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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold Gains While Silver Remains This Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Friday, 9 March 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$650.20

-$3.30

+1.47%

Silver

$12.82

-$0.18

UNCH

XAU

132.03

-0.50%

-0.25%

HUI

328.24

-0.35%

+1.53%

GDM

1035.80

-0.31%

+0.61%

JSE Gold

2757.77

-0.01%

+7.23%

USD

84.25

+0.14

+0.62%

Euro

131.13

-0.18

-0.61%

Yen

84.67

-0.71

-1.21%

Oil

$60.05

-$1.59

-2.58%

10-Year

4.589%

+0.080

+1.64%

Bond

112.50

-0.875

-0.66%

Dow

12276.32

+0.13%

+1.34%

Nasdaq

2387.55

-0.01%

+0.83%

S&P

1402.85

+0.07%

+1.13%

 

The Metals:

 

CoT Reports: Gold | Silver

CBOT Margin Changes

 

Gold traded a few dollars lower in Asia, remained near unchanged in London, and rose in early New York trade to about $657.50 a little before 10AM EST, but it then fell off for the rest of trade and ended near its low of the day with a loss of 0.50%.  Silver dropped to about $12.90 in Asia before it rebounded back to $13.00 in London and climbed over $13.05 in early New York trade, but it also fell off with gold at about 10AM EST, remained near its lows into the close, and ended with a loss of 1.38%.

 

Euro gold fell back under €495, platinum lost $4 to $1,204, palladium gained $2 to $350, and copper fell roughly 5 cents to about $2.78.

 

Gold and silver equities traded mostly slightly higher in morning trade, but they then fell off a bit in afternoon trade and ended with modest losses.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Trade Balance

Jan

-$59.1B

-$60.0B

-$61.5B

Nonfarm Payrolls

Feb

97K

100K

146K

Unemployment Rate

Feb

4.5%

4.6%

4.6%

Hourly Earnings

Feb

0.4%

0.3%

0.2%

Average Workweek

Feb

33.7

33.8

33.8

Wholesale Inventories

Jan

0.7%

0.1%

-0.5%

 

The BLS net birth/death adjustment added 118,000 jobs to February’s payrolls.

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Wholesale Inventories - January

0.7% v. -0.5%

 

Trade Balance - January

-$59.1B v. -$61.5B

 

Nonfarm Payrolls - February

97K v. 146K

 

Unemployment Rate - February

4.5% v. 4.6%

 

Hourly Earnings - February

0.4% v. 0.2%

 

Average Workweek - February

33.7 v. 33.8

 

Initial Claims - 3/03

328K v. 338K

 

Consumer Credit - January

$6.4B v. $5.0B

 

Pending Home Sales - January

108.7 v. 112.3

 

Factory Orders - January

-5.6% v. 2.6%

 

Productivity - Q4

1.6% v. 3.0%

 

ISM Services - February

54.3 v. 59.0

 

Next week’s economic highlights include the Treasury Budget on Monday, Retail Sales and Business Inventories on Tuesday, Export and Import Prices and the Current Account on Wednesday, PPI, Initial Jobless Claims, the NY Empire State Index, Net Foreign Purchases, and the Philadelphia Fed on Thursday, and CPI, Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization, and Michigan Sentiment on Friday.

 

Timberline Resources Corp. [OTC-BB: TBLC]

Upside Through DiscoveryRecord Revenues - Drilling Services

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil fell back near $60.00 on profit taking as traders looked ahead to next week’s OPEC meeting that will likely keep current production going at a steady rate.

 

The U.S. dollar index rose slightly and treasuries fell markedly as the employment report pleased Wall Street and reduced the likeliness that the fed will cut interest rates.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P opened higher on decent economic data, but skeptics of the markets recent rebound sold into rally on a bet of further weakness and the three indices ended mixed and near unchanged.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were General Electric, Airbus and EADS, and New century Financial.

 

The Commentary:

 

“April Gold finished down 3.5 at 652, 7.8 off the high and 2 up from the low.

 

May Silver closed down 0.15 at 12.97. This was 0.12 up from the low and 0.23 off the high.

 

The gold market was mostly under-whelmed by the events on Friday morning. While the market could have been lifted by an improvement in the US and global economic outlook as a result of the US payroll readings, it didn't seem like many physical commodity markets, the equity market, or the gold market was definitively cheered on by the US Data. While the gold market finished higher in Europe, choppy action in the US equity market and a slide in the energy complex seemed to prompt gold traders to bank some profits and move to the sidelines. However, from a big picture sense, seeing the US payrolls point to ongoing growth is probably a positive for gold in the face of the recent equity market slide.

 

While European gold managed to close higher, European silver finished weaker, perhaps in conjunction with session long weakness in both the copper and platinum markets. While the import/export numbers on silver are typically difficult to interpret, it should be noted that US January silver imports declined by 10% and imports of silver in the month rose 14%. As in the gold market the Press suggested that most of the weakness was from simple profit taking and that was probably the case.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

China forms company to spend FX reserves

Paulson tells China: Let Goldman Sachs, Morgan Chase take over your banks

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 3/8/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,486,093

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

118,176,554

- 34,733

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

487.32

15,667,926

US$ 10,250m

LSE (London Stock Exchange) AND Euronext Paris

Gold Bullion Securities

87.99

2,829,104

US$ 1,842m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

11.30

362,919

US$ 236m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

10.86

349,063

US$ 228m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data:  They NYSE added 6.16 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 3/8/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$929,754,204

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,423,071.777

Shares Outstanding

14,350,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

44.26

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 3/8/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,674,940,184

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

127,969,933.100

Shares Outstanding

12,850,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

3,980.31

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data:  30.97 tonnes were added to the trust.

 

The Stocks:

 

Freeport-McMoRan’s (FCX) concessions to former Phelps Dodge Corp. shareholders, Crystallex’s (KRY) new auditor search, and Golden Star’s (GSS) over-allotment option closing were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Metallica