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Gold Seeker Closing Report – Gold & Silver Erase Early Gains and End Mixed
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Wednesday, 18 October 2006 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$588.70

-$0.90

Silver

$11.72

+$0.05

XAU

127.01

-1.89%

HUI

297.84

-1.95%

GDM

954.55

-1.74%

JSE Gold

2799.97

+1.13%

USD

86.88

+0.04

Euro

125.29

-0.18

Yen

84.05

-0.02

Oil

$57.65

-$1.28

10-Year

4.764%

-0.014

T-Bond

110.78125

+0.15625

Dow

11992.68

+0.36%

Nasdaq

2337.15

-0.33%

S&P

1365.96

+0.14%

 

The Metals:

 

Gold remained near unchanged in Asia and rose in London to trade in a range of about $590 to $595 for most of the rest of trade, but a spike lower in the last minutes of trade in New York erased the day’s gains and caused gold to close with a slight loss on the day.  Silver followed a similar pattern in a range of roughly $11.70 to $11.90 before it also fell off into the close, but it was still able to end slightly higher on the day.

 

Euro gold remained at about €470, platinum gained $5 to $1,084, palladium gained $11 to $326, and copper rose slightly to about $3.48.

 

Gold and silver equities opened briefly higher before they steadily fell off to find nearly 2% losses by 2PM EST, but a small rally into the close did take the indices off of their lows.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

CPI

Sep

-0.5%

-0.3%

0.2%

Core CPI

Sep

0.2%

0.2%

0.2%

Housing Starts

Sep

1772K

1650K

1674K

Building Permits

Sep

1619K

1715K

1727K

 

Year over year Core CPI rose 2.9% which was the highest reading since January 1996.  Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings Initial Jobless Claims for 10/14 expected at 310,000.  At 10AM are Leading Economic Indicators for September expected at 0.3% and at noon is the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey for October expected at 6.5.

 

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The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Crude inventories built 5.1 million barrels, gasoline inventories fell 5.2 million barrels, and distillate inventories fell 4.5 million barrels.  Utilization came in at a lower than expected 2.9%.  Oil initially rose on the larger than expected drops in gasoline and distillate inventories, but it later began to fall on the larger than expected build in crude inventories.  OPEC’s meeting tomorrow that is expected to cut output was also on trader’s minds as oil closed over $1 lower.

 

The U.S. dollar index rose slightly on surprisingly strong Housing Starts, but gains were limited with mostly in-line CPI readings and weak Building Permits data.

 

Treasuries ended with slight gains as interest rates closed slightly lower after economic data reinforced the view that the fed will continue to keep interest rates unchanged.

 

The Dow rose nearly 100 points to as high as 12,048.47 at the open and the Nasdaq and S&P followed it higher, but all three indices soon fell off and all traded at least slightly lower at one point before the Dow and S&P rebounded and ended marginally higher on the day.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were American Airlines, Verizon, Piper Jaffray, IBM, Apollo Group, Time Warner, General Dynamics, JPMorgan, and Mellon.

 

The Commentary:

 

“Today’s descent in the price of gold was the least surprising one I have seen in 8 years of writing this commentary. It had Gold Cartel written all over it the last two days and this morning. Why:

 

*Two consecutive daily price cappings after opening surges.

 

*The notable horrid action of the HUI the past two days, which told us JP Morgan and friends were all over it, ready for hit today.

 

*A core PPI today of .6%, which is way too high … and as we know, when a US financial market report comes out that signals that inflation is a threat, gold is whacked … almost ALWAYS … ALWAYS!” - From yesterday’s Midas report by Bill Murphy of LemetropoleCafe.com

 

“December Gold finished down 0.9 at 592.6, 5.4 off the high and 0.6 up from the low.

 

December Silver closed up 0.04 at 11.82. This was 0.04 up from the low and 0.16 off the high.

 

The gold market did attempt some early strength but failed to hold that strength into the close. In fact, the failure to see prices rise above the critical psychological level of $600 in the December contract is viewed by some in the trade to be a moderately negative development. However, given that the Dollar finished higher, that crude oil market actually posted a new low close on the session, there was certainly plenty of outside market fundamentals applying pressure to gold prices. Even the US economic report slate seemed to favor the bear camp as the housing numbers showed both growth and contraction, while the CPI report showed a significant dampening of headline inflation but also posted a rather robust up tick in annual change in core inflation readings. Apparently all the talk early in the session about strong Asian physical buying interest and the expectation of strong Indian festival demand was glossed over by the developments from the US trade.

 

While the copper market tried to rally from a rather significant early washout, the silver and other base metals markets seemed to fight an uphill battle throughout the session Wednesday. While the stock market was able to post more new all time highs in a number of market measures early in the session, the action in equity prices was choppy and therefore of little help to silver. With the gold market also undermining and the new low in the energy complex, the silver market would seem to trade on under a minor outside market liquidation threat.” - The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 10/17/2006

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,727,235

- 32,090

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

105,451,277

+ 263328

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

390.26

12,547,364

US$ 7,451m

LSE (London Stock Exchange) AND Euronext Paris

Gold Bullion Securities

80.78

2,597,310

US$ 1,534m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

9.98

320,737

US$ 189m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

9.89

317,858

US$ 187m

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 10/17/2006

 

Total Net Assets

$816,967,748

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,385,649.968

Shares Outstanding

13,950,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

43.10

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 10/17/2006

 

Total Net Assets

$1,235,419,661

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

104,277,935

Shares Outstanding

10,450,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

3,243.4

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Ivanhoe’s (IVN) partnership with Rio Tinto (RTP), Silver Standard’s (SSRI) production decision at Pirquitas, Apogee’s (APE.V) meeting with the Bolivian State Mining Agency, and Minefinders’ (MFN) intent to offer and sell US$75 million aggregate principal amount of its Senior Convertible Notes were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  Ivanhoe

IVN +33.08% $8.69

2.  Entree Gold

EGI +21.55% $1.41

3.  New Gold

NGD+11.13% $7.89

 

LOSERS

1.  Minefinders

MFN-11.11% $8.00

2.  Lihir Gold

LIHR-5.10% $21.21

3.  Crystallex

KRY -3.78% $2.80

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Harte Gold Corp. Completes $1,383,000 Financing - More
- October 18, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Coronation Minerals Inc.: Drilling Results From Wellgreen Mine Property - More
- October 18, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Eloro Identifies Second Polymetallic Zone in James Bay Mine District, Eastmain 1 Property Grab Samples Yields up to 2.85% Copper and 14.8 G/T Silver - More
- October 18, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Nuinsco Announces Rights Offering To Shareholders - More
- October 18, 2006 | Item | E-mail


HE-5 Resources, Corp. Acquires Claims in Matagami Mining Camp - More
- October 18, 2006 | Item | E-mail