Gold and silver are back in familiar territory as April future rose to a high of $572.30 while silver March future rose to a high of $971.50 in Asian trade. Physical demand was the highest in India over the past two days in 2006 as dealers stocked themselves up. It’s more of the investment demand that is helping gold and silver to continue to rally. The US dollar continued to trade in a range while there was a strong demand at the newly introduced 30 year treasuries.
Gold and silver need to fall and stabilize a bit a lower levels to generate higher physical and investment demand. Gold and silver may get overheated if they continue their rally to $625.000 and $1100.00 respectively. There will be investment demand at higher levels. The bank of Japan will sooner or later raise interest rates in 2006 and Japanese investors know that the free money which they are getting over the past ten to fifteen years will come at a cost soon. Japanese investors will desperately try to perk up commodities or any financial instrument and make a quick buck. They did it to the Euro in 2005, to the commodities in 2005 and 2006. Japanese are one of the most suspicious and conservative investors in the world and do their homework before investing. But when they invest they control that market. The Japanese are to a certain extent are instrumental in the current commodity rally. They were last to invest in Indian equities but when they started investing the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) crossed 10,000 and makes history. Gold and silver prices are dependent on Eastern investors.
There is lack of major market moving news today other than the US trade deficit number for December. Overall bullish trend remains intact unless gold closes below $560.00 and silver closes below $950.00.
GOLD
Gold is back to usual territory and targets $580 and $600.00 once again. On the lower side $548.00 and $540.00 are strong support. A short term double bottom has been formed in the charts at $546.00.
SILVER
Silver is once again within firing distance of $1000.00 and $1050.00. On the lower side $952.00 and $926.00 are the key support levels.
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