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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold & Silver Gain Slightly on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted Friday, 2 February 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$645.70

-$11.30

+0.17%

Silver

$13.29

-$0.34

+0.23%

XAU

138.89

-1.56%

+0.18%

HUI

332.32

-2.00%

-0.06%

GDM

1068.19

-1.53%

+0.36%

JSE Gold

2761.62

-1.76%

-0.95%

USD

84.95

+0.31

-0.34%

Euro

129.61

-0.67

+0.38%

Yen

82.57

-0.31

+0.40%

Oil

$59.02

+$1.72

+6.50%

10-Year

4.827%

-0.010

-1.07%

Bond

110.09375

+0.3125

+0.51%

Dow

12653.49

-0.16%

+1.33%

Nasdaq

2475.88

+0.30%

+1.66%

S&P

1448.39

+0.17%

+1.84%

 

The Metals:

 

CoT Reports: Gold | Silver 

 

Gold traded mostly slightly lower in Asia and London and rose to find slight gains by 9AM EST in New York, but it then dropped markedly over the next two hours of trade and fell to as low as $642.40 a little after 11EST before it rebounded a bit into the close and ended with a loss of 1.72%.  Silver fell to as low as $13.20 before it also rebounded into the close, but it still ended with a loss of 2.49%.

 

Euro gold fell under €500, platinum lost $37 to $1,154, palladium lost $11 to $332, and copper fell nearly ten cents to about $2.42.

 

Gold and silver equities fell over 2% in morning trade before they rebounded a bit in afternoon trade, but they still ended with about 1.5% losses.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Nonfarm Payrolls

Jan

111K

150K

206K

Unemployment Rate

Jan

4.6%

4.5%

4.5%

Hourly Earnings

Jan

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

Average Workweek

Jan

33.8

33.9

33.9

Factory Orders

Dec

2.4%

1.8%

1.2%

Michigan Sentiment

Jan

96.9

97.8

98.0

 

October’s, November’s, and December’s payrolls data were revised up by 104,000 jobs to offset January’s less than expected number.  The BLS net birth/death adjustment subtracted 175,000 jobs to January’s payrolls.

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Michigan Sentiment - January

96.9 v. 98.0

 

Factory Orders - December

2.4% v. 1.2%

 

Nonfarm Payrolls - January

111K v. 206K

 

Unemployment Rate - January

4.6% v. 4.5%

 

Hourly Earnings - January

0.2% v. 0.4%

 

Average Workweek - January

33.8 v. 33.9

 

ISM Index - January

49.3 v. 51.4

 

Initial Claims - 1/27

307K v. 327K

 

Personal Spending - December

0.7% v. 0.5%

 

Personal Income - December

0.5% v. 0.3%

 

FOMC - 1/31

5.25% 5.25%

 

Construction Spending - December

-0.4% v. 0.1%

 

Chicago PMI - January

48.8 v. 51.6

 

GDP - Q4

3.5% v. 2.0%

 

Chain Deflator - Q4

1.5% v. 1.9%

 

Employment Cost Index - Q4

0.8% v. 1.0%

 

Consumer Confidence - January

110.3 v. 110.0

 

Next week’s economic highlights include ISM Services on Monday, Productivity and Consumer Credit on Wednesday, and Initial Jobless Claims and Wholesale Inventories on Thursday.

 

Timberline Resources Corp. [OTC-BB: TBLC]

Upside Through DiscoveryRecord Revenues - Drilling Services

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil eventually rose in choppy trade on cold weather and geopolitical risks in Nigeria, Iran, and Venezuela.

 

The U.S. dollar index initially fell on weaker than expected January payrolls, but it then rebounded and ended modestly higher as traders looked into the report and found positive revisions to October’s, November’s, and December’s jobs.

 

Treasuries rose on weaker than expected headline payrolls and weaker than expected Michigan Sentiment as traders also prepared for next week’s refunding of $38 billion in debt sales.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P traded mixed and near unchanged on varied economic and company reports.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Harley-Davidson, Nissan, Chevron, Ericsson, Equity Office and Vornado, NYSE Group, ITT, and Merrill, Credit Suisse, and Enron.

 

The Commentary:

 

“*The IMF gold accounting changes are likely to wreak all sorts of havoc regarding gold that isn’t there anymore and cannot be retrieved without sending gold to the moon. My guess is that A talk of this is now leading to B, which is now leading to C … C being the realization that much of the central bank gold is not there to deliver, or that central bank gold out on lease cannot be retrieved without sending gold to the moon. There must be a whole lot of "Oh goshes" uttered at IMF central banks, and at the IMF itself.

 

*The latest gold surge is further confirmation of GATA’s influence on the gold price at pivotal, strategic times. There have been TOO MANY coincidences over the years for that not to be the case.”- From yesterday’s Midas report by Bill Murphy of LemetropoleCafe.com

 

“April Gold finished down 11.5 at 651.5, 13.8 off the high and 3.5 up from the low.

 

March Silver closed down 0.35 at 13.375. This was 0.105 up from the low and 0.355 off the high.

 

After a huge failure from what appeared to be an overdone technical condition, the gold market was ripe with talk of major fund liquidations. With the Dollar forging a very impressive upward extension, in the face of what some could have considered to be bearish Non farm payroll data, it is clear that some gold players were concerned about more gains in the Dollar. With the US Factory orders report and the University of Michigan Sentiment readings also highlighting growth and the equity market suggesting that the payrolls report was "perfect" it is possible that gold simply lost out to paper assets.

 

The silver market apparently wasn't immune to the liquidation pressure in the gold market on Friday as prices pulsed sharply lower in the wake of a failure at the critical even number zone of $13.50. Certainly a massive slide in the copper market, a higher Dollar and generally weak oil prices provided the bears with some cover and probably also prompted some longs to bank profits and move to the sidelines. Some players suggested that the overall impact from the US scheduled numbers were disappointing to the physical metal traders but with the Factory Orders numbers strong that argument doesn't seem to carry water.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Congressional investigators to report on credit derivatives

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 2/1/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,491,315

+32,150

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

113,935,516

-34,164

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

454.00

14,596,630

US$ 9,634m

LSE (London Stock Exchange) AND Euronext Paris

Gold Bullion Securities

87.09

2,800,191

US$ 1,814m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

10.67

342,707

US$ 222m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

10.24

329,376

US$ 217m

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: The NYSE added 3.7 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 2/1/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$922,768,235

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,404,140.630

Shares Outstanding