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Asian Metals Market Update for 26th March, 2007



By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants


-- Posted Monday, 26 March 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

GOLD

SILVER

COMEX GOLD APRIL FUTURE -- $659.10

COMEX SILVER MAY FUTURE -- $1327.50

 EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

GOLD -- $653.70 -- $670.00

SILVER -- $1305.0 - $1369.00

COPPER AND CRUDE OIL -- EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

COPPER MAY  -- $303.00.00 - $318.10

NYMEX CRUDE OIL  APRIL    - $61.40 - $64.20

GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS

In India more and more mutual funds have started applying for the launch of Gold Exchange Traded Fund (GETF). The latest being Reliance mutual fund, other mutual funds could also be in foray.  GETF’s in India are an excellent way of diversification of investment specially for the Indian retail investor where there is lack of investment avenues (apart form equity, treasuries and real estate). According to our estimates, Gold Incremental demand from India will rise between 15 tonnes -20 tonnes per anum due to GETF. This rise in demand is apart from rise in normal Indian demand. This will result in gold trading with firm bias. Investors who have invested in equity based mutual funds will soon start diversifying into GETF. Indian retail investors who invest in GETF should invest for a period of 12 months to 18 months for higher returns. Short term investors who invest for a period of 2 months for 3 months should stay away. Investing in GETF is not a substitute to future trading. Investing in GETF is a replacement to buying physical gold from the market and hoarding in bank lockers. 

 

Copper is showing no signs of stopping as it rises slowly and steadily. Higher demand from China and falling global inventories is the culprit.  Aluminum has disappointed, but should see a good rise in after May. Aluminum demand should rise further as is the best substitute for copper. Nickel has potential to rise further, but I prefer to be day trader for nickel and would rather go short on any signs of change in momentum. Zinc is all about spread play. 

 

Gold and silver are trading in range. The performance of the US economy and equity markets will affect intra day price movement apart from crude oil, foreign exchange markets and geopolitical risk.

 

GOLD -- APRIL FUTURE

  Gold needs to break $668 - $670 zone for further gains to $676.30 and $682.60. On the lower side only a fall below $655 and $651.30 will result in a fall to $643.50 and $635.20.

 

SILVER -- MAY  FUTURE

  Silver needs to break $1369 for further gains to $1397. On the lower side only a daily close below $1305 will result in further losses to $1270.

 

 

Happy Profitable Trading

 

 Disclaimer : Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of

prices of specific currencies, precious metals, base metals, or equity indices reflect the views

of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees  have any liability 

for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any

 party  in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies,

errors in, or omissions of Information.

 Prepared By Chintan Karnani. Web Site:www.insigniaindia.com

 


-- Posted Monday, 26 March 2007 | Digg This Article


1080-81, Ugger Sen Street,”Somani Bhawan”
Sita Ram Bazar, New Delhi-110006. India.
Ph: [O] 91-11-30919880 [M] 09811139549
Website: www.insigniaindia.com
Email:





 



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