A complete U turn on US interest rate outlook resulted in sell off on bonds, equities, commodities, currency markets and every financial instrument. I had mentioned previously that lower treasury yields is one of the reason for increase in investor risk appetite. Yesterday yields rose and the sell off came. A direct correlation between treasury yields and risk appetite.The futures curve is pricing in a greater chance of a rate hike than a rate cut at this point.Expectations of higher interest rates resulted in the sell off. This is something which I have been mentioning time and gain in my reports. Managing volatility and coping with will be the key in 2007. Days like yesterday and February 27 will come over and over gain in 2007. We have more than two hundred days in 2007 (including Saturdays and Sundays). Liquidity globally is at a historical peak. The Central banks are not solely responsible for creating excess liquidity. Technology is partly responsible as it has enabled investors to switch from investment to another in a flash of a second.
Nickel was the worst performer yesterday. A few days back I had mentioned that we could a sell off any time in nickel due to cyclical factors which happened yesterday and could continue today. Copper and Zinc look weak but are able to hold on to their key technical supports. Gold and silver have been holding on to their key medium term technical supports and only a lower close today will result in further sell off next week.
GOLD -- AUGUST FUTURE
Gold needs to hold $662.90 to prevent further losses to $657.60 and $651.40. On the higher side the earlier support of $671.40 is the initial resistance with $678. as the key resistance.
SILVER -- JULYFUTURE
Silver needs to hold $1339 to prevent further losses to $1314 and $1292. On the higher side $1374 is the initial resistance with $1386 as the key resistance.
Happy Profitable Trading
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