“No News is Good News” for gold and silver. Gold April futures rose to a high of $559.10 while silver March future rose to a high of $957.50 before settling at $556.60 and $954.50. The US dollar traded in a range while crude oil prices continued to rise over supply disruptions in Nigeria and Iran tensions.
Markets are preferring to go long on expectations that US tensions with Iran might result in an attack. Every bad news is being shrugged off and good news result in higher commodity prices. Traders and retail investors are preferring to long than short as reflected by their net open positions. Physical demand from major consumers like India will reach a top by the end of March as new crops has started arriving and farmers have also started buying their yearly demand for gold. The great Indian marriage season will peak in March (although the season will continue till middle of May). However most of the news on physical demand and geopolitical risk have been priced in by the markets. The current unending rise in commodity prices is mainly due to be speculative activity and will continue for the time being. However any signal by Bank of Japan that they will increase interest rates soon (despite being the lowest in the world) may alter everything.
There is lack of major market moving news today and it will be a technical trade day for gold and silver. The overall sentiment is bullish for gold and silver and intra day market moves on sentiments.
GOLD
Gold targets $563.50 and $568.00 if it is able to maintain its momentum. A convincing break of $568.00 will result in $578 - $585.00 zone. On the lower side $552.10 and $542.00 are the support levels with $534.50 as the key short term support.
SILVER
Silver targets $968.00 - $972.00 zone if it holds $952.00. A convincing break of $972.00 will result in re test of $995.00. On the lower side there is an initial intra day support at $940.00 with $926.00 as the key short term support.
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