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Asian Metals Market Update for 20th November, 2006



By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants


-- Posted Monday, 20 November 2006 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

GOLD

SILVER

COMEX GOLD DECEMBER FUTURE -- $624.80

COMEX SILVER DECEMBER FUTURE -- $1287.50

 EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

GOLD -- $618.00 -- $632.10

SILVER -- $1256 - $1320.00

COPPER AND CRUDE OIL -- EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

COPPER DECEMBER -- $298.00 - $315.00

NYMEX CRUDE OIL  NOVEMBER  - $57.00 - $61.72

NATIONAL COMMODITIES AND DERIVATIVES EXCHANGE (NCDEX)

GOLD DECEMBER FUTURE/10 GRAMS

SILVER DECEMBER FUTURE/KG

Rs.9112- Rs.9,300

Rs.18,800- Rs.19,600

STEEL DECEMBER FUTURE

CRUDE OIL DECEMBER FUTURE

Rs.18200.00 - Rs.19000.00

Rs.2,710 - Rs.2820

GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS

  This is Thanksgiving week. Gold has been consolidating in $612 - $630 range. Silver has consolidated in $1250 - $1320 range. Gold, silver and copper december future are expiring next week and the rollover and position squaring and rebuilding should pick up as the month comes to an end. December future has been a good battle between bulls and bears in every metal. Cyclical factors suggest that gold and silver should rise due to higher investment demand. However unless spot gold breaks and holds $636 and euro breaks 1.30 against the US dollar, short term traders will be sellers at higher levels.

 

Volatility of late has increased in gold, silver and the metals markets. In the beginning of 2006 gold, silver and most of the metals rose as the rise was a surprise for most of the market participants. In the current scenario most of the investors know that gold, silver  are in the phase of a long term bull rally due to correction in the overvalued US dollar. This has resulted in every increasing investment in precious metals markets. A few years ago few hedge funds had the power to manipulate gold and silver. Now the scenario has changed as a lot more money is needed to manipulate gold and silver. The second factor is technology. New and cheap technology has resulted in super fast news to the man on the street and a more and more investors have all the news with them before the trading decision. Technology has resulted investors in fund managers spotting new arbitrage opportunities and investing there. Despite the bullish factors in gold and silver, volatility will increase over the next few months and I would not be surprised to see gold rising $50 one week only to fall by $50 the next week. Making and gaining most of the volatility will be the key challenge for the investors over the next six months.

 

For the week, volumes will dip as the week progresses. Gold will continue to be linked to the US dollar as well as crude oil prices. Silver is a sleeping dragon. Copper and zinc have managed to hold on to their key long term supports and if they are able to hold to the same for the rest of the month we could see new highs over the coming months.

 

GOLD -- DECEMBER FUTURE

  Gold needs to break $632.20 for $639.30 and $657.30. On the lower side $613.90 and $606.60 are the key supports.

 

SILVER -- DECEMBER FUTURE

  Silver needs to break $1335 for further gains to $1430. On the lower side $1256 and $1232 are the support levels.

 

 

Happy Profitable Trading

 

For SMS and Yahoo support please mail at sms@insigniaindia.com

 

 Disclaimer : Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of

prices of specific currencies, precious metals, base metals, or equity indices reflect the views

of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees  have any liability 

for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any

 party  in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies,

errors in, or omissions of Information.

 


-- Posted Monday, 20 November 2006 | Digg This Article


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Sita Ram Bazar, New Delhi-110006. India.
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