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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Reverse Early Losses and End Nicely Higher
By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted Thursday, 4 October 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$737.10

+$7.70

Silver

$13.36

+$0.03

XAU

168.41

+1.84%

HUI

387.05

+1.54%

GDM

1203.78

+1.88%

JSE Gold

2554.39

+0.55%

USD

78.41

-0.22

Euro

141.18

+0.10

Yen

85.84

+0.14

Oil

$81.44

+$1.50

10-Year

4.523%

-0.020

T-Bond

112.09375

+0.25

Dow

13974.31

+0.04%

Nasdaq

2733.57

+0.15%

S&P

1542.84

+0.21%

 

The Metals:

 

Gold dropped to as low as $721.57 by a little after 9AM EST in New York after having traded mostly slightly lower in Asia and London, but it then jumped about $10 higher between 10AM and 10:30, added to its advance even more in afternoon trade, and ended not far from its high of $738.50 with a gain of 1.06%.  Silver traded at as low as $13.10 before it also jumped higher after 10AM and rose to as high as $13.41 by 11AM.  It then remained near its high into the close and ended with a gain of 0.23%.

 

Euro gold rose to over €521, platinum gained $9 to $1365, palladium gained $11 to $362, and copper fell slightly to about $3.74.

 

Gold and silver equities fell to find about 1% losses in the first half hour of trade, but they then steadily rallied higher for the rest of the day and ended with nearly 2% gains.

 

WGC Puts Central Bank Gold Sales Under Pact At 475 Tons In 3rd Year  Nasdaq

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Initial Claims

9/29

317K

310K

301K

Factory Orders

Aug

-3.3%

-2.8%

3.4%

 

Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings September’s jobs report.  Nonfarm Payrolls are expected at 100,000, the Unemployment Rate is expected at 4.7%, Hourly Earnings are expected at 0.3%, and the Average Workweek is expected at 33.8.  At 3PM is the Consumer Credit report for August expected at $9.5 billion.

 

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The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil started off trading in New York lower, but it then rose throughout trade and ended back above $81 on supply concerns.

 

The U.S. dollar index fell and treasuries rose after another round of disappointing economic data, but moves were somewhat limited ahead of tomorrow’s jobs report.  Traders also paid close attention to the Bank of England and European Central Bank who both kept interest rates unchanged as ECB President Trichet expressed concern over both inflation and slowing economic growth.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P remained near unchanged as traders awaited tomorrow’s jobs report.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were Constellation, Wendy’s, and Marriott.

 

The Commentary:

 

“December Gold finished up 8.1 at 743.8, 0.7 off the high and 17.3 up from the low.

 

December Silver closed up 0.03 at 13.5. This was 0.3 up from the low and 0.02 off the high.

 

After seeing December gold fall down to the lowest level since September 18th it was quite surprising that the market was able to come roaring back. Certainly some weakening in the Dollar helped the market reverse course but it is also possible that strength in oil prices added into the bullish wave. Some Press outlets suggested that the recovery in gold prices was a speculation on a weaker than expected US payroll reading and that is certainly a possibility. It is also possible that the closure of the Harmony Mine by South African officials is signaling increased oversight on issues of safety and that could end up stalling deep mine operations and in turn serving to crimp South African gold production even further.

 

While the silver market managed to reject its early lows and in the process forge a 33 cent bounce, one could look at the silver action and conclude that it underperformed the gold market during the trading session Thursday. Perhaps the closure of the South African gold mine explains part of the silver markets lack of strength relative to gold, but it is also possible that speculative buying ahead of the upcoming US Non farm payroll report was mostly in gold as opposed to silver.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Paul shows you can be conservative and anti-war too

Bank of England pressured for emergency rate cut

Stunning fund-raising success for Paul's presidential campaign

Dollar takes blows from Vietnam and Qatar

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 10/3/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,184,123

+83,102

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

133,133,373

+294,757

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

577.85

18,578,347

US$ 13,566m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

97.90

3,147,579

US$ 2,318m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

15.06

484,003

US$ 357m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

17.96

577,563

US$ 421m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: The LSE added 2.45 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 10/3/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,172,506,715

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,607,768.854

Shares Outstanding

16,250,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

50.01

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 10/3/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,915,397,286

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

143,481,444.700

Shares Outstanding

14,450,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

4,462.77

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 1.72 were removed from the trust.

 

The Stocks:

 

The bad news was that 3200 South African gold miners became trapped more than a mile underground at Harmony’s (HMY) Elandsrand mine late yesterday after the “electricity cable of the mine's main lift was severed,” but the good news is that the last of all 3200 was rescued to safety by publication time today.  Northern Orion’s (NTO) planned mine construction, Russia’s plans to sell its Sukhoi Log gold deposit through a tender, Harmony’s ordered mine closure for six weeks, Northern Dynasty’s (NAK) drill results, Aurelian’s (ARU.TO) inferred mineral resource estimate, Harmony’s plans to sell its uranium and copper projects and $290 million debt facility, Entree Gold’s (EGI) drill results, Impact Silver’s (IPT.V) sampling results, Minco’s (MSV.TO) assay results, Tumi’s (TUMIF.OB) drill contract, Paramount’s (PZG) assay results, Bear Creek’s (BCM.V) drill results, MAG Silver’s (MVG) listing on the TSX, Aquiline’s (AQI.TO) drill results, and Apogee’s (APE.V) commenced drill program were among the other big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  Minco Gold

MGH+20.00%$1.02

2.  Paramount

PZG +9.36% $2.57

3.  Endeavour

EXK +7.93% $3.54

 

LOSERS

1.  Kimber

KBX-4.50% $1.06

2.  Cardero

CDY-4.19% $1.83

3.  Nevsun

NSU-4.12% $1.63

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Pele Mountain Achieves Major Milestone with Positive Scoping Study for Uranium Mine Project at Elliot Lake - More
- October 04, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Northern Orion to start work on Argentine mine in '08 - "Canada's Northern Orion Resources Inc could begin construction of a copper and gold mine next year in northeastern Argentina with an investment of $2 billion, the company's president said on Thursday." More
- October 04, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Last of 3,200 trapped SAfrican miners saved - "The last of 3,200 miners trapped deep in a South African mine shaft was saved on Thursday, capping a day-long rescue mission that began with fears of the worst and ended in wild celebrations." More
- October 04, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Rising C$ puts squeeze on Canadian miners' profits - "The Canadian dollar's rise to parity with the U.S. dollar will take a bite out of Canadian miners' third-quarter earnings, although the impact could be muted for companies with diverse international holdings, analysts say." More
- October 04, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Sherwood Reports that Minto Mine Declares Commercial Production - More
- October 04, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Global Minerals begins drilling at Quarter Horse Ranch - Nevada - More
- October 04, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Katanga Announces US$150 Million Loan Following Review of Strategic Options - More
- October 04, 2007 | Item | E-mail


10.50 Metres of 11.19% Copper Within 43.05 Metres of 4.38% Copper in Drill Hole 2, at VMS Ventures Reed Lake Property, Snow Lake, Manitoba - More
- October 04, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Denison Updates Athabasca Basin Exploration Activities - More
- October 04, 2007 | Item | E-mail