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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Gain Over 2% on the Week While Miners Gain Over 5%
By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted Friday, 14 March 2008 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | Source: GoldSeek.com

 

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$998.50

+$6.55

+2.68%

Silver

$20.61

+$0.28

+2.28%

XAU

206.37

+0.48%

+5.01%

HUI

514.89

+1.45%

+5.66%

GDM

1553.31

+1.11%

+5.72%

JSE Gold

2765.15

+28.69

-0.55%

USD

71.67

-0.31

-1.88%

Euro

156.37

+0.71

+1.86%

Yen

100.78

+1.99

+3.31%

Oil

$110.21

-$0.12

+4.81%

10-Year

3.412%

-0.113

-3.64%

Bond

120.703125

+1.3125

+1.93%

Dow

11951.09

-1.60%

+0.48%

Nasdaq

2212.49

-2.26%

UNCH

S&P

1288.14

-2.08%

-0.40%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold briefly dipped to $990.35 after tame CPI data was released and took some pressure off the fed to dramatically cut interest rates next week, but news of a bailout for Bear Stearns quickly propelled the yellow metal to a new all-time high of $1,007.20 before it pared its gains into the close and ended at a new record closing high with a gain of 0.66%.  Silver dipped to $20.243 and rose to $20.868 before it closed just 3 cents away from of new 27 year closing high with a gain of 1.4%.

 

Euro gold rose near €639, platinum lost $20.50 to $2070, and copper rose slightly to about $3.85.

 

Gold and silver equities rose about 1.5% to new all-time highs in early trade before they were dragged slightly lower on the session as the Dow fell over 300 points at one point, but the miners then rallied back higher into the close and ended with roughly 1% gains at new record closing highs.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

CPI

Feb

0.0%

0.3%

0.4%

Core CPI

Feb

0.0%

0.2%

0.3%

Michigan Sentiment

Mar

70.5

69.5

70.8

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Michigan Sentiment - March

70.5 v. 70.8

 

CPI - February

0.0% v. 0.4%

 

Core CPI - February

0.0% v. 0.3%

 

Business Inventories - January

0.8% v. 0.7%

 

Initial Claims - 3/08

353K v. 353K

 

Retail Sales - February

-0.6% v. 0.5%

 

Retail Sales ex-auto - February

-0.2% v. 0.5%

 

Import Prices - February

0.2% v. 1.6%

 

Import Prices ex-oil - February

0.6% v. 0.7%

 

Export Prices - February

0.9% v. 1.2%

 

Export Prices ex-ag. - February

0.5% v. 0.8%

 

Treasury Budget - February

-$175.6B v. -$120.0B

 

Trade Balance - January

-$58.2B v. -$57.9B

 

Wholesale Inventories - January

0.8% v. 1.1%

 

Next week’s economic highlights include the NY Empire State Index, Net Foreign Purchases, Capacity Utilization, and Industrial Production on Monday, PPI, Building Permits, Housing Starts, and the FOMC Policy Statement on Tuesday, and Initial Jobless Claims, Leading Economic Indicators, and the Philadelphia Fed on Thursday.  Markets will be closed on Friday for Good Friday.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil waffled near unchanged as the U.S. dollar index fell to yet another new all-time low and treasuries rose while the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P plummeted on news that Bears Stearns needed to be bailed out by the fed and JPMorgan Chase after its cash position "significantly deteriorated."  The market now expects the fed to cut at least 75 basis points next Tuesday with a further 50% chance that they will cut by 100 basis points priced in.

 

The Commentary:

 

“April Gold finished up 5.7 at 999.5, 8 off the high and 7.2 up from the low.

 

May Silver closed up 0.235 at 20.655. This was 0.305 up from the low and 0.29 off the high.

 

The gold market showed a rather wide range of trade on Friday morning with the April contract forging a low to high range of roughly $17.50 an ounce. While the gold market was seeing signs of minor production losses due to a mining strike, the main impetus behind the pulse up in prices was seemingly the revived financial sector concerns toward a major US brokerage firm. With a host of physical commodities coming under aggressive selling pressure into mid session, it wasn't all that surprising to see gold prices slide by almost $13 an ounce from the morning highs. Perhaps the market was disappointed in the lack of definitive downside follow through in the US Dollar because gold seemed to lose part of its early bullish vibe.

 

Like gold, the silver market displayed a volatile trade in the last trading session of the week with the May contract managing a morning rally of roughly 63 cents. However, silver did seem to be at least partially undermined as a result of the mid day rather sharp setback in a host of physical commodity prices. In fact, weakness in platinum, copper, grains, soft commodities and livestock prices also seemed to diffuse some of the speculative long interest in silver during the Friday trade.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Goldman expects 'explosive' commodities, oil rising to $175

Fed bails out Bear Stearns as stocks plunge

David Morgan: Nothing beats gold and silver in hand

Two financial houses are expecting currency intervention

At least there's SOMETHING in Ethiopia's gold vault

ECB urged to rig currency market, just like gold market

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 3/13/2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,498,520

+84,698

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

135,764,892

-306,331

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

StreetTRACKS Gold Shares

652.48

20,977,756

US$ 20,869m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

112.85

3,628,164

US$ 3,625m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

19.57

628,793

US$ 628m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

28.24

908,036

US$ 903m

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 3/13/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$1,994,429,335

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

2,010,183.086

Shares Outstanding

20,350,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

62.52

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 3/13/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$3,635,740,578

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

174,908,876.800

Shares Outstanding

17,650,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

5,440.27

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Almaden’s (AAU) drilling, Paramount’s (PZG) trading on the TSX, Metallica’s (MRB) 2007 results and operations update, and Gammon Gold’s (GRS) law suit were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Minco Gold

MGH+18.06% $1.70

2.  Kimber

KBX +14.29% $1.44

3.  Hecla

HL +7.98% $12.72

 

LOSERS

1.  Gammon Gold

GRS -9.75% $9.26