Advertise | Bookmark | Contact Us | E-Mail List |  | Update Page | UraniumSeek.com 

Commentary : Gold Stock Review : Markets : News Wire : Quotes : Radio : Silver : Stocks - Main 
  
 GoldSeek.com >> News >> Story

 Disclaimer 

Latest Headlines


GoldSeek.com Radio: Puru Saxena, the International Forecaster & host Chris Waltzek
By: radio.GoldSeek.com

International Forecaster September 2008 (#2) - Gold, Silver, Economy + More
By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster

More TwosDay Silver Shortage Reports
By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report

Housing Debacle
By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor

Thoughts on the Continuing Crisis
By: John Mauldin, Millennium Wave Advisors

The Assets of Penultimate Fools
By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU

Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Fall Over 3% and 9% on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com

Making a Bad Situation Badder
By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew

COT Gold, Silver and US Dollar Index Report - September 5, 2008
By: GoldSeek.com

Achilles Heel, Shock Wave, Transformation
By: Jim Willie CB


Search

GoldSeek Web



 
Gold Retreats Into Range



-- Posted Monday, 7 July 2008 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | Source: GoldSeek.com

The Morning Gold Report by Peter A. Grant

July 07 a.m. (USAGOLD) -- Gold has dipped back below the midpoint of the range, weighed by a rebound in the dollar and slightly easier oil prices.

The dollar index continues to recover from the 72.00 zone, bolstered by a more neutral stance from the ECB last week. Better than expected, although still quite negative, US jobs data last week served to underpin the greenback as well.

The market also seems to be anticipating some fresh dollar supportive jawboning out of the G8 summit which began in Japan today. In addition, Fed chairman Bernanke will speak at the FDIC forum on Tuesday and the market will be attune to any clues regarding a potential Fed rate hike.

Given that Mr. Bernanke will be speaking on mortgage lending specifically, I wouldn't expect any decisively hawkish comments. With the housing market still in a rather sharp decline, any hint that borrowing costs will be increasing would have a negative impact on demand.

A slight easing of tensions in the Middle East may also be playing a role in gold's pullback. Bloomberg reported on Friday that Iran gave a "constructive" response to the latest offer of incentives aimed at encouraging the nation to halt its uranium enrichment program.

The EUR-USD rate has found support just ahead of the 1.5600 level, bolstered by a convergence of the 20, 50 and 100-day moving averages. A short-term rebound above 1.5700/27 is needed to ease pressure on the downside a call for renewed probes above the 1.5800 level. A move back above the latter would return considerable credence to the (dollar bearish) scenario that calls for an eventual retest of the 1.6020 all-time high.

The dollar has bounced against the Swiss franc as well, moving back above the 100-day moving average. The 50 and 20-day MAs have capped the upside thus far. Risk aversion flows have benefited the Swiss franc in recent weeks, a trend that is likely to continue. Scope remains for a return to parity.

USD-JPY has regained the 107.00 level as the yen weakened on heightened worries over a slowing Japanese economy. High commodity prices are hitting the island nation particularly hard. However, solid resistance at 108.58/60 is seen as limiting on the upside.

GBP-USD plunged back below the 1.9700 level after failing to sustain last week's brief probe above 2.0000. UK manufacturing and industrial production for May came in much worse than expected at -0.5% m/m and -0.8% m/m, respectively.

These data show that the UK economy is slowing rapidly, reducing the likelihood of a rate hike later this year. These shifting expectations have weighed on Sterling and given the dollar some additional support. The BoE is widely expected to hold steady on rates when the MPC meets later this week.

While the dollar is engaged in a modest correction, the corresponding dip in the yellow metal is seen as another buying opportunity within the range. Buying interest is expected to be good ahead of the pivotal $900 level.

A short-term rebound about 932.00/936.27 is likely to lead to a retest of the 946.35/954.70 resistance zone. Penetration of the latter would confirm potential for renewed probes above $1,000.

Gold Market Movers:

German industrial production for May -2.4% m/m, well below market expectations.

UK manufacturing production for May -0.5% m/m, well below expectations.

UK industrial production for May -0.8% m/m, well below market expectations.

Taiwan CPI for June surged to 5.0% y/y. Exports +21.3% y/y.

Rising commodity prices, threats of global recession and the African economies

OPEC president blames ethanol for crude-price rise

Americans spending more on gas than cars

Waiting for stocks to rally? Don't hold your breath

Gulf states urged to rethink dollar pegs

Opinions expressed in commentary on the USAGOLD.com website do not constitute an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any precious metals product, nor should they be viewed in any way as investment advice or advice to buy, sell or hold. Centennial Precious Metals, Inc. recommends the purchase of physical precious metals for asset preservation purposes, not speculation. Utilization of these opinions for speculative purposes is neither suggested nor advised. Commentary is strictly for educational purposes, and as such USAGOLD - Centennial Precious Metals does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information found here.

Pete Grant is the Senior Metals Analyst and an Account Executive with USAGOLD - Centennial Precious Metals. He has spent the majority of his career as a global markets analyst. He began trading IMM currency futures at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in the mid-1980's. In 1988 Mr. Grant joined MMS International as a foreign exchange market analyst. MMS was acquired by Standard & Poor's a short time later. Pete spent twelve years with S&P - MMS, where he became the Senior Managing FX Strategist. As a manager of the award-winning Currency Market Insight product, he was responsible for the daily real-time forecasting of the world's major and emerging currency pairs, along with the precious metals, to a global institutional audience. Pete was consistently recognized for providing invaluable services to his clients in the areas of custom trading strategies and risk assessment. The financial press frequently reported his personal market insights, risk evaluations and forecasts. Prior to joining USAGOLD, Mr. Grant served as VP of Operations and Chief Metals Trader for a Denver based investment management firm.


-- Posted Monday, 7 July 2008 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com




 



Increase Text SizeDecrease Text SizeE-mail Link of Current PagePrinter Friendly PageReturn to GoldSeek.com

 news.goldseek.com >> Story

E-mail Page  | Print  | Disclaimer 



© 1995 - 2008


© GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC


GoldSeek.com Supports Kiva.org

The content on this site is protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and is the property of GoldSeek.com and/or the providers of the content under license. By "content" we mean any information, mode of expression, or other materials and services found on GoldSeek.com. This includes editorials, news, our writings, graphics, and any and all other features found on the site. Please contact us for any further information.

Disclaimer

The views contained here may not represent the views of GoldSeek.com, its affiliates or advertisers. GoldSeek.com makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of the information (including news, editorials, prices, statistics, analyses and the like) provided through its service. Any copying, reproduction and/or redistribution of any of the documents, data, content or materials contained on or within this website, without the express written consent of GoldSeek.com, is strictly prohibited. In no event shall GoldSeek.com or its affiliates be liable to any person for any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the information provided herein.
OilSeek.com