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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold Gains Over 1% on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Friday, 4 May 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$686.90

+$5.10

+1.18%

Silver

$13.42

+$0.03

-0.07%

XAU

141.85

+0.20%

+1.54%

HUI

345.91

+0.21%

+0.31%

GDM

1108.22

+0.08%

+0.94%

JSE Gold

2850.83

+0.87%

-1.44%

USD

81.75

-0.20

+0.33%

Euro

135.96

+0.43

-0.28%

Yen

83.25

+0.20

-0.37%

Oil

$61.93

-$1.26

-6.82%

10-Year

4.640%

-0.034

-1.23%

Bond

111.84375

+0.40625

+0.85%

Dow

13264.62

+0.18%

+1.10%

Nasdaq

2572.15

+0.26%

+0.58%

S&P

1505.62

+0.21%

+0.77%

 

The Metals:

 

CoT Reports: Gold | Silver  

 

Gold rose to over $690 in the 2 and ½ hours following the weaker than expected jobs report that pushed the dollar lower, but it then fell back off into the close and ended about 0.5% off its high of the day with a gain of 0.75%.  Silver rose to about $13.55 before it fell off and saw slight losses at $13.36 by early afternoon, but it then bounced back higher into the close and ended with a gain of 0.22%.

 

Euro gold rose to about €505, platinum gained $23 to $1,329, palladium remained unchanged at $375, and copper remained at about $3.76.

 

Gold and silver equities rose nearly 2% in the first hour and a half of trade before they fell back near unchanged in the next two hours of trade and remained just slightly higher into the close.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Nonfarm Payrolls

Apr

88K

100K

177K

Unemployment Rate

Apr

4.5%

4.5%

4.4%

Hourly Earnings

Apr

0.2%

0.3%

0.3%

Average Workweek

Apr

33.8

33.8

33.9

 

The BLS net birth/death adjustment added 317,000 jobs to April’s payrolls.

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Nonfarm Payrolls - April

88K v. 177K

 

Unemployment Rate - April

4.5% v. 4.4%

 

Hourly Earnings - April

0.2% v. 0.3%

 

Average Workweek - April

33.8 v. 33.9

 

ISM Services - April

56.0 v. 52.4

 

Productivity - Q1

1.7% v. 2.1%

 

Initial Claims - 4/28

305K v. 326K

 

Factory Orders - March

3.1% v. 1.4%

 

Pending Home Sales - March

-4.9% v. 1.1%

 

ISM Index - April

54.7 v. 50.9

 

Construction Spending - March

0.2% v. 1.5%

 

Chicago PMI - April

52.9 v. 61.7

 

Core PCE Inflation - March

0.0% v. 0.3%

 

Personal Spending - March

0.3% v. 0.7%

 

Personal Income - March

0.7% v. 0.7%

 

Next week’s economic highlights include Consumer Credit on Monday, Wholesale Inventories on Tuesday, the FOMC policy statement on Wednesday, Export and Import Prices, Initial Jobless Claims, the Trade Balance and Treasury Budget on Thursday, and PPI, Retail Sales, and Business Inventories on Friday.

 

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil found slight gains in early trade on news of more violence in Nigeria, but it then fell back off in late trade on low volume and ended around 2% lower on profit taking before the weekend.

 

The U.S. dollar index fell and treasuries rose on weaker than expected jobs data that pushed interest rates lower ahead of next week’s fed meeting.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P rose yet again on takeover speculation despite poorer than expected jobs data and mostly disappointing earnings reports.  Gains were limited, but the Dow still managed its 23rd gain in the last 26 sessions to a new record high.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Weyerhaeuser, EMI, Sears, Reuters, Yahoo and Microsoft, Kodak, and Hovnanian.

 

The Commentary:

 

“June Gold finished up 5.3 at 689.7, 3.3 off the high and 4.1 up from the low.

 

May Silver closed up 0.022 at 13.415. This was equal to the low and 0.005 off the high.

 

While some bulls might have been disappointed with the inability to close right on the session's highs, the upward thrust in gold prices seems to have put the bear camp back on its heels. With the Press persistently reiterating the presence of fund buying and the outlook for the US economy seemingly coming in "just good enough" but not so strong that the Dollar was able to strengthen, it would seem like the gold trade ended the week in an infinitely better position than it was at the beginning of the week. With the market also seeing signs that a Peru gold mine would join the copper mines already striking, it is possible that the gold market is set to garner some support from the threat of lost physical supply.

 

One could suggest that the silver market underperformed the gold market in the action Friday. However, in looking at the action in the silver, copper and platinum markets it would seem like the physical or industrial based metals markets were acting somewhat overdone into the afternoon action. In fact, with the stock market falling back into negative territory just after mid session, it is possible that the silver market was seeing second thoughts about the pace of the US economy.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Canadian financial TV journalist Jim O'Connell dies

Loan derivatives poised for explosive growth

GATA gatherings in Melbourne, Botswana, and Vancouver

Asia will start its own currency pool so it can dump IMF

Canada exhausts its gold reserves to make one big souvenir coin

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 5/03/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,825,295

-68,509

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

131,339,304

+1,040

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

485.93

15,623,261

US$ 10,529m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

90.85

2,920,808

US$ 2,006m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

11.61

373,191

US$ 256m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

11.34

364,688

US$ 245m

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 5/3/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$989,844,227

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,451,857.070

Shares Outstanding

14,650,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

45.16

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 0.46 tonnes were added to the trust.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 5/3/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,810,429,509

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

135,821,754.600

Shares Outstanding

13,650,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

4,224.53

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 1.78 tonnes were subtracted from the trust.

 

The Stocks:

 

Peru’s mining strike and first quarter results from Eldorado (EGO), AngloGold Ashanti (AU), and Northgate (NXG) were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Apex Silver