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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up – Gold Falls & Silver Gains on the Day & Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Friday, 18 August 2006 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$611.90

-$3.40

-3.38%

Silver

$11.97

+$0.02

+0.84%

XAU

140.77

+0.32%

-1.04%

HUI

327.13

+0.01%

-1.16%

GDM

1042.21

+0.17%

-0.95%

JSE Gold

2832.49

-2.24%

-4.51%

USD

85.09

+0.06

-0.46%

Euro

128.18

-0.01

+0.76%

Yen

86.29

+0.18

+0.43%

Oil

$71.14

+$1.08

-4.32%

10-Year

4.835%

-0.032

-2.66%

Bond

109.625

+0.3125

+1.24%

Dow

11381.47

+0.41%

+2.65%

Nasdaq

2163.95

+0.29%

+5.16%

S&P

1302.30

+0.37%

+2.81%

 

The Metals:

 

CoT Reports Released: Gold | Silver

 

Gold fell slightly in Asia, rebounded to find small gains in London, and climbed near $620 in early New York trade, but it then fell off throughout most of the rest of trade and dropped to as low as $606.90 before it rebounded in the last minutes of trade and ended 0.55% lower on the day.  Silver followed a very similar pattern, but its rebound in the last minutes of trade took it higher on the day and it was able to end with a gain of 0.17%.

 

Euro gold remained under €480, platinum lost $13 to $1,204, palladium lost $1 to $330, and copper rose over 5 cents to about $3.40.

 

Gold and silver opened higher, fell about 2% by late morning, and then rallied into the close to end slightly higher on the day.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Michigan Sentiment

Aug

78.7

84.0

84.7

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

Michigan Sentiment - August

78.7 v. 84.7

 

Philadelphia Fed - August

18.5 v. 6.0

 

Leading Indicators - July

-0.1% v. 0.1%

 

Initial Claims 8/12

312K v. 322K

 

Capacity Utilization - July

82.4% v. 82.3%

 

Industrial Production - July

0.4% v. 0.8%

 

CPI - July

0.4% v. 0.2%

 

Core CPI - July

0.2% v. 0.3%

 

Housing Starts - July

1795K v. 1841K

 

Building Permits - July

1747K v. 1862K

 

Net Foreign Purchases - June

$75.1 v. $63.6B

 

NY Empire State Index - August

10.3 v. 16.6

 

PPI - July

0.1% v. 0.5%

 

Core PPI - July

-0.3% v. 0.2%

 

Next week’s economic highlights include Existing Home Sales on Wednesday and Durable Goods Orders, Initial Jobless Claims, and New Home Sales on Thursday.

 

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The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil came into New York higher and briefly fell under $70 in morning trade, but it quickly rebounded and rose for the rest of trade to close with over $1 gains as traders watched a developing storm in the Gulf.

 

The U.S. dollar index fell after China hiked interest rates and continued to drop after the soft Michigan Sentiment report, but it rebounded in late trade and ended slightly higher on speculation that inflation fears may resurface and influence the fed to continue to raise interest rates.

 

Treasuries rose on the poor Michigan Sentiment data.  The yield on the 10-year fell to a new 4 and ½ month low.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P fell in early trade on poor earnings and disappointing Michigan Sentiment data, but they steadily rose throughout trade and ended slightly higher despite the fact that oil ended near its highs.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Altria, Reynolds American, Microsoft, Ford, J.M. Smucker, Time Warner, Escondida, Dell, and Tivo.

 

The Commentary:

 

“Another day to enjoy the pool for awhile. There was little reason to watch the markets after another blatant assault on the gold price on the Comex … vintage Gold Cartel. This time they made their move after a firm AM Fix of $630.75, but before the PM Fix of $625.50. Once the PM Fix was over, gold had rallied a bit due to good physical demand, they attacked with a second wave mugging that knocked the crud out of it.

 

Gold and silver love to fill gaps left below the market, which is one reason I loathe higher openings most of the time. It didn’t take both of these metals long to do just that after strong openings this morning. It was downhill from there on in.”- From yesterday’s Midas report by Bill Murphy of LemetropoleCafe.com

 

“December Gold closed down 3.6 at 621.7. This was 5.2 up from the low and 7.1 off the high.

 

September Silver finished up 0.035 at 12.03, 0.11 off the high and 0.17 up from the low.

 

After giving back early gains and tracking moderately lower on the session the gold market mounted a weak afternoon recovery. Some traders suggested that the bounce was inspired by week ending short covering while others suggested that renewed tensions with Iran might have prompted some fresh speculative buying ahead of the week end. With a quasi reversal in the energy complex the return of flight to quality concerns might have actually been seen in the trade. Other traders suggested that talk of a more favorable seasonal pattern ahead inspire the short covering/fresh buying but it was clear at times during the session that weak US economic readings were serving to pressure gold prices.

 

It is possible that silver continued to see the benefit of a favorable World Silver survey and it is also likely that the overt strength in the copper market served to embolden the bull camp in silver. In fact, some traders are suggesting that with the favorable long term fundamental condition depicted in the World Silver Survey, it is possible that silver will be seen as a purer investment play than gold, as gold is periodically seeing negative influences from economic slowing, currency impacts and the ebb and flow of geopolitical events.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Sprott raises stake in NovaGold; Barrick confident of keeping Donlin Creek

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 08/17/2006

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

8,179,118

+295

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

103,296,358

+ 673,869

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

Streettracks Gold Shares

388.98

12,506,073

US$ 7,821m

LSE (London Stock Exchange) AND Euronext Paris

Gold Bullion Securities

78.19

2,514,020

US$ 1,546m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

9.78

314,051

US$ 193m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

11.13

357,784

US$ 223m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data:  The LSE subtracted 0.01 ounces and the ASX added 0.07 ounces.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 08/17/2006

 

Total Net Assets

$853,148,555

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,386,595.482

Shares Outstanding

13,950,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

43.13

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 08/17/2006

 

Total Net Assets

$1,189,358,661

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

96,909,651

Shares Outstanding

9,700,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

3,014.2

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Claude’s (CGR) new board member and Newmont’s (NEM) arbitration over Uzbekistan's actions were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Taseko Mines

TGB +9.73% $2.48

2.  Minco Mining

MMK +8.28% $1.57

3.  Orezone

OZN +7.64% $1.55

 

LOSERS

1.  Northgate

NXG -3.57% $3.51

2.  Great Basin

GBN -3.24% $1.49