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Asian Metals Market Update for 9th October, 2006



By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants


-- Posted Monday, 9 October 2006 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

GOLD

SILVER

COMEX GOLD DECEMBER FUTURE -- $582.30

COMEX SILVER DECEMBER FUTURE -- $1138.50

 EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

GOLD -- $564.60 -- $603.40

SILVER -- $1092 - $1220.00

COPPER AND CRUDE OIL -- EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

COPPER DECEMBER -- $330.00 - $362.00

NYMEX CRUDE OIL  NOVEMBER  - $58.20 - $63.00

MULTI COMMODITY EXCHANGE OF INDIA (MCX)

GOLD DECEMBER FUTURE/10 GRAMS

SILVER DECEMBER FUTURE/KG

Rs.8,580- Rs.9,040

Rs.17,050 - Rs.18,600

COPPER NOVEMBER FUTURE

CRUDE OIL OCTOBER FUTURE

Rs.342.00 - Rs.362.00

Rs.2,720 - Rs.2880

 

 Gold, silver as well as crude oil rose in Asian trading after Opec decided to cut crude oil production and US prepares a draft on sanctions on Iran to be discussed with the European Union. Gold December future rose to a high of $583 while silver December future rose to a high of $1139. US unemployment rate fell in September which has put an uncertainty over the markets expectations of continued pause in US interest rate. Last week the European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates as a preemptive measure to curb inflation. The Fed could be following the footsteps of ECB sooner than later. Markets have factored in a bank of England interest rate hike next month. Inflationary expectations are driving the markets and preventing gold from falling.

 

Copper pared some of its losses on dwindling global inventories and greater global demand as we near thanksgiving and Christmas. Silver is a precious metal as well as a base metal and is affected by fluctuations in base metals as well precious metal. India has doubled is target for investment in infrastructure to $320 billion by 2012. Creating new infrastructure facilities implies more demand for steel cement as well as copper and base metals. The Indian and Chinese demand will prevent copper and other base metals from a major slide. The current prices of base metals as well as precious metals have an imbedded speculation interest. If there is reduction of speculative interest in commodities, copper and silver could temporarily slide without altering the long term trend.

 

For the time being geopolitical risks of Iran and North Korea etc are not affecting gold and silver. If however as and when these risk catch the fancy of the markets, it may gold and silver positively. Gold and silver will continue to remain volatile.

 

GOLD -- DECEMBER FUTURE

  A break of $586.50 will result in re test of $600 and $614. On the lower side $574.20 is the initial support with $562.60 as the key short term support.

 

SILVER -- DECEMBER FUTURE

  Silver needs to break $1152 and $1184 for $1220 and $1256. On the lower side $1124 is the initial support with $1105 as the key short term support.

 

 

Happy Profitable Trading

 

For SMS and Yahoo support please mail at sms@insigniaindia.com

 

 Disclaimer : Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of

prices of specific currencies, precious metals, base metals, or equity indices reflect the views

of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees  have any liability 

for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any

 party  in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies,

errors in, or omissions of Information.

 Prepared By Chintan Karnani. Web Site:www.insigniaindia.com

 


-- Posted Monday, 9 October 2006 | Digg This Article


1080-81, Ugger Sen Street,”Somani Bhawan”
Sita Ram Bazar, New Delhi-110006. India.
Ph: [O] 91-11-30919880 [M] 09811139549
Website: www.insigniaindia.com
Email:



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