-- Posted Thursday, 27 October 2005 | Digg This Article
Market Analysis from GoldSeek.com, SilverSeek.com & CapitalUpdates.com:
Report | For | Reading | Expected | Previous |
Durable Orders | Sep | -2.1% | -1.2% | 3.8% |
Initial Claims | 10/22 | 328K | 340K | 356K |
New Home Sales | Sep | 1222K | 1250K | 1197K |
Help-Wanted Index | Sep | 39 | 36 | 38 |
Impacts from the hurricanes and the Boeing strike were blamed for the poor Durable Goods Orders report. Excluding transportation, orders still fell 1%. Initial Jobless Claims attributed to the hurricanes now total about 502,000, with 24,000 claims being added in the past week. “Sales of new homes rose more slowly than expected in September, while the number of new houses on the market hit a record and median prices fell, according to a government report on Thursday that could signal cooling in the housing boom.” August’s sales were revised down from 1237K and sales in June and July were revised down as well.
Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings the advanced figure for 3rd quarter GDP expected at 3.6%. The Chain Deflator is expected at 2.8% and the Employment Cost Index is expected at 0.8%. At 9:45AM is the revised figure for October Michigan Sentiment expected at 76.0.
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| Close | Gain/Loss |
Gold | $473.60 | +$2.60 |
Silver | $7.79 | -$0.01 |
XAU | 105.55 | -0.21% |
HUI | 221.99 | -0.67% |
GDM | 714.69 | -0.88% |
USD | 89.11 | -0.44 |
Euro | 121.30 | +0.58 |
Yen | 86.59 | +0.27 |
Oil | $61.09 | +$0.43 |
10-Year | 4.558% | -0.033 |
Bond | 111 27/32 | +12/32 |
Dow | 10229.95 | -1.11% |
Nasdaq | 2063.81 | -1.73% |
S&P | 1178.90 | -1.05% |
Gold Warehouse Stocks: | 6,350,793 | - |
Silver Warehouse Stocks: | 116,256,983 | - |
Gold traded nicely higher in Asia and London before falling off a bit in late morning New York trade, but it then rebounded to end with a gain and close just $2.80 from the 17 and ¾ year closing high of $476.40 set 2 weeks ago. Silver traded lower in Asia before finding gains in London and trading around $7.90 in early New York trade, but it then fell off into the close to end with a 1 cent loss. Silver still remains just 2 cents from the 10 month high of $7.81 set last week. Palladium gained $2 to $223 to make new 15 month highs.
Gold and silver equities saw around 2% gains in early trade before quickly falling off to near unchanged and remaining near that level for the rest of the day.
More Precious Metals Analysis:
“The Gold market was initially lifted by another early downside breakout in the Dollar. It also seemed like the gold and silver markets were getting renewed fund buying interest in addition to flight to quality buying off the General Motors situation. With both gold and silver tracking higher in the face of weakness in the industrial metals, it would seem like the gains Thursday were either tied to the Dollar slide or to simple flight to quality buying. Even more surprising is that the gold market managed to hold most of the early gains despite new rumors regarding a year end Bundesbank decision on another gold sale.” - The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting
The U.S. dollar index fell on the poor Durable Goods Orders report and on worries about GM. The euro rose to 4 week highs.
Oil started off the day about 50 cents higher before dropping to near unchanged ahead of the natural gas inventories that showed a rise of 77 billion cubic feet after expectations between 55 and 75 billion cubic feet. The bearish number sent natural gas, crude oil, heating oil, and gasoline all immediately lower, but all 4 rebounded from there to end mixed.
Treasuries rose on the poor Durable Goods Orders report and also on worries over GM. The yield on the 10 year fell from near 7 month highs.
The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P fell on the poor Durable Goods Orders report, mixed company earnings and guidance, and on worries over GM. All 3 indices fell throughout the day and ended at or near their lows of the session with significant losses.
Among the big names making news in the market today were Overstock.com, Goody’s Family, Refco, Dow Chemical, Lubrizol, Lyondell Chemical, Glaxo, AstraZeneca, Franklin Resources, Union Pacific, Exxon Mobil, General Motors, WorldCom, Verizon, Goodyear, Shell, Raytheon, ChoicePoint, Sony, and Martha Stewart Living.
Gold & Silver Stock News Update from GoldReview.com:
Hecla’s possible problems in Venezuela, Barrick’s earnings and dividend, Placer Dome’s costs and mine development, Buenaventura’s gold output at Yanacocha, Orezone’s new gold zones at its Sega gold project, Goldcorp’s drilling with MetalCORP, Agnico-Eagle’s and Cornerstone’s El Strato results, 3rd quarter results from Richmont, Great Panther’s silver-gold mines acquisition, and Silver Standard’s extended zone at Pitarrilla were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.
WINNERS
1. IMA Expl. | IMR +4.68% $2.816 |
2. Bema Gold | BGO +3.73% $2.50 |
3. Gammon Lake | GRS $2.5% $7.78 |
LOSERS
1. Buenaventura | BVN -14.54% $25.80 |
2. Mines MGMT | MGN -8.11% $6.23 |
3. Hecla Mining | HL -7.71% $3.35 |
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- Written by Chris Mullen
Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed stocks that trade over $1.
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-- Posted Thursday, 27 October 2005 | Digg This Article