news.goldseek.com >> 8 March 2018

Is the Bitcoin Bull Market dead or just taking a breather?
By: Sol Palha

Despite the heavy beating Bitcoin has taken, the sentiment has not turned bearish, and Bitcoin experts are still enthusiastically issuing wild targets of $100K and beyond. Do these experts ever bother to look at the charts before issuing such targets or do they do so after ingesting some toxic substance? We will never know the answer to that question, but what we do know is that in most cases they have no idea of how high or low the market is going to go.

 news.goldseek.com >> 8 August 2017

Is Inflation an issue or did the Fed Mess Up?
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

Inflation, therefore, means an increase in the amount of receipts for gold on account of receipts that are not backed by gold yet masquerade as the true representatives of money proper, gold.

The holder of un-backed receipts can now engage in an exchange of nothing for something. As a result of the increase in the amount of receipts (inflation of receipts) we now also have a general increase in prices.

 news.goldseek.com >> 28 July 2017

Is Big Oil planning its Funeral by ignoring the obvious?
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

Smart phones were almost unheard of 10 years ago; they were very expensive and clumsy. Today the prices have dropped so much that almost everyone has a smart phone. Most people could not imagine living without one. Could the same thing hold true for the electric vehicle of the future? Time will tell, but history proves that new technology is embraced the moment it becomes affordable; the current trajectory indicates that the most expensive component of an EV is going to continue dropping at a very rapid rate clip.

 news.goldseek.com >> 21 June 2017

Random Thoughts on this Crazy Charging Stock Market Bull
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

In general, we prefer the term correction (mild, strong or back breaking) because a crash is meant to indicate the end of something, but almost every crash has proven to be the beginning of a new bull run. The best time to buy a stock is when the crowd is scared to death. This bull market will experience one very strong correction, but it will not mark the end of the bull, but the last leg of a very spectacular run. This spectacular run will end, and then we will experience meltdown that will eventually create another once in a “lifetime buying moment”.

 news.goldseek.com >> 26 May 2016

Negative Interest rates set to propel the Dow Jones to the Stratosphere?
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

Central bankers wanted to put the fear of God into the masses and to a large degree they have succeeded in doing so; the masses are so afraid that they continue to hoard their money and refuse to put into the market, and that is why this Bull-Market is the most hated in history. Nine years and counting and you would think by now they would have surrendered these false beliefs as the Bears have been decapitated, and the naysayers are hiding in the woodwork. However, ignorance, like stupidity knows no limits and continues to trend upwards; if there were a way to invest in stupidity it would be an easy way to score a home run.

 news.goldseek.com >> 27 April 2016

Why Gold bugs need to stop listening to the fear mongers and start thinking for a change
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

From Feb to March of 2016, Gold responded in the correct manner, as the dollar traded lower, it traded higher. After that, the situation changed, and Gold has been putting lower highs while the dollar has traded to new lows. This indicates that one market is out of sync, and this market is Gold. Thus, the dollar is likely to bottom and rally again, while the rally in Gold is likely to fizzle out.

 news.goldseek.com >> 7 April 2016

Negative Rates could trigger another Housing bubble
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

Additionally, it would be advisable to hold a core position in Gold; at some point in time Gold will start to react strongly to this massive form of currency debasement. Currencies are being destroyed on a global basis at a level never seen before. This will not end well, but as we have pointed out many times before, being right does not equate to market success. One has to look at the time factor, and most individuals do not have the staying power to bet against the Fed.

 news.goldseek.com >> 28 March 2016

China boats most billionaires in the world and makes for a great long term investment
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

If you are long term investor or someone with patience that can see the big picture, then the outlook is all but obvious. China is going to dominate the world for the next 100 years, and its markets will soar to heights that will appear insane by today’s standards. At this point, it makes sense to compile a list of strong companies and slowly establish long term positions. Every emerging power ran into obstacles but in the long run, they prevailed. The trend is in place, long term China is destined to be the next superpower; it's not a question of if but when.

The Chinese also have a fondness for Gold, and as they also have the world’s largest Middle class, expect demand for Gold to soar in the years to come.

 news.goldseek.com >> 24 March 2016

Share Buybacks: destructive innovation that’s keeping stock market bull alive
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

Nothing short of rising rates could put a damper on share buybacks, and that is not something that will occur anytime soon. The second option is for Congress to pass new laws making restricting companies from blatantly repurchasing their shares with the sole intention of raising their earnings per share. As Congress shares the same bed with these corporate giants, don’t expect such a law to come into effect shortly.

 news.goldseek.com >> 3 March 2016

Fed stuck between hard place and a grenade
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

The war on interest rates means that deflation will be here for longer than most expect, so it will be interesting to see how commodities in general, especially the precious metal’s sector hold up. Gold is off to a pretty good start, but it remains to be seen if a breakout past the strong zone of resistance at $1350. It needs to put in a pattern of higher lows which it has not managed to do since 2012. The next pullback will be interesting, for it leads to a higher low, and then this recent breakout might have some muscle behind it.

 news.goldseek.com >> 23 February 2016

People’s QE: Central bankers War on Savings
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

Conventional wisdom states that precious metals trend upward when rates are rising. We are living in strange times, and central bankers are breaking rules left, right and centre so this old paradigm might not hold true. If the masses are forced to speculate, they could decide that Gold is a better storage of wealth. However, for that to come to pass, the average Joe would have to understand the true meaning of the word inflation and that Gold is a currency and not some ancient relic that has no place in the 21st century.

 news.goldseek.com >> 18 February 2016

Precious Metal’s War: Central bankers have not lost and never will
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

We are not stating that Gold and Silver will not have their day in the sun again. In fact, we still hold onto the view that Gold could trade high as $5,000 and silver north of $200. We have still not had the feeding frenzy stage; in other words, the masses did not participate in the last Bull Run that ended in 2011. However, do not assume that Gold or for that matter any market will trend upwards forever. At this point of the game, it makes sense to deploy some money into Bullion. Until there is a clear signal that a bottom is in place, it would be wise to limit your foray into Gold stocks.

 news.goldseek.com >> 5 February 2016

Illusory economic recovery supported by hot money
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

It appears that Gold is making a valiant attempt to put in a bottom. It will take a monthly close above $1200 to indicate that the worst is behind and that Gold is ready to trend upwards. Until then Gold is going to be tied in a trading range, with the possibility that it could still trade down to $1000. However, as we stated before, it makes sense to put some money into bullion, but we would abstain from jumping into gold stocks as the sector still has not confirmed that a bottom is in place.

 news.goldseek.com >> 22 September 2015

Gold prices are set to jump or maybe not
By: Sol Palha

We were very bullish on gold starting from 2002 and our bullishness continued until the beginning of 2011. In 2011, we started to voice concern as the Gold camp was chanting “Kumbaya my love”, and almost every Tom, Dick and Harry in the Gold market were all busy issuing higher targets. Towards the middle of 2011, there were many signs that all was not well.

 news.goldseek.com >> 15 September 2015

Markets crashing: is it time to panic?
By: Sol Palha

The answer to this plain question should always be a resounding no: it never pays to give into panic. The smartest option is to derail this emotion before it gains any traction. Once fear takes over, the end is nigh. When the markets were disintegrating approximately two weeks ago and if you were one of the lucky few that opted against joining the bandwagon of panic, you should have had a feeling of déjà vu; sort of like the movie ground hogs day.

 news.goldseek.com >> 13 September 2015

Forever QE Continues Unabated
By: Sol Palha

Corporations are using share buyback programs to manipulate earnings, by reducing the float of outstanding shares. This ploy was not as ubiquitous before, but today it is being used rather indiscriminately by companies as a way to boost EPS. This modern form of alchemy turns would-be losses into profits or can be utilized to make modest profits appear to be impressive in nature. We are now in the paradigm of lies and deceit. In these conditions, the truth does not thrive.

 news.goldseek.com >> 7 September 2015

Destined to lose; what you can do to improve your odds
By: Sol Palha

The average person regardless of their education or lack off usually is on the receiving end of the stick when it comes to investing in the markets. The reason for this quandary is really very simple and predicated upon the fact that the average person’s decision-making process is driven by their emotional state. Successful investing and emotions do not go together; it’s an awful mix, and the outcome is always the same; stress and loss.

 news.goldseek.com >> 28 August 2015

Currency wars detonate; Gold refuses to budge
By: Sol Palha

Over the years we have frequently stated that every that every major bull market will experience at least one back breaking correction. Usually the correction culminates with a 50% pullback from the highs. In the case of Gold, this would equate to a pullback to $960. The precious metal’s sector had a splendid lope that began in 2003 and ended with spectacular dash in 2011. To think that the Gold bull would continue unabated would be to put it mildly wishful thinking. Sadly, many Gold bugs opted for this line of thought, rather than dealing with reality; the reality being that it was time for the entire sector to let out some steam.

 news.goldseek.com >> 14 August 2015

7 Key rules contrarian investors should adhere too
By: Sol Palha

Contrarian investing is a dynamic field and not a static one. The assumption that it’s a static field is held by the new breed of fashion contrarians, whose only donation to this field has been to glamorize it and distort the correct notion of being a contrarian investor. These fashion contrarians are no different from those with the mass mindset; they only pretend to do things differently, but the moment fear or uncertainty is in the air, they flee for the exits like bandits being chased by the hounds of hell.

 news.goldseek.com >> 10 August 2015

Altered reality is the new reality
By: Sol Palha

This action by the Fed to wittingly alter reality, by deliberately distorting the financial landscape, could be viewed as something appalling, if you stand on moral high ground or take the good Samaritan angle……… Both of which will produce mounting losses and a boatload of unnecessary stress. ......The observer’s angle tells you to understand this phenomenon, and then find a way to benefit from it. The phrase “don’t fight the Fed” was not coined without reason.

 news.goldseek.com >> 22 July 2015

Market Shenanigans
By: Sol Palha

When you think logically and or use old parameters to gauge this market, every single bone in your body probably screams out that this market should crash and burn. That is true, but what is also true is that as nothing is real, logic has no place when it comes to the illusory. How can you use logic (which is based on using real and compelling data) to judge an event that is illusory in nature?