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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold & Silver Fall About 1%
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Thursday, 18 January 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$627.30

-$4.80

Silver

$12.60

-$0.18

XAU

131.20

-1.89%

HUI

310.98

-2.24%

GDM

1004.45

-1.97%

JSE Gold

2766.03

+1.61%

USD

84.89

-0.06

Euro

129.57

+0.27

Yen

82.47

-0.37

Oil

$50.48

-$1.76

10-Year

4.751%

-0.036

T-Bond

110.9375

+0.375

Dow

12567.93

-0.07%

Nasdaq

2443.21

-1.46%

S&P

1426.37

-0.30%

 

The Metals:

 

Gold traded mostly slightly higher in Asia and London and rose to over $635 by about 10AM EST in New York, but it then fell for the rest of trade and ended near its lows with a loss of 0.76%.  Silver followed a similar pattern and lost 1.41%.

 

Euro gold fell to about €485, platinum gained $15 to $1,155, palladium lost $2 to $336, and copper fell a few cents to about $2.49.

 

Gold and silver equities rose over 1% at the open, but they then sold off for the rest of trade and ended with about 2% losses.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

CPI

Dec

0.5%

0.4%

0.0%

Core CPI

Dec

0.2%

0.2%

0.0%

Housing Starts

Dec

1642K

1570K

1572K

Building Permits

Dec

1596K

1505K

1505K

Initial Claims

1/12

290K

315K

298K

Philadelphia Fed

Jan

8.3

2.0

-2.3

 

Bernanke spoke before the senate budget committee and warned of the budgetary strains of America’s aging population and the potential harmful economic impact to future generations “if early and meaningful action is not taken.”  Tomorrow at 10AM brings the preliminary reading for January Michigan Sentiment expected at 92.4.

 

Timberline Resources Corp. [OTC-BB: TBLC]

Upside Through DiscoveryRecord Revenues - Drilling Services

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil fell markedly as crude inventories surprisingly rose a much more than expected 6.8 million barrels, gasoline inventories built 3.5 million barrels, and distillates rose 900,000 barrels.

 

The U.S. dollar index rose versus the yen as the Bank of Japan did not raise interest rates, but it fell versus the euro and ended slightly lower despite strong economic data that typically would give strength to the index.

 

Treasuries eventually rose despite stronger than expected economic data as interest rates retreated from 12 week highs.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P fell despite lower oil as strong economic data reduced any hopes for a fed interest rate cut.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were Associates Banc, Harley-Davidson, Bank of New York, Merrill Lynch, and Sallie Mae.

 

The Commentary:

 

“Once again, for the umpteenth time, I would like to stress that the key to understanding the gold market is to know what GATA knows. It is mostly about physical market buying overpowering the ability of The Gold Cartel to keep the price down. THAT’S IT!!!!

 

Yes, the price of oil, crises, inflation, the dollar etc., all have their own effect on the gold price, but they are secondary factors. Such short memories …. years ago it was said gold was "joined at the hip" of the dollar … that gold would only move up as the dollar went down. WRONG! After Gold Rush 21 in early August 2005, GATA’s conference in the Yukon, which was attended by Andrey Bykov, a key economic consultant to Russia’s President Putin, gold rallied from $436 to $730+ and the dollar barely budged.” - From yesterday’s Midas report by Bill Murphy of LemetropoleCafe.com

 

“February Gold finished down 5.2 at 628.1, 9.1 off the high and 0.7 up from the low.

 

March Silver closed down 0.205 at 12.685. This was 0.025 up from the low and 0.305 off the high.

 

Apparently the combination of sharply declining oil prices and periodic strength in the Dollar was too much for the gold market. With the gold market first making some critical levels on the charts before reversing ground and closing weak, the trade seems to have forged a key reversal. While the trade doesn't seem to have abandoned the idea that investment demand will continue to support gold prices, the market does seem to have downgraded the near term benefits from the theme. With the US economic numbers released during the session mostly as expected and in general providing the gold market with support the root of the selling wave certainly seems to have come from the energy complex. Surprisingly the platinum market was able to make some solid gains in the face of the sharp slide in gold and that would seem to suggest that the environment for precious metals hasn't completely soured.

 

While the silver market finished moderately lower it seemed to open softer than gold in a move that hinted at an ongoing profit taking mentality. March silver also managed to rise above the prior day's highs in the wake of the US economic numbers but like the gold market, overt weakness in the oil market, weakness in copper and equities just seemed to give the bear camp a measure of fresh confidence. In fact, massive declines in copper and energy prices could easily have fostered a deflationary psychology in the marketplace, if the US economic numbers released during the session weren't mostly upbeat.” - The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Young euro threatens dollar supremacy

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 1/17/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,530,519

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

113,315,802

-

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

451.84

14,527,242

US$ 9,087m

LSE (London Stock Exchange) AND Euronext Paris

Gold Bullion Securities

86.49

2,780,654

US$ 1,747m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

10.67

342,764

US$ 215m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

10.25

329,442

US$ 204m

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 3.08 tonnes were added to the trust.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 1/17/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$903,070,190

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,428,943.630

Shares Outstanding

14,400,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

44.45

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 1/17/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,494,369,685

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

119,101,742.400

Shares Outstanding

11,950,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

3,704.48

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Taseko’s (TGB) increased bid for bcMetals, Anatolia’s (ANO.TO) resource estimate, Gold Fields’ (GFI) 95.6% interest in Western Areas, International Royalty’s (ROY) C$40 million financing, Queenstake’s (QEE) drill results, Ivanhoe’s (IVN) exploration discoveries, Yale’s (YLL.V) exploration programs, Palmarejo’s (PJO.V) drill results, Arian Silver’s (AGQ.V) exploration work, Minefinders’ (MFN) mine update, and Orko Silver’s (OK.V) drill results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  Fronteer

FRG+7.79% $10.10

2.  Buenaventura

BVN+1.79% $27.29

3.  Metallica

MRB +1.03% $3.92

 

LOSERS

1.  Gold Reserve

GRZ -7.20% $3.61

2.  Mines MGMT

MGN -7.19% $5.16

3.  Hecla Mining

HL -5.70% $6.45

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Taseko Increases bcMetals Bid to $1.25 - "Taseko Mines Limited ("Taseko" or the "Company") (TSX:TKO.TO - News)(AMEX:TGB - News) announces that on January 19, 2007 it will be mailing a Notice of Variation (No 3) to its take-over bid for bcMetals Corporation ("bcMetals") common shares and out-of-the money warrants, which variation reflects an increase in the bid price to $1.25 per bcMetals share. The other terms and conditions to the bid remain the same except for the expiry time which is extended to midnight, January 29th, 2007." More
- January 18, 2007 | Item | E-mail


North American Gem Inc. Acquires the Mosquito Gulch Uranium Property - More
- January 18, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Mansfield Minerals Inc.: Drilling Expands Lindero, NW Argentina - More
- January 18, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Aur Resources Completes the Purchase of an Additional 27% Interest in Its Andacollo Mine Property in Chile - More
- January 18, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Klondike Star Releases Final 2006 Drilling and Lone Star Project Mineralization Still