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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold & Silver Gain Over 3% & 5% on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Friday, 12 January 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

Note: All US markets will be closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Day.

 

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$625.40

+$12.90

+3.35%

Silver

$12.78

+$0.43

+5.45%

XAU

134.78

+2.49%

+1.31%

HUI

320.12

+3.28%

+1.91%

GDM

1028.84

+2.69%

+1.46%

JSE Gold

2731.95

-0.55%

-1.53%

USD

85.03

-0.25

+0.44%

Euro

129.22

+0.37

-0.68%

Yen

83.07

+0.07

-1.44%

Oil

$52.99

+$1.11

-5.90%

10-Year

4.771%

+0.034

+2.69%

Bond

110.8125

-0.375

-1.20%

Dow

12556.08

+0.33%

+1.27%

Nasdaq

2502.82

+0.72%

+2.82%

S&P

1430.73

+0.49%

+1.49%

 

The Metals:

 

Gold traded mostly slightly lower in Asia, mostly slightly higher in London, and came into New York about a dollar lower.  It next rose over 1% in midmorning trade, remained near its highs for the rest of the morning, and then more than doubled its gains in afternoon trade and closed with a gain of 2.11%.  Silver followed a very similar pattern and closed with a gain of 3.48%.

 

Euro gold rose to about €485, platinum gained $15 to $1,146, palladium gained $6 to $330, and copper fell roughly 8 cents to about $2.49.

 

Gold and silver equities rose throughout trade and ended near their highs with about 3% gains.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Import Prices

Dec

1.1%

0.6%

0.5%

Import Prices ex-oil

Dec

0.4%

-

0.9%

Export Prices

Dec

0.7%

0.3%

0.4%

Export Prices ex-ag.

Dec

0.5%

-

0.1%

Retail Sales

Dec

0.9%

0.7%

0.6%

Retail Sales ex-auto

Dec

1.0%

0.5%

0.7%

Business Inventories

Nov

0.4%

0.3%

0.2%

Treasury Budget

Dec

$44.5B

$24.0B

$11.2B

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Treasury Budget - December

$44.5B v. $11.2B

 

Business Inventories - November

0.4% v. 0.2%

 

Retail Sales - December

0.9% v. 0.6%

 

Retail Sales ex-auto - December

1.0% v. 0.7%

 

Export Prices - December

0.7% v. 0.4%

 

Export Prices ex-ag. - December

0.5% v. 0.1%

 

Import Prices - December

1.1% v. 0.5%

 

Import Prices ex-oil - December

0.4% v. 0.9%

 

Initial Claims - 1/05

299K v. 325K

 

Wholesale Inventories - November

1.3% v. 0.4%

 

Trade Balance - November

-$58.2B v. -$58.8B

 

Consumer Credit - November

$12.3B v. -$1.3B

 

Next week’s economic highlights include the NY Empire State Index on Tuesday, PPI, Net Foreign Purchases, Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production, and the Fed's Beige Book on Wednesday, CPI, Building Permits, Housing Starts, Initial Jobless Claims, Leading Indicators, and the Philadelphia Fed on Thursday, and Michigan Sentiment on Friday.

 

Timberline Resources Corp. [OTC-BB: TBLC]

Upside Through DiscoveryRecord Revenues - Drilling Services

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil rebounded from this week’s significant losses as some cold weather forecasts and rumors of an emergency OPEC meeting to cut production encouraged some buying ahead of the long weekend.

 

The U.S. dollar index fell as world central banks bought euros and traders sold the dollar on the view that this week’s rally was overdone.

 

Treasuries fell on better than expected economic data that pushed interest rates higher.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P saw losses in early trade on profit warnings and interest rate worries, but all three indices climbed higher in afternoon trade and ended with decent gains on economic optimism.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were AMD, Cablevision, GE, and Wachovia.

 

The Commentary:

 

“February Gold finished up 13 at 626.9, 1.9 off the high and 14.6 up from the low.

 

March Silver closed up 0.42 at 12.88. This was 0.44 up from the low and 0.06 off the high.

 

With the gold market seeing a reversal in the Dollar and a bounce in oil prices it wasn't surprising to see gold manage such an impressive run up. However, the magnitude of the gains posted Friday, were significant enough to assume that something other than a simple outside market reaction. In fact, with the grain markets exploding one might come to the conclusion that part of the buying on Friday was in some way inflation or flight to quality orientated. It is also possible that the favorable US retail sales reading prompted buying, especially since the Dollar failed to rally in the wake of that news. The Russia Central Bank expects gold and foreign currency reserves to grow by $70 to $80 billion this year and that might have prompted some players to anticipate an upcoming increase in Russian gold holdings. With the rally in oil prices and the decline in the Dollar some players are wondering if the broad based commodity liquidation wave has run its course.

 

With a massive upward extension the March silver contract exploded away from the 200 day moving average and in the process might have prompted technical short covering and fresh buying. Surprisingly a sharp slide in copper prices didn't discourage the silver market from making a big upward thrust and that would seem to suggest that investment demand expectations were playing a bigger role in the rally than physical demand expectations. In the end, the silver market rallied this week despite unfavorable US Dollar action, unfavorable Copper market action and despite evidence of rising production! As in the gold market, the silver market seems to have gotten beyond the broad based selling pattern and might be in line for renewed fund buying interest.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Ron Paul to seek Republican presidential nomination

Western Australia's GATA sympathizers meet for lunch Jan. 22 in Perth

Gulf Arabs reconsider their currency pegs to dollar

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 1/11/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,530,811

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

113,766,655

+21,346

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

453.08

14,566,908

US$ 8,914m

LSE (London Stock Exchange) AND Euronext Paris

Gold Bullion Securities

86.49

2,780,839

US$ 1,742m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

10.67

342,787

US$ 215m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

10.25

329,452

US$ 201m

 Note: change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data:  The ASX added 0.1 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 1/10/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$874,978,544

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,428,943.630

Shares Outstanding

14,400,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

44.45

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 1/10/2007

 

Total Net Assets