Yesterday’s rise in gold was unexpected. Crude oil prices edging past $100, nervousness on the equities front have contributed to the rally in precious metals and base metals. Interest rate cuts by the Fed have started impacting the markets as availability of cheap money is being invested in commodities. As long as Fed continues to cut interest rates, commodities will continue to rise which includes gold and crude oil as well. Markets now expect crude oil demand to remain firm on back if continued rise in Chinese and Indian demand. This factor is not new. The lower crude oil price range demanded by oil producing nations is getting higher with passing of each month. In January I heard they will not let crude oil prices fall below $85. Now there is a speculation that $90 could be base price. Higher crude oil prices will only support gold prices.
Silver should rise and outperform gold in the next few months. I am very optimistic about silver as I am with gold. However volatility will be high and it will be a day trader’s nightmare.
GOLD -- APRIL FUTURE -- INTRA DAY PIVOT:$921.60
Gold can rise to $956.30 and $993 as long as it holds $916.50. Gold has to fall below $916.50 for a fall to $908.60 and below.
HAPPY PROFITABLE TRADING
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-- Posted Wednesday, 20 February 2008 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com
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