LIVE Gold Prices $  | E-Mail Subscriptions | Update GoldSeek | GoldSeek Radio 

Commentary : Gold Review : Markets : News Wire : Quotes : Silver : Stocks - Main Page 

 GoldSeek.com >> News >> Story  Disclaimer 
 
Latest Headlines

GoldSeek.com to Launch New Website
By: GoldSeek.com

Is Gold Price Action Warning Of Imminent Monetary Collapse Part 2?
By: Hubert Moolman

Gold and Silver Are Just Getting Started
By: Frank Holmes, US Funds

Silver Makes High Wave Candle at Target – Here’s What to Expect…
By: Clive Maund

Gold Blows Through Upside Resistance - The Chase Is On
By: Avi Gilburt

U.S. Mint To Reduce Gold & Silver Eagle Production Over The Next 12-18 Months
By: Steve St. Angelo, SRSrocco Report

Gold's sharp rise throws Financial Times into an erroneous sulk
By: Chris Powell, GATA

Precious Metals Update Video: Gold's unusual strength
By: Ira Epstein

Asian Metals Market Update: July-29-2020
By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants

Gold's rise is a 'mystery' because journalism always fails to pursue it
By: Chris Powell, GATA

 
Search

GoldSeek Web

 
Gold Action No. 338 - Snippet (Gold, Gold Share Relative Value + More)


By: Dr. Clive Roffey, Gold Action


-- Posted Tuesday, 4 March 2003 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

The world’s banking system is in disarray. Argentina has defaulted on two loan repayments, but that is OK. Japanese banks are in chaos, but that has been forgotten. European insurers are on the bones of their assets as they are virtually at the point of not being able to trade. But that is OK because the UK financial services watchdog has altered the rules four times in 18 months so that the insurers can still trade. They have even stated that the asset requirements of the insurers may be waived to enable the industry to still conduct business. Even the Bank for International Settlements has expressed concern about the asset cover of many of the European insurers. Leading banks in both Germany and Switzerland have passed paying a dividend for the first time in 50 and 100 years. But that is OK, who wants dividends? The leading New York banks have derivative exposures of around $55 trillion, greater than the total GDP of the world. But that is OK because it is an internalized system, or so the argument goes.

According to analysts the financial shares are great value, yet the whole system is slowly but surely collapsing around our ears.

Make of it what you will, but I will not go near a financial stock with a bargepole.

But a discussion of banking problems is not my main reason for bringing up the subject. A degradation of the banking system implies a disintegration of the monetary system. This has already been clearly illustrated by the weakness of the dollar and the transfer of international capital into other currencies. It takes billions of dollars to move the currency market to such a degree. This is not new money panicking. It is not old money being conservative. It is informed money taking a hike.

I find the banking crisis to be a far more dominant force that is likely to affect the longer term price of gold than all the political posturing about Iraq. From where I sit Saddam has proved a master political tactician. He has split the United Nations and especially the Security Council. He has split Europe. He has delayed and delayed until the 59th minute of the eleventh hour before destroying any missiles. He has played Western politicians for fools. How long he will be allowed to get aweay with it is another matter.

All I know is that gold is in a long term bull market and that we are almost ready for the shares to commence the upside breakout from he corrective phase that started last May. This is BUYING time. NOT panic selling time. Go for those gold shares.


Gold Action is a fortnightly commentary on global gold and precious metal markets produced by Dr. Clive Roffey who has been a leading independent commentator on gold markets since 1969. Contact email : chartist@mweb.co.za


Gold Bullion

From June to November 2002 the $gold price mapped out a classic triangle from which the price had a catapult up to $388. Since this event the price has relaxed. The Fibonacci 61,8% retracement level is at $344. This price was achieved in New York on Thursday night. Many analysts are insisting that bullion needs to fall right back to the start of the triangle at $320. I do no believe this will occur as in a bull market the 61,8% retracement should hold. In addition the shares are all close to completing a major correction.

Gold Share Relative Value

I have often detailed my value chart. It has now moved into buying territory with a level of 8. In addition I must look for a downside move in the line to more overvalued levels associated with a bull market. There is a large divergence indicating a downside move. A falling line indicates a rising gold market.

(More for paying subscribers...)


-- Posted Tuesday, 4 March 2003 | Digg This Article


Technical Analysis Course: http://www.charts.co.za

Website analysis: http://www.utm.co.za

Gold Action is a fortnightly commentary on global gold markets produced by Dr. Clive Roffey who has been a leading independent commentator on gold markets since 1969.



 



Increase Text SizeDecrease Text SizeE-mail Link of Current PagePrinter Friendly PageReturn to GoldSeek.com

 news.goldseek.com >> Story

E-mail Page  | Print  | Disclaimer 


© 1995 - 2019



GoldSeek.com Supports Kiva.org

© GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC

The content on this site is protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and is the property of GoldSeek.com and/or the providers of the content under license. By "content" we mean any information, mode of expression, or other materials and services found on GoldSeek.com. This includes editorials, news, our writings, graphics, and any and all other features found on the site. Please contact us for any further information.

Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer


Map

The views contained here may not represent the views of GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC, its affiliates or advertisers. GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the information (including news, editorials, prices, statistics, analyses and the like) provided through its service. Any copying, reproduction and/or redistribution of any of the documents, data, content or materials contained on or within this website, without the express written consent of GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC, is strictly prohibited. In no event shall GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC or its affiliates be liable to any person for any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the information provided herein.