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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold & Silver Gain for the Sixth Straight Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Friday, 13 April 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$684.80

+$10.20

+1.66%

Silver

$14.01

+$0.22

+2.64%

XAU

147.02

+2.40%

+3.09%

HUI

364.47

+2.41%

+2.91%

GDM

1149.42

+2.41%

+2.67%

JSE Gold

3094.21

+1.89%

+3.75%

USD

82.17

-0.16

-0.65%

Euro

135.36

+0.51

+0.83%

Yen

83.92

-0.11

-0.36%

Oil

$63.63

-$0.22

-1.01%

10-Year

4.761%

+0.024

+1.86%

Bond

110.25

-0.21875

-0.70%

Dow

12612.12

+0.47%

+0.41%

Nasdaq

2491.94

+0.47%

+0.83%

S&P

1452.85

+0.35%

+0.63%

 

The Metals:

 

CoT Reports: Gold | Silver  

 

Gold rose a few dollars in Asia and London and topped $680 in early New York trade before it fell in midmorning trade to $677.50, but it then spiked higher in late morning trade to new highs above $685, fell back off again, and then rallied back higher into the close and ended near its high with a gain of 1.51%.  Silver jumped above $14.00 in early New York trade, remained near its highs for most of the day, and ended with a gain of 1.60%.

 

Euro gold rose above €505, platinum gained $12 to $1,284, palladium gained $8 to $380, and copper rose roughly 4 cents to about $3.50.

 

Gold and silver equities rose about 1% in morning trade before they furthered their gains throughout most of the afternoon and ended with near 2.5% gains.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

PPI

Mar

1.0%

0.7%

1.3%

Core PPI

Mar

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

Trade Balance

Feb

-$58.4B

-$60.5B

-$58.9B

Michigan Sentiment

Apr

85.3

87.5

88.4

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Michigan Sentiment - April

85.3 v. 88.4

 

PPI - March

1.0% v. 1.3%

 

Core PPI - March

0.0% v. 0.4%

 

Trade Balance - February

-$58.4B v. -$58.9B

 

Initial Claims - 4/07

342K v. 323K

 

Export Prices - March

0.7% v. 0.7%

 

Export Prices ex-ag. - March

0.6% v. 0.5%

 

Import Prices - March

1.7% v. 0.1%

 

Import Prices ex-oil - March

0.3% v. 0.1%

 

Treasury Budget - March

-$96.3B v. -$85.3B

 

Next week’s economic highlights include Retail Sales, the NY Empire State Index, Net Foreign Purchases, and Business Inventories on Monday, CPI, Housing Starts, Building Permits, Industrial Production, and Capacity Utilization on Tuesday, and Initial Jobless Claims, Leading Economic Indicators, and the Philadelphia Fed survey on Thursday.

 

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil prices traded on either side of unchanged and ended slightly lower as traders took profits from yesterday’s rally despite concern over refinery issues and worries about violence in Nigeria due to an upcoming election.

 

The U.S. dollar index fell to new two year lows on tamer than expected Core PPI and economically disappointing consumer sentiment data as traders contemplated implications of this weekend’s G7 meeting.

 

Treasuries fell after the Michigan Sentiment survey as bond traders looked past the weaker than expected headline number and saw that consumers' inflation expectations jumped.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P rose as headline core inflation came in flat and oil prices eased ahead of a slew of earnings reports next week.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Magna and Chrysler, Citigroup and Old Lane, Morgan Stanley, General Electric, McDonald’s, and Sallie Mae.

 

The Commentary:

 

“June Gold finished up 10.2 at 689.9, 0.6 off the high and 7.3 up from the low.

 

May Silver closed up 0.235 at 14.09. This was 0.08 up from the low and 0.06 off the high.

 

In the past seeing the US Trade Balance narrow would have been cause for aggressive selling in the gold market. However, a rather significant headline gain of 1% in the PPI report and ongoing weakness in the US Dollar managed to keep sentiment toward gold in a very positive position. With the gold market earlier in the week seeing a series of stories predicting lower gold production it wasn't surprising to see buying interest dominate the selling interest in the wake of the inflation report. In fact, it seemed as if the bull camp embraced the headline PPI reading and discounted the "excluding Food and Energy readings,” the US Trade Deficit report, and the Michigan Sentiment figures. In short, the market was previously bullishly biased and therefore the bull camp picked its own focal points during the action Friday.

 

With May silver prices reaching up to just under the $14.16 level in the face of a potentially undermining scheduled US data, it is clear that the bull camp is managing to spin the headlines into its favor. However, the generally bullish bias toward all the metals markets that was already in place early in the week probably helped the silver market weave its way through the session Friday with an extension of the recent up trend pattern. Even the copper market managed to shake off its recent profit taking posture to contribute to some lift to the silver market in the action Friday.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 4/12/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,455,703

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

125,791,331

-

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

494.56

15,900,551

US$ 10,767m

LSE (London Stock Exchange) AND Euronext Paris

Gold Bullion Securities

88.83

2,855,999

US$ 1,954m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

11.42

366,877

US$ 251m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

11.35

364,773

US$ 247m

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 4/12/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$970,307,785

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,437,467.912

Shares Outstanding

14,500,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

44.71

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 4/12/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,852,723,093

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

133,888,613.800

Shares Outstanding

13,450,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

4,164.40

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

U.S. Gold’s (UXG) listing on the Toronto Stock Exchange, Kimber’s (KBX) personnel change and grant of options, Freeport’s (FCX) worker rally, Abcourt’s (ABI.V) private placement and drilling, Avino’s (ASM.V) drill results, and Silver Eagle’s (SEG.TO) concentrate sale were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  U.S. Gold

UXG +16.20% $6.67

2.  Claude Resources

CGR +12.34% $1.629

3.  Vista Gold

VGZ +9.34% $8.20

LOSERS

1.  Cardero

CDY-2.97% $2.62

2.  Kimber