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Gold Seeker Closing Report – Gold & Silver End Mixed & Near Unchanged
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Wednesday, 15 November 2006 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$622.50

-$1.50

Silver

$12.86

+$0.05

XAU

138.14

+0.66%

HUI

330.49

+0.69%

GDM

1053.60

+0.88%

JSE Gold

2840.21

-2.10%

USD

85.34

+0.05

Euro

128.20

-0.08

Yen

84.70

-0.39

Oil

$58.76

+$0.48

10-Year

4.615%

+0.047

T-Bond

112.78125

-0.50

Dow

12251.71

+0.28%

Nasdaq

2442.75

+0.50%

S&P

1396.57

+0.24%

 

The Metals:

 

Gold fell near $620 in Access trade late yesterday ahead of a rebound back near unchanged in Asia, but it then fell back off in London and dropped to as low as $615.00 in early New York trade before it rallied throughout most of the rest of trade and ended just 0.24% lower.  Silver followed a similar pattern and fell to as low as $12.45 in early New York trade before it rallied a bit stronger than gold in late New York trade and ended with a gain of 0.39%.

 

Euro gold remained at about €485, platinum lost $4 to $1,168, palladium gained $1 to $318, and copper lost a few cents to about $3.09.

 

Gold and silver equities opened over 1% lower, rallied higher and found over 1% gains by early afternoon, dropped off a bit into the close, and ended with near 1% gains.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

NY Empire State Index

Nov

26.7

14.0

22.9

 

“Minutes from the Fed's Oct. 24-25 meeting showed the central bank's governors remain more worried about inflation than the risk the economy would slow too quickly under higher interest rates. Investors seemed to be buying on the notion that the Fed had struck a balance between taming inflation and keeping the economy from falling into recession.”

 

Tomorrow at 8:30 AM EST brings CPI for October expected at -0.5%, Core CPI expected at 0.2%, and Initial Jobless Claims for 11/11 expected at 308,000.  At 9AM are Net Foreign Purchases for September expected at $71.0 billion, at 9:15AM are Capacity Utilization for October expected at 82.0% and Industrial Production expected at 0.3%, and at noon is the Philadelphia Fed survey expected at 5.0.

Join SilverSeek.com & GoldSeek.com in San Francisco November 26-27!

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil rose as crude inventories came in about as expected, but gasoline and distillate inventories fell much more than expected.  Crude inventories rose 1.3 million barrels, gasoline inventories fell 3.7 million barrels, and distillate inventories fell 3.6 million barrels.

 

The U.S. dollar index rose and treasuries fell as the NY Empire State Index came in better than expected and raised expectations for future rate hikes or at least reduced hopes for a possible cut in rates, but any gains in the dollar moderated by the close ahead of tomorrow’s CPI data.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P rose on merger activity and on confidence that the fed has inflation under control.  The Dow closed at a new record high.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were McDonald’s, Boeing, US Airways and Delta, Tyco, Euronext and NYSE, and Texas Pacific and Clear Channel.

 

The Commentary:

 

“Unreal, The Gold Cartel did it again, taking gold down AFTER the PM Fix. The lousy action caused others to bail out and the locals began to press the short side. Gold fell to key support at $619 (the dollar had stopped retreating at that point). Talk about blatant interference in the market! This is beyond ridiculous again.

 

What newer Café members need to understand, it is not always so much what gold and the other markets do, it is the way it is done … with such consistency. Free markets DO NOT trade like this.” - From yesterday’s Midas report by Bill Murphy of LemetropoleCafe.com

 

“December Gold finished down 1.5 at 623.8, 2 off the high and 7.8 up from the low.

 

December Silver closed up 0.055 at 12.945. This was 0.445 up from the low and 0.025 off the high.

 

The gold market showed definitive weakness early in the action Wednesday but managed to throw off most of the weakness into the afternoon trade. Apparently the improvement in the US macro economic outlook inspired some would be buyers and even more surprising is the fact that the Dollar seemed to fail in the wake of the improved US view. With oil prices forging gains and the equity market charging repeatedly into new high ground, the environment seems to have shifted back away from the patently deflationary view that was drifting into place after the PPI report early in the week. In fact, seeing the equity market charging consistently higher into the end of the year could bolster physical demand expectations, which were already being given an additional boost during the session Wednesday, in the wake of upbeat World Gold Council Industrial demand growth projections. In short, the gold market seemed to have dodged a patently bearish collection of events, but the trade is still generally concerned with the overall direction of the US Dollar. With the FOMC meeting minutes released late in the session, suggesting that US inflation remains uncomfortably high, it is likely that some gold bulls enticed back into the long side of the market late in the session.

 

In looking back at private estimates released during the session Wednesday, it seems like the classical supply and demand components in silver were dealt a bit of a blow. However, in the end it does seem like the trade discounted Gold Fields’ forecasts of rising mine production and sagging fabrication demand. It does seem like the silver market is honed in on the action in the gold market and is therefore less sensitive to its internal fundamentals. On the other hand, exchange stocks of silver are creeping higher and that might not mix well with concerns of rising mine output and leveling demand. However, seeing energy and equity prices rise consistently does seem to have tempered the deflationary concerns that were starting to permeate the silver trade early in the week and some traders hope that will contribute to a bottoming effort.” - The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Silver smashdown imminent

China should 'pick right time' and buy gold, government economist says

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 11/14/2006

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,524,997

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

107,631,280

+ 593,372

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

412.67

13,267,795

US$ 8,317m

LSE (London Stock Exchange) AND Euronext Paris

Gold Bullion Securities

90.34

2,904,457

US$ 1,808m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

10.31

331,186

US$ 206m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

9.88

317,760

US$ 199m

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data:  The NYSE added 3.08 tonnes and the ASX added 0.06 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 11/14/2006

 

Total Net Assets

$851,569,701

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,365,342.180

Shares Outstanding

13,750,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

42.47

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 11/14/2006

 

Total Net Assets

$1,345,596,551

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

104,735,443

Shares Outstanding

10,500,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

3,257.6

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Quarterly reports released after the bell yesterday from Goldcorp (GG), Apollo Gold (AGT), Vista Gold (VGZ), Ivanhoe (IVN), North American Palladium (PAL), Miramar (MNG), New Gold (NGD), Gammon Lake (GRS), Crystallex (KRY), Endeavour (EDR.TO), and Bema Gold (BGO), Claude’s (CGR) completed private placement, Almaden’s (AAU) closed private placement, Pacific Rim’s (PMU) new gold zone, Great Basin’s (GBN) drill results, Miramar’s (MNG) drill results, Kimber’s (KBX) personnel addition and drilling update, International Royalty’s (ROY) quarterly revenue, ECU’s (ECU.V) additional properties, Silvercorp’s (SVM.TO) donation, Arian Silver’s (ACQ.V) private placement, and Bear Creek’s (BCM.V) drill results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  Crystallex

KRY +12.59% $3.22

2.  Gold Reserve

GRZ +10.26% $5.05

3.  Fronteer

FRG +5.53% $8.01

 

LOSERS

1.  DRDGOLD

DROOY-1.67% $1.18

2.  Banro

BAA -1.51% $13.05

3.  Richmont

RIC  -1.06% $2.80

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

ECU Silver Mining Inc.: Acquires Two Additional Properties - "ECU Silver Mining Inc. 'the Company' is pleased to announce the acquisition of two new properties in Mexico. The company considers both acquisitions to be important land claims that will compliment and enhance our current land base in Mexico." More
- November 15, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Crosshair Exploration and Mining Corp.: Further Drilling to Commence at Golden Promise - More
- November 15, 2006 | Item | E-mail


ESO Uranium Corp. Welcomes Kurt Bordian as Chief Financial Officer - More
- November 15, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Claude Resources Inc. completes private placement offering - "Claude Resources Inc. is pleased to announce that it has completed the non-brokered private placement offering previously announced on October 20, 2006. The offering consisted of a total of 3,333,028 shares, issued on a flow-through basis, at a price of Cdn $1.65 per share, for gross proceeds of Cdn $5,499,496.20." More
- November 15, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Gold Canyon Undertakes Private Placement for US$629,250 - More
- November 15, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Goldcorp looks to future after results disappoint - "Goldcorp Inc.'s quarterly numbers may have disappointed the market, but the gold miner suggests investors should look ahead to a time when when its $8.6 billion purchase of Glamis will reap rewards. Goldcorp's third-quarter results fell short of analyst expectations on lower output, sending its shares down 3 percent early on Wednesday. But by mid-afternoon the stock had recovered, and was unchanged at C$31.66 on the Toronto Stock Exchange and at $27.79 in New York." More
- November 15, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Silvercorp Donates RMB1.25 Million Yuan Towards the Construction of a Youth Center in Luoning County, Henan Province, China - "Silvercorp Metals Inc. is committed to contributing to the growth and prosperity of communities in which it is active. As part of this commitment, Silvercorp's 77.5%-owned subsidiary, Henan Found Mining Co. Ltd. has donated RMB yens 1.25 million (approximately US$159,000)towards the construction of the Henan Found Youth Recreation and Activity Center, in Luoning county of Henan province, China." More
- November 15, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Eagle Plains Increases Financing - More
- November 15, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Amera Resources Corporation: Private Placement Announced - More
- November 15, 2006 |