Gold and silver are slightly firm but for no reason other than continued consolidation.With less than three days until the FOMC meeting, traders are managing their positions cautiously as this week’s meeting could prove to be one of the more volatile meetings that we have seen in months.The Fed is expected to deliver their seventeenth consecutive interest rate hike, expectations of what the Fed will do or say is exceptionally diverse.Markets have priced in a quarter point interest rate hike but are divided on the tone of the accompanying FOMC statement.
Last weeks volatility has resulted in gold and silver traders still going long than short. Traders had gone short at lower lever gold august below $580.00 and silver july below $1005.0 in anticipation that the gold and silver will fall ahead of the Fed meeting which did not happen. A large number of these positions are yet to get squared off. Gold and silver will be volatile this week.
If gold fails to break and close over $602.80 this week, then gold can fall to $566.40 and $555.00 in July else expect $650.00 and $670.00 in July. Spot silver needs to close over $998.00 this week so that it can target $1250-$1300 in July. It is still preferable to buy on any 2% to 5% decline. It’s all on the Fed statement.Long term bullishness remains intact and gold and silver will be delinked from everything. Crude oil prices are over $70.00 a barrel which might result in Fed signaling to raise interest rates in August.
GOLD
Gold needs to break the 100 day MA at $602.80.; Initial support stands at $585.00 and $577.40 with $566.40 as the key intra day support.
SILVER
Silver needs to break and close over $1041.00 for $1071 and $1110.00. On the lower side $1008 is the initial support with the 200 day MA at $968 as the key support level.
Happy Profitable Trading
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