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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold & Silver Lose Over 1% & 3% on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Friday, 27 April 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$678.90

+$4.50

-1.84%

Silver

$13.43

+$0.15

-3.45%

XAU

139.70

+0.39%

-2.75%

HUI

344.83

+0.45%

-3.18%

GDM

1097.95

+0.71%

-2.55%

JSE Gold

2892.35

UNCH

-3.26%

USD

81.48

-0.28

-0.26%

Euro

136.34

+0.25

+0.26%

Yen

83.56

-0.08

-0.76%

Oil

$66.46

+$1.40

+4.86%

10-Year

4.698%

+0.014

+0.56%

Bond

110.90625

-0.15625

-0.34%

Dow

13120.94

+0.12%

+1.23%

Nasdaq

2557.21

+0.11%

+1.22%

S&P

1494.07

-0.01%

+0.65%

 

The Metals:

 

CoT Reports Released: Gold | Silver

 

Gold traded a couple of dollars lower in Asia and London, but it then rose in early New York trade, remained near its highs into the close, and ended with a gain of 0.67%.  Silver followed a similar pattern and added 1.13%.

 

Euro gold rose to about €499, platinum lost $3 to $1,295, palladium gained $2 to $370, and copper gained a few cents to about $3.62.

 

Gold and silver equities rose about 1% in the first hour of trade before they fell back off and saw slight losses by late morning, but they then rallied back higher in afternoon trade and ended with slight gains.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

GDP

Q1

1.3%

1.8%

2.5%

Chain Deflator

Q1

4.0%

3.2%

1.7%

Employment Cost Index

Q1

0.8%

0.9%

0.9%

Michigan Sentiment

Apr

87.1

85.5

85.3

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Michigan Sentiment - April

87.1 v. 85.3

 

GDP - Q1

1.3% v. 2.5%

 

Chain Deflator - Q4

4.0% v. 1.7%

 

Employment Cost Index - Q1

0.8% v. 0.9%

 

Help-Wanted Index - March

30 v. 31

 

Initial Claims - 4/21

321K v. 341K

 

New Home Sales - March

858K v. 836K

 

Durable Orders - March

3.4% v. 2.4%

 

Existing Home Sales - March

6.12M v. 6.68M

 

Consumer Confidence - April

104.0 v. 108.2

 

Next week’s economic highlights include Personal Income and Spending, Chicago PMI, and Construction Spending on Monday, the ISM Index and Pending Home Sales on Tuesday, Factory Orders on Wednesday, Initial Jobless Claims, Productivity, and ISM Services on Thursday, and jobs data on Friday.

 

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil eventually rose over 2% after news that 172 militants were arrested in Saudi Arabia for plotting to attack oil facilities.  Violence in Nigeria also added to geopolitical concerns.

 

The U.S. dollar index fell as GDP came in surprisingly weak at the slowest growth in four years, but losses were limited as the Chain Deflator came in higher than expected and raised inflationary concerns.  The dollar fell to a record low versus the euro.

 

Treasuries ended slightly lower as concerns over slower than expected growth were overcome by worries over higher than expected inflation.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P again rose on decent earnings despite higher oil and economic/inflationary concerns, though gains were limited and the S&P ended slightly lower while the Dow set a new record high close.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Microsoft, Mazda, Waste Management, Citigroup and Nikko Cordial, RBS and ABN, GM, Burger King, Chevron, and Goodyear.

 

The Commentary:

 

“June Gold finished up 3.8 at 681.8, 0.2 off the high and 4 up from the low.

 

May Silver closed up 0.118 at 13.443. This was 0.103 up from the low and 0.027 off the high.

 

The gold market was able to mostly hold in positive territory throughout most of the session Friday but with the US numbers coming in weak and the metals recently under liquidation pressure, the market was certainly in a vulnerable position. However, one would think that evidence of a major terrorism incident in Saudi Arabia did manage to support gold prices during the session Friday. However, some players in the market suggest that the presence of weak US economic readings might require more significant declines in the US Dollar as an offset to the threat of slowing physical demand. With oil prices firming in the wake of the terrorism incident it was clear that flight to quality concerns were indeed present in the marketplace and they were having an impact on gold prices.

 

Like the gold market, the silver market generally showed positive action through a large portion of the trading session. Surprisingly weaker platinum prices and mostly soft US economic readings could have rekindled the prior session's selling wave but instead the silver market held its ground. While the silver market wouldn't seem to be in line for a direct flight to quality lift off the terrorism incident it was very impressive to see silver trading higher in the wake of the flow of softer US economic information. With the silver market actually firming late in the session it would seem like the market ended the week on an upbeat note.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 4/26/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,680,128

-64

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

130,026,200

+ 596,372

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

493.33

15,860,940

US$ 10,671m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

89.75

2,885,553

US$ 1,965m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

11.55

173,437

US$ 253m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

11.34

364,720

US$ 249m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: The ASX added 0.05 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 4/26/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$969,868,809

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,437,467.912

Shares Outstanding

14,500,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

44.71

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 4/26/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,841,859,578

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

134,883,938.200

Shares Outstanding

13,550,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

4,195.36

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

A likely miner strike in Peru, Buenaventura’s (BVN) first quarter results, Goldcorp’s (GG) Peak mine sale, SNS Silver’s (SNS.V) new board member, Sterling Mining’s (SRLM.OB) new technical services manager and chief engineer, Palmarejo’s (PJO.V) quarterly activity report, Silver Eagle’s (SEG.TO) drill results, and Apogee’s (APE.V) senior executive changes were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Kimber

KBX +6.05% $1.42

2.  Northern Orion

NTO +5.00% $4.83

3.  Nevsun

NSU +3.74% $1.94

 

LOSERS

1.  Golden Star

GSS -2.89% $4.37

2.  Newmont

NEM-1.46% $42.55

3.  Gold Reserve