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Gold Seeker Closing Report – August 16, 2004
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Monday, 16 August 2004 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

Market Analysis from CapitalUpdates.com:

 

The NY Fed Empire State index tumbled in August, falling to 12.6 points in August from 35.8 in July.  A dip to just 32.5 was expected.  This single economic report coming out on Monday combined with easing oil prices and a few earnings reports to cause the major movements on the markets today.

 

Due out tomorrow are several important economic reports:  At 6:30AM EST, Building Permits for July are expected at 1950K, Core CPI for July is expected at 0.2%, CPI for July is expected at 0.2%, and Housing Starts for July are expected at 1900K.  At 9:15AM are Capacity Utilization for July expected at 77.5% and Industrial Production for July expected at 0.5%.

 

Oil did not set a record high today and actually fell in price for just the second time in the past twelve sessions.  A questionable win by Venezuela’s Chavez eased worries about possible disruption in exports from there.  One event giving strength to oil today was Shi'ite militia that set fire to an oil well in southern Iraq, a new tactic in the uprising against U.S. forces and the new Iraqi government.  There were no major stories from Yukos today, only a top river transport company that threatened to halt Yukos oil shipments by September 1 over payment fears in a move that could affect 12% of the production by Russia's largest oil company.  Oil closed down $0.89 today to $45.69.

 

The ten year Treasury note yield rose to 4.258% from 4.213% as the September 2004 U.S. Treasury bond lost 0.53% to 110 24/32.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P moved higher today on easing oil despite the disappointing NY FED Empire State index.  Several earnings reports that can be found at our archives of our “Markets” section also moved the markets.  The Dow gained 1.31% to 9954.55, the Nasdaq gained 1.46% to 1782.84, and the S&P gained 1.37% in an all around strong day.

 

The U.S. dollar index also pulled out a marginal gain, increasing 0.02 points to 87.93 after spending much of the day above the 88 level.  The euro index lost 0.2 points to 123.42 and the yen gained 0.02 points to 90.44.

 

Gold & Silver Report from GoldSeek.com & SilverSeek.com:

 

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

4,709,677

-899

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

112,194,118

+1,977,004

 

Quite a bullish day for the metals today with futures for gold closing at a one-month high!  Gold and silver extended their gains seen on Friday after the deficit data with gains coming partly from a much lower than expected NY Empire State Index on Monday.  Gains today were seen in spite of a higher dollar for most of the day and the bull market in gold is starting to be recognized around the world as well.  Just look at gold in terms of foreign currencies, and not just the U.S. Dollar.  Notice the weakness in other currencies is even greater than that in the U.S. Dollar.  Courtesy of Kitco.com:

 

 Currency

Change%
X=1$USD

Last Update
NY
Time

X=
1$USD

X$USD
=1

Gold
Price/oz

Gold
Change

Gold
Change%

 US Dollar

--

08/16-12:00

--

--

401.70

3.10

 

0.77% 

 Australian Dollar

+0.06%

08/16-12:01

1.3944

0.7172

560.13

4.00

 

0.71% 

 Brazilian Real

+0.20%

08/16-11:40

3.0100

0.3322

1209.12

6.94

 

0.57% 

 British Pound

-0.13%

08/16-12:01

0.5437

1.8394

218.38

1.96

 

0.90% 

 Canadian Dollar

+0.18%

08/16-12:01

1.3076

0.7647

525.28

3.14

 

0.60% 

 Chinese Yuan

0.00%

08/13-03:40

8.2819

0.1207

3326.84

25.67

 

0.77% 

 Euro

-0.19%

08/16-12:01

0.8108

1.2334

325.68

3.11

 

0.96% 

 Indian Rupee

-0.25%

08/16-10:40

46.3350

0.0216

18612.77

189.48

 

1.02% 

 Japanese Yen

+0.06%

08/16-12:01

110.6550

0.0090

44450.11

315.13

 

0.71% 

 Mexican Pesos

+0.01%

08/16-12:00

11.3900

0.0878

4575.36

34.91

 

0.76% 

 Russian Ruble

+0.11%

08/16-09:30

29.2170

0.0342

11736.47

77.98

 

0.66% 

 S.African Rand

-1.76%

08/16-12:01

6.5900

0.1517

2647.20

66.67

 

2.52% 

 Swiss Franc

-0.32%

08/16-12:01

1.2437

0.8040

499.61

5.45

 

1.09% 

 

Gold and silver jumped at open again today and kept their gains throughout the NY session, with silver falling off just a bit at the close.  Gold gained $3.90 to $402.50 and silver gained $0.09 to $6.69.

 

The XAU and HUI also had strong days with both closing at their daily highs.  The XAU gained 2.11% to 89.69 and the HUI gained 2.45% to 194.51.

 

Gold & Silver Stock News Update from GoldReview.com:

 

Newmont and Alamos were among the big names in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today with several new headlines for the junior and exploration stocks stealing the spotlight today; get the full stories at http://www.goldreview.com/.

                                                                                         

- Written by Chris Mullen

 

à Special offer: Try a 6-month $99.99 six-month subscription today and receive a receive one of the following free offers: 

 

($35 value)

 

- Conquer the Crash (use coupon: F17B5)

 

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The Gold Seeker Closing Report is a free edition providing a daily wrap-up of gold & gold-related news.  For more in-depth analysis of the gold markets, subscribe to Gold Seeker.

 

All sources are given within the report and most articles can be found as they are released at http://www.capitalupdates.com/, http://www.goldseek.com/, http://www.silverseek.com/, and http://www.goldreview.com/.

 

© Gold Seeker 2004

Note: The following article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. GoldSeek.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond GoldSeek.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  GoldSeek.com and employees associated with Gold Seek LLC do not trade the stocks mentioned in stock reports for one week prior to and one week following publication. The information presented in stock reports are not a specific buy or sell recommendation and is presented solely for informational purposes only.  The author/publisher may or may not have a position in the securities and/or options relating thereto, & may make purchases and/or sales of these securities relating thereto from time to time in the open market or otherwise outside of the trading timeframe listed above. GoldSeek.com may have been compensated for their services in preparing and publishing this report. Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted Monday, 16 August 2004 | Digg This Article




 



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