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Gold Seeker Closing Report – Strong ISM Whipsaws Markets
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Monday, 3 October 2005 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

Market Analysis from CapitalUpdates.com:

 

The ISM Index for September, the first nation-wide report for September (after Katrina), surprised and came in as an increase to 59.4 from 53.6, rather than the expected decrease to 52.0.  The report brought up some inflation fears as the “Prices Paid” component of the report rose to 78 and indicated that the fed will continue to raise interest rates.

 

Construction Spending for August came in as expected and rose 0.4% to an all-time high of $1.11 trillion as the housing boom continues.

 

Tomorrow at 10AM EST brings Factory Orders for August expected at 2.0%.

 

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Oil traded mostly slightly lower in early trade and extended its losses in later trade to end the session with a loss of $0.77 to $67.47 “on signs that the release of emergency stockpiles will cover U.S. production lost in the Gulf of Mexico.”

 

Treasuries started off the day briefly higher before dropping off to find notable losses as interest rates jumped higher on the ISM Index report.  The yield on the 10 year climbed to new 7 week highs.

 

Treasuries

Close

Gain/Loss

10-Year Note Yield

4.386%

+0.058

December 2005 Bond

113 24/32

-21/32

 

The Dow and S&P started off higher on lower oil and a barrage of merger and acquisition news, though both indices fell off in later trade as interest rates jumped higher on the ISM Index report.  The Nasdaq, however, was able to trade slightly higher throughout the session despite high interest rates.

 

Index

Close

Gain/Loss

Dow

10535.48

-0.31%

Nasdaq

2155.43

+0.17%

S&P

1226.70

-0.17%

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were GM, Ford, Toyota, Nissan, Donnelly and Dex Media, Procter & Gamble, NRG Energy and Texas Genco, NTL and Telewest, Boots and Alliance UniChem, Telefonica and KPN, and Reliant.

 

The U.S. dollar index jumped to new 12 week highs following the release of the ISM Index report, furthering overnight gains seen on expectations of further interest rate hikes and on weakness in the yen due to the Bank of Japan's Tankan survey that showed business confidence rose less than economists expected.  The euro index fell to new 12 week lows.  The yen made new 16 month lows.

 

Currency

Close

Gain/Loss

U.S. Dollar Index

90.09

+0.65

Euro Index

199.22

-0.96

Yen

87.62

-0.37

 

Gold & Silver Report from GoldSeek.com & SilverSeek.com: 

 

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

6,737,148

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

116,6867,35

-

 

Gold fell around $3 in Hong Kong and furthered its losses in London before a brief rebound at the New York open that ended as the dollar found strength on the ISM Index report.  Gold ended near its lows of the session with a loss of $3.20 to $465.50.  Silver traded mixed in Asia before turning slightly lower in London and maintaining that range in New York to end with a loss of $0.06 to $7.36.

 

Gold and silver equities fell over 2% in morning trade before rebounding in the afternoon and cutting over half their losses to end just slightly lower.

 

Index

Close

Gain/Loss

XAU

112.35

-0.50%

HUI

242.71

-1.01%

GDM

773.02

-0.83%

 

More Precious Metals Analysis:

 

“The gold market started out soft and remained soft partly because of the strength in the Dollar and partly because the extended holiday in China. With the ISM and Construction spending from the US stronger than expected and the Dollar seemingly lifted by those readings it is not surprising that both gold and silver banked some profits. In fact, considering the magnitude of the spec long in gold and silver the markets were due for some profit taking. On the other hand, there would appear to be enough inflation talk in the headlines to underpin the metals and in the process keep the inflation buying interest alive in the metals.” - The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

Gold & Silver Stock News Update from GoldReview.com:

 

More news about Crystallex’s Las Cristinas property in Venezuela, Gold Fields’ production guidance, and Silvercorp’s earned 77.5% interest in the Ying High-Grade Silver project were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.      Miramar

MNG +7.69% $1.68

2.      Mines MGMT

MGN +3.47% $6.27

3.  Ivanhoe

IVN +1.56% $8.49

 

LOSERS

1.       Crystallex

KRY -10.83% $1.40

2.       Apex Silver

SIL -4.46% $15.01

3.  Gold Reserve

GRZ -4.35% $2.20

         

Note:  Winners & Losers Will No Longer Track Stocks Under $1.

 

Would you like to receive the Free Daily Gold Seeker Report in your e-mail? Click here.

 

Do you have questions, comments, or suggestions about this report?  Email Chris Mullen at cm@goldseek.com.

         

- Written by Chris Mullen

 

 

The Gold Seeker Closing Report is a free edition providing a daily wrap-up of gold & gold-related news.  For more in-depth analysis of the gold markets, subscribe to The Gold Forecaster.

 

All sources are given within the report and most articles can be found as they are released at http://www.capitalupdates.com/, http://www.goldseek.com/, http://www.silverseek.com/, and http://www.goldreview.com/.

 

© Gold Seeker 2005

Note: The following article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. GoldSeek.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond GoldSeek.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  GoldSeek.com and employees associated with Gold Seek LLC do not trade the stocks mentioned in stock reports for one week prior to and one week following publication. The information presented in stock reports are not a specific buy or sell recommendation and is presented solely for informational purposes only.  The author/publisher may or may not have a position in the securities and/or options relating thereto, & may make purchases and/or sales of these securities relating thereto from time to time in the open market or otherwise outside of the trading timeframe listed above. GoldSeek.com may have been compensated for their services in preparing and publishing this report. Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted Monday, 3 October 2005 | Digg This Article




 



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