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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up - Consumers Not So Confident
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


Market Analysis from CapitalUpdates.com:

 

The revised figure for August Michigan Sentiment came in lower than the expected 92.5 at 89.1.  The first drop in 3 months was blamed on high energy costs.  It comes in below the initial August reading of 92.7 and well below July’s reading of 96.5.

 

Greenspan’s speech at the economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming hosted by the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank showed the chairman’s concerns about low interest rates and perceived high liquidity.  He warned about the twin deficits and said that “the Federal Reserve is paying closer attention to the rising values of assets such as stocks and homes, as low interest rates encourage more risk-taking.”

 

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Oil traded mixed and near unchanged on differing views about the impacts of hurricane Katrina for most of trade Friday, but a sell-off in the last minutes of trade caused oil to fall from its record highs and lose $1.36 to $66.13.  Oil is still higher on the week by $0.78.

 

Treasuries found losses following Greenspan’s speech as the yield on the 10-year rebounded from 6 week lows.  For the week, the bond is higher by 0.38% and the yield is lower by 0.52%.

 

Treasuries

Close

Gain/Loss

10-Year Note Yield

4.189%

+0.029

September 2005 Bond

116 23/32

-9/32

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P started off Friday lower and continued to drop after the poor reading on Michigan consumer sentiment, but some losses were pared as oil fell off later in the day.  All 3 indices still fell to new 6 week lows.  For the week, the Dow is lower by 1.53%, the Nasdaq is lower by 0.69%, and the S&P is lower by 1.2%.

 

Index

Close

Gain/Loss

Dow

10397.29

-0.51%

Nasdaq

2120.77

-0.64%

S&P

1205.10

-0.60%

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were GM, Pixar, PetroKazakhstan, Merck, Goldman Sachs, MBNA, and DaimlerChrysler.

 

The U.S. dollar index traded modestly lower Friday morning amid rumors over further Yuan revaluation and concerns over the strength of the U.S. economy, though the index was able to find gains by the close of trade.  For the week, the dollar is lower by 0.82%, the euro is higher by 0.99%, and the yen is higher by 0.44%.

 

Currency

Close

Gain/Loss

U.S. Dollar Index

87.87

+0.18

Euro Index

122.89

-0.22

Yen

90.94

-0.06

 

This week’s economic reports:

 

Michigan Sentiment - August

89.1 v. 92.7

 

Help-Wanted Advertising Index - July

39 v. 38

 

Initial Jobless Claims - 8/20

315K v. 319K

 

New Home Sales - July

1.41M v. 1.324M

 

Durable Goods Orders - July

-4.9% v. 1.9%

 

Durable Orders ex. trans. - July

-3.2% v. 3.6%

 

Existing Home Sales - July

7.16M v. 7.35M

 

Next week brings a flurry of economic reports that start with Consumer Confidence and FOMC minutes on Tuesday, continues with GDP on Wednesday, sees Personal Income and Spending on Thursday, and ends with Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday.

 

Gold & Silver Report from GoldSeek.com & SilverSeek.com: 

 

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

5,949,338

-585

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

111,275,338

-

 

COT Gold Report - August 26, 2005

 

COT Silver Report - August 26, 2005

 

Gold traded mixed and near unchanged in Asia and London before a brief spike downward in New York that brought it to as low as $435.20 before soon rebounding and trading slightly higher for most of the rest of trade, but then spiking lower once more in the last minutes of trade to end the session lower by $1.10 to $436.80.  Silver traded mostly slightly higher in Asia and London before falling throughout New York trade and making a new 6 and ½ month low with a loss of $0.13 to $6.67.  For the week, gold is unchanged while silver is lower by $.30 or 4.3%.

 

Gold and silver equities traded slightly higher for most of the day, but fell off in the last minutes of trade to end mixed and near unchanged.  For the week, the XAU is lower by 2.44%, the HUI is lower by 2.67%, and the GDM is lower by 2.55%.

 

Index

Close

Gain/Loss

XAU

93.87

-0.41%

HUI

203.49

+1.09%

GDM

656.50

+0.23%

 

More Precious Metals Analysis:

 

“December gold closed lower, but within its recent 445 to 440 price range, but the funds appear to be in a selling mode which could push prices below 440 support. A stronger Dollar helped to push sentiment negative Friday, although news wire did report that physical gold demand is running strong in the Middle East and Asia. With the funds holding a very large net long position in gold, the market has become susceptible to profit taking.” - The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

Gold & Silver Stock News Update from GoldReview.com:

 

DRDGold’s optimism and plenty of news from the junior mining and exploration stocks were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.      Eldorado Gold

EGO +22.84% $3.55

2.      Orezone

OZN +6.21% $1.54

3.  Metallica

MRB +3.25% $1.27

 

LOSERS

1.       ARIZONA STAR

AZS.V -3.7% $5.20

2.       Gold Reserve

GRZ -3.37% $3.15

3.  Placer Dome

PDG -3.08% $14.17

         

Note:  Winners & Losers Will No Longer Track Stocks Under $1.

 

Would you like to receive the Free Daily Gold Seeker Report in your e-mail?

Click here.

 

Do you have questions, comments, or suggestions about this report?  Email Chris Mullen at cm@goldseek.com.

         

- Written by Chris Mullen

 

 

The Gold Seeker Closing Report is a free edition providing a daily wrap-up of gold & gold-related news.  For more in-depth analysis of the gold markets, subscribe to The Gold Forecaster.

 

All sources are given within the report and most articles can be found as they are released at http://www.capitalupdates.com/, http://www.goldseek.com/, http://www.silverseek.com/, and http://www.goldreview.com/.

 

© Gold Seeker 2005

Note: The following article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. GoldSeek.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond GoldSeek.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  GoldSeek.com and employees associated with Gold Seek LLC do not trade the stocks mentioned in stock reports for one week prior to and one week following publication. The information presented in stock reports are not a specific buy or sell recommendation and is presented solely for informational purposes only.  The author/publisher may or may not have a position in the securities and/or options relating thereto, & may make purchases and/or sales of these securities relating thereto from time to time in the open market or otherwise outside of the trading timeframe listed above. GoldSeek.com may have been compensated for their services in preparing and publishing this report. Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted Friday, 26 August 2005




 



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