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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Gain for the Seventh Week in Eight
By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted Friday, 12 October 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | Source: GoldSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$748.10

-$3.20

+0.92%

Silver

$13.77

-$0.10

+2.91%

XAU

179.04

+1.34%

+4.54%

HUI

413.34

+0.70%

+4.91%

GDM

1289.59

+1.01%

+4.71%

JSE Gold

2569.95

-0.44%

+0.09%

USD

78.21

+0.05

-0.13%

Euro

141.76

-0.38

+0.29%

Yen

85.12

-0.16

-0.43%

Oil

$83.69

+$0.61

+3.04%

10-Year

4.687%

+0.028

+1.01%

Bond

110.375

-0.25

-0.37%

Dow

14093.08

+0.56%

+0.19%

Nasdaq

2805.68

+1.21%

+0.91%

S&P

1561.80

+0.48%

+0.27%

 

The Metals:

 

Gold traded mostly slightly lower in Asia and London before it rose in early New York trade and saw slight gains at as high as $752.15 by a little before 9AM EST, but it then fell back off slightly into the close and ended with a loss of 0.43%.  Silver fell nearly 20 cents in after hours trade yesterday and traded about 1% lower in Asia and London before it rose in New York back near unchanged at as high as $13.852 by about 9AM EST, but it too fell back off into the close and ended with a loss of 0.72%.

 

Euro gold remained at about €528, platinum gained $8 to $1415 to a new record high, palladium remained unchanged at $377, and copper remained at about $3.68.

 

Gold and silver equities traded roughly 1% higher throughout the day and ended at new record highs despite losses in the metals.

 

CoT Reports: Gold | Silver

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Retail Sales

Sep

0.6%

0.2%

0.3%

Retail Sales ex-auto

Sep

0.4%

0.3%

-0.4%

PPI

Sep

1.1%

0.5%

-1.4%

Core PPI

Sep

0.1%

0.2%

0.2%

Business Inventories

Aug

0.1%

0.3%

0.5%

Michigan Sentiment

Oct

82.0

84.0

83.4

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Michigan Sentiment - October

82.0 v. 83.4

 

Business Inventories - August

0.1% v. 0.5%

 

PPI - September

1.1% v. -1.4%

 

Core PPI - September

0.1% v. 0.2%

 

Retail Sales - September

0.6% v. 0.3%

 

Retail Sales ex-auto - September

0.4% v. -0.4%

 

Treasury Budget - September

$111.6B v. $248.2B

 

Trade Balance - August

-$57.6B v. -$59.0B

 

Initial Claims - 10/05

308K v. 320K

 

Import Prices - September

1.0% v. -0.3%

 

Import Prices ex-oil - September

-0.2% v. -0.1%

 

Export Prices - September

0.3% v. 0.2%

 

Export Prices ex-ag. - September

0.0% v. 0.1%

 

Wholesale Inventories - August

0.1% v. 0.2%

 

Next week’s economic highlights include the NY Empire State Index on Monday, Net Foreign Purchases, Industrial Production, and Capacity Utilization on Tuesday, CPI, Housing Starts, Building Permits, and the fed’s Beige Book on Wednesday, and Initial Jobless Claims, Leading Economic Indicators, and the Philadelphia fed survey on Thursday.

 

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The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil rose to a new record high at $84.05 a barrel before easing slightly and making a new record closing high at $83.69 on geopolitical concerns over Turkey possibly invading Northern Iraq “to quell Kurdish rebels.”

 

The U.S. dollar index rose slightly and treasuries traded mostly lower as generally better than expected economic data pushed interest rates higher, though most were pointing towards the fact that the dollar still sits less than 1 point away from making a new all-time low under 77.657 that was made just last Monday.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P rose on strong retail sales and a buyout announcement, but they still ended short of their recent record highs.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were General Motors, Oracle and BEA, and GE.

 

The Commentary:

 

“December Gold finished down 2.9 at 753.8, 3.7 off the high and 2.9 up from the low.

 

December Silver closed down 0.082 at 13.903. This was 0.063 up from the low and 0.057 off the high.

 

The gold market initially seemed to be in a profit taking mode Friday morning after some rather stellar gains earlier in the week. Certainly seeing the US Dollar manage a recovery bounce in the wake of a slightly better than expected US retail sales reading was cause for some players to bank profits. In fact, after the recent record spec and fund long positioning reading in the gold market, it is possible that some players were concerned about the potential for an extensively overbought spec positioning and that in conjunction with the bounce in the Dollar was more than enough excuse for weak handed longs to bank profits. It is also possible that gold was undermined by the fact that the Michigan Sentiment readings were weak and yet the Dollar mostly held in positive ground in the wake of that news. However, it had to be disappointing to the bull camp in gold to see prices weak in the face of strength in oil and equities prices. News that the recent Harmony Mine accident only cost that company 1,000 ounces of gold production was probably disappointing to the bull camp in gold.

 

Relatively speaking silver prices seemed to hold up somewhat better than gold prices in what appeared to be a profit taking session. However, some traders expressed concern that silver prices failed to manage a distinct rise above the even number $14.00 market early Friday morning. On the other hand, comments in the Press and from the trade would seem to suggest that many market participants remain upbeat toward silver despite its weakness on Friday. It is possible that the bull camp in silver was disheartened in the silver price action on Friday, especially when one considers the strength in equities and oil prices.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Mining in South Africa: Deep, dark, and dangerous

Nickel may become Canada's new penny

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 10/11/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,190,380

+5,404

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

133,409,546

-

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

591.68

19,023,224

US$ 14,247m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

97.89

3,147,299

US$ 2,359m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

15.06

483,960

US$ 363m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

18.21

585,418

US$ 438m

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: The NYSE/SGX added 6.15 tnonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 10/11/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,222,638,694

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,627,554.826

Shares Outstanding

16,450,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

50.62

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 10/11/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,961,101,067

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

143,481,444.700

Shares Outstanding

14,450,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

4,462.77

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Polyus Gold’s first half results, Apollo Gold’s (AGT) private placement, Gold Fields’ (GFI) sale of its Venezuelan assets to Rusoro (RML.V), and Metalline’s (MMG) concession purchase were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

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