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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up – Gold & Silver Fall Over 2% & 1% on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Friday, 8 December 2006 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$626.80

-$4.70

-2.84%

Silver

$13.75

-$0.12

-1.57%

XAU

143.65

-1.70%

-2.72%

HUI

345.03

-2.08%

-2.50%

GDM

1097.46

-1.81%

-2.56%

JSE Gold

2912.12

+0.89%

-5.31%

USD

83.32

+0.57

+1.03%

Euro

132.05

-0.84

-0.92%

Yen

85.88

-0.94

-0.99%

Oil

$62.03

-$0.46

-2.21%

10-Year

4.552%

+0.069

+2.87%

Bond

113.3125

-0.75

-1.15%

Dow

12307.49

+0.24%

+0.93%

Nasdaq

2437.36

+0.40%

+1.00%

S&P

1409.84

+0.18%

+0.94%

 

The Metals:

 

Gold traded mostly slightly higher in Asia, fell a couple dollars in London, found about $5 gains for most of morning trade in New York, dropped about $10 from its highs after the dollar found strength on some comments from treasury secretary Paulson a little at 11:30AM EST, and closed near its lows with a loss of 0.74%.  Silver traded mostly slightly lower in Asia and London before it found nearly 10 cent gains in morning New York trade, but it also fell off after Paulson’s comments and ended near its lows with a loss of 0.87%.

 

Euro gold fell slightly but remained near €475, platinum lost $17 to $1,106, palladium remained unchanged at $326, and copper rose about a penny to roughly $3.08.

 

Gold and silver equities rose about 1% at the open, but they soon fell off and closed with about 2% losses.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Nonfarm Payrolls

Nov

132K

105K

79K

Unemployment Rate

Nov

4.5%

4.5%

4.4%

Hourly Earnings

Nov

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

Average Workweek

Nov

33.9

33.9

33.9

Michigan Sentiment

Dec

90.2

92.0

92.1

 

The BLS net birth/death adjustment added 29,000 jobs to November’s payrolls.  Services added 172,000 payrolls while builders cut 29,000 jobs.

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Michigan Sentiment - December

90.2 v. 92.1

 

Average Workweek - November

33.9 v. 33.9

 

Hourly Earnings - November

0.2% v. 0.4%

 

Unemployment Rate - November

4.5% v. 4.4%

 

Nonfarm Payrolls - November

132K v. 79K

 

Consumer Credit - October

-$1.2B v. $4.0B

 

Initial Claims - 12/02

324K v. 358K

 

ISM Services - November

58.9 v. 57.1

 

Factory Orders - October

-4.7% v. 1.7%

 

Productivity - Q3

0.2% v. 0.0%

 

Next week’s economic highlights include Wholesale Inventories on Monday, the Trade Balance, Treasury Budget, and FOMC policy statement on Tuesday, Retails Sales and Business Inventories on Wednesday, Initial Jobless Claims and Export and Import Prices on Thursday, and CPI, the NY Empire State Index, Net Foreign Purchases, Capacity Utilization, and Industrial Production on Friday.

 

Timberline Resources Corp. [OTC-BB: TBLC]

Upside Through DiscoveryRecord Revenues - Drilling Services

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil rose for most of trade on worries over violence in Nigeria and more talk about another OPEC cut, but it fell off by the close and ended nearly 1% lower on warm weather forecasts and uncertainty about OPEC’s meeting next week.

 

The U.S. dollar index initially rose after the jobs report before it fell back off as traders looked into the report and saw a sharp drop in construction jobs and Michigan Sentiment came in lower than expected, but it then rose after a CNBC interview with treasury secretary Paulson a little after 11:30AM EST.  Paulson spoke about a strong economy and said China needs more foreign exchange flexibility.  Although more foreign exchange flexibility means a stronger yuan, traders somehow interpreted that as bullish for the dollar.  Perhaps talk about a strong economy reignited some hopes for an interest rate increase, rather than a cut, next year.

 

Treasuries fell after the jobs report came in mostly strong, especially in the service sector.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P rose on an overall stronger than expected jobs report that reduced concerns the economy is slowing too quickly.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Citigroup, Bank of America and Barclays, and McDonald’s.

 

The Commentary:

 

“The assault on gold has been relentless this past week. It fell to $624.60 before recovering smartly on the close to finish higher. Why the orchestrated recent takedown?

 

*Could be because of the dire nature of the Baker/Hamilton report on Iraq.

 

*Could have something to do with the coming Bernanke/Paulson trip to China.

 

There is talk circulating in the smart money circles that China is going to insist the US raise interest rates to defend the dollar. If we don’t, word is, they are going to pull out of the dollar to a substantial degree.

 

If this talk is even close to the mark, the US is in big trouble, either way. The dollar goes or our financial/real estate markets go.”- From yesterday’s Midas report by Bill Murphy of LemetropoleCafe.com

 

“Whipsaw price action in the US Dollar created a very volatile day in the gold market as currency movements seem to be the biggest influence of the precious metals markets recently. Gold was initially pushed down early in Friday's session as a better than expected Nov payroll number rallied the Dollar. But the Dollar soon sold off and gold rebounded on a soft U of M mid-December sentiment reading. By mid session however, Dollar friendly comments by the US Treasury Secretary and his somewhat negative comments on the Chinese Yuan reversed the Dollar's direction to the upside once again with a tremendous wave of Dollar buying and Yen selling that put pressure on the gold market for the balance of the session. Other supportive news for gold had little influence on today's trade, but included a major brokerage firm touting the bullish supply/demand fundamentals for gold and lifting their 2007 though 2010 price projections. Also, the chief finance officer at South African's Gold Fields Ltd said he did not expect to see the big hedge position at the recently acquired South Deep mine to exist for a long period.

 

The silver market followed gold's lead as a gyrating Dollar created yo-yo price action. With the Dollar seeing a surge in short covering buying, March silver ended the day in negative territory. The Nov payroll data did show declines in construction and factory jobs and as an industrial metal the softness in these sectors is somewhat disappointing. While silver did not see the type of aggressive buying that developed during Thursday's action as prices dipped, rising speculative fund buying in silver through exchange traded silver funds is a source of support that could limit a technical pull back in the market. A more volatile trade is likely to be seen as volume begins to thin as the end of the year approaches.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Leading Asian economist urges joint action on dollar

In glitter and glory, the Rock of All Ages

Gold is magnificent at the museum but it is no museum piece

Asian Development Bank official urges management of dollar's fall

IMF said ready to propose proper accounting for central bank gold

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 12/07/2006

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,491,102

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

109,265,772

-

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

441.52

14,195,233

US$ 8,910m

LSE (London Stock Exchange) AND Euronext Paris

Gold Bullion Securities

90.32

2,903,718

US$ 1,816m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

10.53

338,464

US$ 212m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

9.88

317,680

US$ 202m

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data:  The NYSE subtracted 0.16 tonnes and the ASX added 0.05 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 12/07/2006

 

Total Net Assets

$862,417,105

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,364,906.469

Shares Outstanding

13,750,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

42.45

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 12/07/2006

 

Total Net Assets

$1,512,821,536

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

110,677,928

Shares Outstanding

11,100,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

3,442.5

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 31 tonnes were added to the trust.

 

The Stocks:

 

Gold Fields’ (GFI) offer for Western Area’s (WARJ.J), Kimber’s (KBX) newsletter, Newmont’s (NEM) selling of their stake in an Indonesian mine, and Avino’s (ASM.V) corporate update were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Almaden

AAU +2.97% $2.42