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Gold Seeker Closing Report – The Twin Deficits
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Thursday, 10 November 2005 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

Market Analysis from GoldSeek.com, SilverSeek.com & CapitalUpdates.com:

 

Note: The Treasury market, the US postal service, banks, and many government offices will be closed in the U.S. tomorrow in observance of Veteran’s Day, though U.S. and Canadian stock markets will be open as usual.

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

 Trade Balance

Sep

-$66.1B

-$61.3B

-$59.3B

 Import Price

Oct

-0.3%

-0.2%

2.3%

 Import ex-oil

Oct

0.8%

-

1.2%

 Export Price

Oct

0.6%

0.2%

0.8%

 Export ex-ag.

Oct

0.6%

-

1.1%

 Initial Claims

11/5

326K

320K

324K

 Michigan Sentiment

Nov

79.9

76.0

74.2

 Treasury Budget

Oct

-$47.2

-$50.0B

-$57.3B

 

The Trade Balance was a new record high and now sits at -$529.8 billion for the year versus -$448.4 billion for the same 9 month period a year ago.  This puts the U.S. on pace to easily break the record high trade deficit of -$617.6 billion set in 2004.  The trade deficit with China also hit a new record at $20.1 billion.  Imports increased 2.4% while exports fell 2.6%( the largest drop in 4 years).  The Boeing strike and impacts of the hurricanes were blamed for the divergence.  The Import Price decline was the first since May and eased inflation fears as petroleum import costs fell 4.4% for the month.  About 21,000 of the Initial Jobless Claims were attributed to the hurricanes.  Consumer Sentiment rebounded from the 13-year low set in October.  The Budget Deficit was largely ignored on Wall Street.

 

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Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$466.70

+$0.40

Silver

$7.68

+$0.04

XAU

108.15

-1.04%

HUI

227.52

-1.04%

GDM

735.78

-1.07%

USD

92.06

+0.55

Euro

117.36

-0.38

Yen

84.69

-0.41

Oil

$57.80

-$1.13

10-Year

4.564%

-0.071

Bond

111 30/32

+30/32

Dow

10640.10

+0.89%

Nasdaq

2196.68

+0.96%

S&P

1230.96

+0.84%

 

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

6,556,717

+116,012

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

116,361,585

-385,689

 

Gold traded mixed and near unchanged in Asia and London before rising up near $470 in early New York trade, but it fell off from there to end near unchanged on the day with only a slight gain.  Silver traded slightly higher in Asia and London before rising up near $7.75 in early New York trade, but it also fell off by the close to end well off its highs with only a modest gain.  Platinum rose to its highest in 25 and ½ years and gained $10 to $953.  Palladium gained $6 to $238 to reach its highest in over 17 months.  Copper made new all-time highs above $1.90 per pound.

 

Gold and silver equities started off about 1% higher, but they soon dropped off to find about 1% losses and remained slightly lower for the rest of trade to close near their lows of the session.

 

More Precious Metals Analysis:

 

“Strong buying out of Asia fueled further gains in precious metals with platinum again leading the complex higher to reach the highest price in 26 years. Active fund buying drove gold and silver higher, but gains were trimmed by the close on profit taking as both metals have seen solid gains this week. For most of the session gold was able to ignore a stronger Dollar and plunging oil prices as the metal has lately been less influenced by outside markets. Instead, good physical demand for gold and recent political violence in France spreading to other European countries combined with the hotel bombings in Jordan this week have raised gold's appear as a safe haven asset.” - The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

The U.S. dollar index initially fell following the record high trade deficit, but it soon found gains again as traders returned to interest rate rhetoric.  The index made new 23 month highs as the euro fell to new 23 month lows.  The yen fell back near its 26 month lows set last Friday.

 

Oil started off the day lower and continued to fall after natural gas stocks were announced to have built 61 billion cubic feet which was more than expected.  Mild winter weather, increasing inventories, and easing demand continue to be the dominate themes in the oil market.

 

Treasuries gained on the economically disappointing record high trade deficit ahead of the $13 billion 10-year note auction that saw great demand and pushed yields even lower.  Foreign demand was seen as especially strong and encouraged the bulls.  The bond market is closed tomorrow in observance of Veteran’s Day.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P started off mixed and near unchanged as traders considered various economic news and company reports, but all three indices turned markedly higher following the treasury auction that saw good foreign demand and pushed interest rates lower.  Oil trading under $58 also encouraged stock market bulls and all three indices ended near their highs of the session with nearly 1% gains.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were News Corp, Kohl’s, Dell, Intel, Target, Fannie Mae, Man Group and Refco, General Motors, Yahoo and AOL, Siemen, and ING.

 

Gold & Silver Stock News Update from GoldReview.com:

 

3rd quarter results from Crystallex, Desert Sun and Apollo Gold, Royal Gold’s completion of a strategic alliance with Taranis Resources Inc., Bema’s gold production projections, Placer Dome’s and Kinross Gold’s joint venture with Codelco, Cumberland’s submitted environmental impact study for their Meadowbank Gold Project, Banro’s intersection of significant gold mineralization, and Barrick’s interest in Cerro Casale were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.      IAMGOLD

IAG +2.67% $6.92

2.      Rio Narcea

RNO +1.72% $1.18

3.  Cambior

CBJ +1.49% $2.04

 

LOSERS

1.       Golden Star

GSS -5.76% $2.29

2.       Minefinders

MFN -4.74% $4.62

3.  Crystallex

KRY -4.46% $1.50

         

Would you like to receive the Free Daily Gold Seeker Report in your e-mail? Click here

 

Do you have questions, comments, or suggestions about this report?  Email Chris Mullen at cm@goldseek.com

 

More from Charleston Voice:

 

Subject: Hyperinflation Still in our Future

 

Being an election year in 2006, we can expect to see an "easing" to re-elect the same scoundrels that have gotten us into this mess. This "generosity" will also launch Bernanke as a "good guy". After the incumbents are re-installed expect to see Fed funds increases along the magnitude of 100 basis points at a crack. 2006 will be the Year of Gold. 

 

(We are seeing an overanxious near term bullishness for gold and silver which we feel may be pre-mature)

 

 

The above is brought to you by the Charleston Voice E-mail List. To subscribe FREE to the distribution list, send an e-mail to: Barnacle@chasvoice.biz with 'SUBSCRIBE' in the subject line.

 

         

- Written by Chris Mullen

 

 

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed stocks that trade over $1.

 

The Gold Seeker Closing Report is a free edition providing a daily wrap-up of gold & gold-related news.  For more in-depth analysis of the gold markets, subscribe to The Gold Forecaster.

 

All sources are given within the report and most articles can be found as they are released at http://www.capitalupdates.com/, http://www.goldseek.com/, http://www.silverseek.com/, and http://www.goldreview.com/.

 

© Gold Seeker 2005

Note: The following article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. GoldSeek.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond GoldSeek.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  GoldSeek.com and employees associated with Gold Seek LLC do not trade the stocks mentioned in stock reports for one week prior to and one week following publication. The information presented in stock reports are not a specific buy or sell recommendation and is presented solely for informational purposes only.  The author/publisher may or may not have a position in the securities and/or options relating thereto, & may make purchases and/or sales of these securities relating thereto from time to time in the open market or otherwise outside of the trading timeframe listed above. GoldSeek.com may have been compensated for their services in preparing and publishing this report. Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted Thursday, 10 November 2005 | Digg This Article




 



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