12/18

333K v. 316K

 

Durable Orders - November

1.6% v. -0.9%

 

GDP - Final Q3

4.0% v. 3.9%

 

Chain Deflator - Final Q3

1.4% v. 1.3%

 

Leading Indicators - November

0.2% v. -0.4%

 

Gold & Silver Report from GoldSeek.com & SilverSeek.com:

 

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

5644706

-96

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

104036600

-

 

COT reports will be released Monday.

 

Gold and silver fell lower in after hours trade yesterday but regained their losses by the open of New York trade on Thursday and traded slightly higher in tight trade to solidify gains for the week.  Gold gained $1.50 to $441.50 and silver gained $0.09 to $6.87.  For the week, gold is up by $0.10 and silver is up by $0.12.

 

The XAU, HUI, and GDM were almost 2% higher in early trade on Thursday before falling off slightly for the rest of the day and ending with 0.18%, 0.68%, and 0.60% gains, respectively.  For the week, the XAU is up by 0.97 points or 0.99% to 99.30, the HUI is up by 1.2 points or 0.56% to 216.09, and the GDM is up by 4.67 points or 0.68% to 687.50.

 

Gold & Silver Stock News Update from GoldReview.com:

 

Much more news surrounding Newmont’s pollution problems in Indonesia, Richmont Mines’ private placement, Crystallex’s debt offering, Harmony’s three year low due to the rand, Anglogold Ashanti’s agreement with Trans-Siberian Gold, Rio Narcea’s joint venture with C2C inc., Arizona Star’s new policy for Insider Options, and Western Silver’s equity financing were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today; get the full stories at http://www.goldreview.com/.  Access our archives here and use the menu on the left hand side in order to navigate through all of our stories.

                                                                                         

- Written by Chris Mullen

 

à Special offer: Try a 6-month $99.99 six-month subscription today and receive a receive one of the following free offers: 

 

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The Gold Seeker Closing Report is a free edition providing a daily wrap-up of gold & gold-related news.  For more in-depth analysis of the gold markets, subscribe to Gold Seeker.

 

All sources are given within the report and most articles can be found as they are released at http://www.capitalupdates.com/, http://www.goldseek.com/, http://www.silverseek.com/, and http://www.goldreview.com/.

 

© Gold Seeker 2004

Note: The following article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. GoldSeek.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond GoldSeek.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  GoldSeek.com and employees associated with Gold Seek LLC do not trade the stocks mentioned in stock reports for one week prior to and one week following publication. The information presented in stock reports are not a specific buy or sell recommendation and is presented solely for informational purposes only.  The author/publisher may or may not have a position in the securities and/or options relating thereto, & may make purchases and/or sales of these securities relating thereto from time to time in the open market or otherwise outside of the trading timeframe listed above. GoldSeek.com may have been compensated for their services in preparing and publishing this report. Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted Thursday, December 23 2004




 



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