-- Posted Monday, 12 September 2011 | | Disqus

Rick’s Picks

Monday, September 12, 2011

“Phenomenally accurate forecasts”

Jitters over Greece’s increasingly dire financial plight are waxing yet again, taking Wall Street traders by surprise if no one else. The Dow Industrial Average dove 303 points Friday on speculation that Greece would fall into default when the new week began. As of late Sunday night, however, there was barely a word about Greece on Google’s news page – only a story about rioting in the streets following enactment of a new, $2.7 billion property tax in the name of austerity.  That’s the relatively good news. The bad news is that France, of all countries, was generating scary headlines of its own: Woes at French Banks Signal a Broader Crisis, declared the Wall Street Journal.  “France’s largest private-sector banks will likely suffer further credit-rating downgrades this week, the latest sign that the debt crisis on the euro zone’s periphery is slowly infecting the core of the region’s financial system,” noted the article.  Just when we thought the panic was about to engulf Spain and Italy, the spinmeisters insert France into the picture as a buffer, a default risk calculated to be at least somewhat less thinkable than the one threatening to inundate France’s two large neighbors to the south. 

We doubt the diversion, if that’s what it is, will last for long, however, since, as everyone but the Powers That Be seems to understand by now, we’re all in this together -- Europe, the U.S., China, Japan, South America, Russia et al.  That fact hasn’t stopped U.S. banks from choking off lending to their European counterparts in recent weeks in a delusional attempt to distance themselves from the coming euro-implosion. Do Citibank, J.P. Morgan, Chase, Bank of America and their ilk actually believe their timid, eleventh-hour avoidance maneuvers will keep the blood-dimmed tide at bay when market forces ultimately overwhelm the central banks, as seems inevitable? The bankers might as well be piling sandbags against a nuclear blast.  Note the steep trajectory of the dollar’s rally in the chart above. We told subscribers last week that if it pierced the 77.38 peak labeled in red, a major breakout was in the offing.  As of Sunday night, the peak had been exceeded by a decisive 0.14 points, implying the upthrust is just getting started.  If so, from a financial standpoint it is August 1914 in Europe, with bleak implications for the rest of the economic world.

***

Information and commentary contained herein comes from sources believed to be reliable, but this cannot be guaranteed. Past performance should not be construed as an indication of future results, so let the buyer beware. There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and option trading, and even experts can, and sometimes do, lose their proverbial shirts.  Rick's Picks does not provide investment advice to individuals, nor act as an investment advisor, nor individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment. From time to time, its editor may hold positions in issues referred to in this service, and he may alter or augment them at any time. Investments recommended herein should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor, and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Rick's Picks reserves the right to use e-mail endorsements and/or profit claims from its subscribers for marketing purposes. All names will be kept anonymous and only subscribers’ initials will be used unless express written permission has been granted to the contrary. All Contents © 2011, Rick Ackerman. All Rights Reserved. www.rickackerman.com 

-- Posted Monday, 12 September 2011 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com

comments powered by Disqus
Previous Articles by Rick Ackerman

© 1995 - 2019

Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer