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Asian Metals Market Update for 25th August, 2006



By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants


-- Posted Friday, 25 August 2006 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

GOLD

SILVER

COMEX GOLD DECEMBER FUTURE -- $629.30

COMEX SILVER SEPTEMBER FUTURE -- $1233.00

 EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

GOLD -- $616.00 -- $642.50

SILVER -- $1188.0 - $1268.00

COPPER AND CRUDE OIL -- EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

COPPER SEPTEMBER -- $332.00 - $356.30

NYMEX CRUDE OIL AUGUST  - $68.65 - $73.10

MULTI COMMODITY EXCHANGE OF INDIA (MCX)

GOLD OCOTBER FUTURE/10 GRAMS

SILVER SEPTEMBER FUTURE/KG

Rs.9,350- Rs.9,640

Rs.18,280 - Rs.19,500

COPPER AUGUST FUTURE

CRUDE OIL SEPTEMBER FUTURE

Rs.342.00 - Rs.364.00

Rs.3,320 - Rs.3,400

GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS

  It’s just the lack of liquidity that is driving gold and silver lower. As the summer trading comes to an end the traders are booking profits very quickly. The US dollar is immune to all the bad news from the US economy as there is still positive growth and consumer confidence remains firm. Gold December future fell to a low of $628.80 while silver September future fell to a low of $1224.50 in Asian trade.

 

Gold is being supported by silver and if silver falls, gold will fall more. Silver rose due to some sharp short covering and fell as soon as the short covering demand was over. If crude oil prices fall, gold and silver will also fall but the fall will be temporary. Crude oil prices still has hurricane risk premium and if there are no hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, the fall in crude oil prices is inevitable unless there is severe supply disruptions from middle east or any part of the world.

 

Turkey plans to start its first gold exchange (ETF)) traded fund at the end of September. India’s first gold exchange traded fund will start soon. Other countries will also starting gold ETF’s. All the exchange traded funds need gold. At the moment supply is abundant due the selling by German central bank. Demand should pick up next month. Gold inventory levels are at a minimum due to very falling prices. Once gold demand picks up and traders start to increase their gold inventory, prices should start to rise. The fall in gold may last until the first week of September and thereafter gold should rise.

 

GOLD -- DECEMBER FUTURE

  Gold needs to hold $616.80 on closing basis to prevent a slide to $594.60. Initial support stands at $626.80 and $623.20. Resistance is at $634.50 and $639.

 

SILVER -- SEPTEMBER FUTURE

 Silver needs to hold $1207 on closing basis to prevent a slide to $1162 and $1137. There will be sellers over $1250 unless there is a convincing break of $1268. A convincing break of $1268 will result in $1292 and $1320.

 

 

Happy Profitable Trading & A Great Weekend

 

For SMS and Yahoo support please mail at sms@insigniaindia.com

 

 Disclaimer : Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of

prices of specific currencies, precious metals, base metals, or equity indices reflect the views

of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees  have any liability 

for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any

 party  in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies,

errors in, or omissions of Information.

 


-- Posted Friday, 25 August 2006 | Digg This Article


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