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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold & Silver Gain Over 1% on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Friday, 30 March 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$663.30

+$2.40

+1.08%

Silver

$13.32

+$0.02

+1.45%

XAU

137.00

-0.02%

-0.57%

HUI

337.66

-0.25%

-0.94%

GDM

1071.80

-0.14%

-1.12%

JSE Gold

2883.97

+0.95%

+0.33%

USD

82.92

-0.17

-0.46%

Euro

133.66

+0.31

+0.57%

Yen

84.90

+0.12

+0.17%

Oil

$65.87

-$0.16

+5.76%

10-Year

4.648%

+0.016

+0.76%

Bond

111.25

-0.3125

-1.03%

Dow

12354.35

+0.05%

-1.01%

Nasdaq

2421.64

+0.16%

-1.41%

S&P

1420.86

-0.12%

-1.06%

 

The Metals:

 

CoT Reports: Gold | Silver 

 

Gold traded mostly slightly higher in Asia and London and then dipped in midmorning New York trade to find a minimal loss at $660.50, but it then rallied higher in late morning and climbed above $667 at one point before it dropped in afternoon trade and closed with a gain of 0.36%.  Silver fell to $13.22 before it rallied above $13.35 by early afternoon, but it also fell off into the close and ended with a gain of just 0.15%.

 

Euro gold rose to about €497, platinum gained $9 to $1,241, palladium remained unchanged at $350, and copper rose slightly to about $3.10.

 

Gold and silver equities rose about 1% in morning trade, but they then fell off in afternoon trade and ended near unchanged.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Personal Income

Feb

0.6%

0.3%

1.0%

Personal Spending

Feb

0.6%

0.3%

0.5%

Chicago PMI

Mar

61.7

49.5

47.9

Construction Spending

Feb

0.3%

-0.6%

-0.5%

Michigan Sentiment

Mar

88.4

88.8

88.8

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Michigan Sentiment - March

88.4 v. 88.8

 

Construction Spending - February

0.3% v. -0.5%

 

Chicago PMI - March

61.7 v. 47.9

 

Personal Spending - February

0.6% v. 0.5%

 

Personal Income - February

0.6% v. 1.0%

 

Help-Wanted Index - February

31 vs. 32

 

GDP - Q4

2.5% v. 2.2%

 

Chain Deflator - Q4

1.7% v. 1.7%

 

Initial Claims - 3/24

308K v. 318K

 

Durable Orders - February

2.5% v. -9.3%

 

Consumer Confidence - March

107.2 v. 111.2

 

New Home Sales - February

848K v. 882K

 

Next week’s economic highlights include the ISM Index on Monday, Factory Orders and ISM Services on Wednesday, Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday, and jobs data, Wholesale Inventories, and Consumer Credit on Friday.

 

Timberline Resources Corp. [OTC-BB: TBLC]

Upside Through DiscoveryRecord Revenues - Drilling Services

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil traded on either side of unchanged and ended slightly lower on hopes that the U.K.-Iran hostage situation will be resolved over the weekend.

 

The U.S. dollar index initially rose on mostly positive economic data, but it then fell and ended lower after Secretary of Commerce Carlos Gutierrez announced plans for tariffs on imports from China that may result in reduced trade from China and a drop in demand for U.S. dollar based assets.

 

Treasuries fell on economic data that came in mostly better than expected, but losses were limited as geopolitical worries encouraged some safe haven buying.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P opened higher before they fell dramatically on worries over Chinese trade sanctions, but all three indices eventually rebounded and ended near unchanged as those worries eased.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Chrysler, Ford, Bank of America, H&R Block, Dell, Tribune, and Amaranth.

 

The Commentary:

 

“June Gold finished up 1.4 at 669, 4.8 off the high and 2.2 up from the low.

 

May Silver closed up 0.11 at 13.45. This was 0.12 up from the low and 0.02 off the high.

 

Gold prices firmed after the Dollar weakened on news the White House is reversing a long standing policy that will no longer exempt Chinese companies from US anti-subsidy laws. A US move toward protectionism is certainly negative for Dollar investments. While the China news is weighing on the US stock market, firmer action in the Euro currency seems to be underpinning gold prices. Escalating tensions between the UK and Iran over captured sailors is another factor providing gold with safe haven buying interest. The gold market is also being supported by some good economic news which showed stronger Midwest business activity this month and stronger than expected construction spending last month. However, the higher than expected gain in the annual core PCE price index does raise inflation worries and supports the bull case for gold.

 

The silver market traded firmer on Friday supported by strength in both the gold and copper markets. The economic news was surprisingly strong showing a healthy expansion in Midwest business activity this month and a higher inflation reading last month which supports silver on an industrial metal basis and as an inflation hedge. The US decision to start applying tariffs on imports of certain products from China is also raising concerns for a trade war and the silver market appears to be garnering support from a weaker Dollar while shaking off weakness in the stock market. Of course, the escalation in political tensions with Iran continues to be a solid base of support and with no progress toward freeing the UK sailors, safe haven buying continues to underpin the silver market as well.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

GoldSeek's Spina gets MarketWatch to quote him subversively

Ron Struthers: Gold market will beat central banks before reporting rules do

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 3/29/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,577,548

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

120,142,068

- 1,251,778

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

483.93

15,558,894

US$ 10,281m

LSE (London Stock Exchange) AND Euronext Paris

Gold Bullion Securities

88.84

2,856,442

US$ 1,896m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

11.42

366,934

US$ 244m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

11.35

364,829

US$ 241m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data:  The NYSE added 4.62 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 3/29/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$950,903,890

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,437,943.875

Shares Outstanding

14,500,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

44.73

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 3/29/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,746,288,522

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

130,956,776.100

Shares Outstanding

13,150,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

4,073.21

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 30.96 tonnes were added to the trust.

 

The Stocks:

 

Newmont’s (NEM) investments in Indonesia, Queenstake’s (QEE) measured and indicated resources and fourth quarter and 2006 results, Silver Eagle’s (SEG.TO) drill results, and ECU Silver’s (ECU.V) news assays were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Minefinders

MFN+7.98% $11.91