Gold December future is trading in $573.50-$586.50 range while silver December future is trading in $1105-$1155 range and a break out is in the offing soon. Gold and silver are being dictated by a combination of crude oil prices and the US dollar in the absence of major market moving news. Spot gold has so far managed to hold $570 as the crude oil rose and the US dollar weakened after the US trade balance numbers. Crude oil prices and the US dollar are concerned both are showing signs of a short term bottom. Most of the hedge funds are short on the US dollar and if the US dollar continues its gains today, there could liquidation of short US dollar positions by them. However if US dollar re starts its weakness from the current levels gold and silver will also rise.
The world's fifth largest reserves of gold and copper were discovered in Chaghi area in Pakistan's southwest Balochistan province. 200,000 tons of copper and 400,000 ounce of gold will be produced annually through the said project. These mines will not be enough to ease the supply squeeze or reduce investment interest.
Cautious optimism is all I can comment on gold and silver for the short term, despite being in neutral zone. Today’ s close is very important for gold and silver and a close over the 200 day moving averages of $599 and $1120 will result in $609 ad $1240 next week.
GOLD -- DECEMBER FUTURE
A break of $586.50 will result in re test of $600 and $614. On the lower side $574.20 is the initial support with $562.60 as the key short term support.
SILVER -- DECEMBER FUTURE
Silver needs to break and hold 1152 and $1184 for $1220 and $1256. On the lower side $1124 is the initial support with $1105 as the key short term support. Only a consolidated fall below $1105 will result in further losses to $1078 and $1055.
Happy Profitable Trading & A Great Weekend
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