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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Gain Again on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted Friday, 16 May 2008 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | Source: GoldSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$899.25

+$20.50

+1.67%

Silver

$16.93

+$0.30

+0.77%

XAU

187.87

+3.04%

+4.59%

HUI

434.70

+2.85%

+2.77%

GDM

1312.18

+2.67%

+3.11%

JSE Gold

2472.40

-19.24

-1.77%

USD

72.82

-0.48

-0.31%

Euro

155.95

+1.46

+0.76%

Yen

96.11

+0.64

-1.04%

Oil

$126.29

+$2.17

+0.26%

10-Year

3.850%

+0.007

+2.20%

Bond

116.453125

+0.3125

-0.68%

Dow

12986.80

-0.05%

+1.89%

Nasdaq

2528.85

-0.19%

+3.41%

S&P

1425.35

+0.13%

+2.67%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold rose about 1% in Asia and London before it accelerated its gains in New York and ended near its high of $904.80 with a gain of 2.33%.  Silver rose to as high as $17.042 by late morning in New York before it fell back off slightly in the last couple of hours of trade, but it still ended with a gain of 1.8%.

 

Euro gold rose to about €577, platinum gained $51 to $2114.50, and copper gained nearly 9 cents to about $3.85.

 

Gold and silver equities rose nearly 3% at the open and remained near their highs into the close.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Building Permits

Apr

978K

912K

932K

Housing Starts

Apr

1032K

940K

954K

Michigan Sentiment

May

59.5

62.0

62.6

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Michigan Sentiment - May

59.5 v. 62.6

 

Housing Starts - April

1032K v. 954K

 

Building Permits - April

978K v. 932K

 

Philadelphia Fed - May

-15.6 v. -24.9

 

Capacity Utilization - April

79.7% v. 80.4%

 

Industrial Production - April

-0.7% v. 0.2%

 

Net Foreign Purchases - March

$80.4B v. $64.9B

 

NY Empire State Index - May

-3.2 v. 0.6

 

Initial Claims - 5/10

371K v. 365K

 

CPI - April

0.2% v. 0.3%

 

Core CPI - April

0.1% v. 0.2%

 

Business Inventories - March

0.1% v. 0.5%

 

Retail Sales - April

-0.2% v. 0.2%

 

Retail Sales ex-auto - April

0.5% v. 0.4%

 

Import Prices - April

1.8% v. 2.9%

 

Import Prices ex-oil - April

1.1% v. 1.1%

 

Export Prices - April

0.3% v. 1.5%

 

Export Prices ex-ag. - April

0.6% v. 1.3%

 

Treasury Budget - April

$159.3B v. $177.7B

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil rose to a new record intraday high of $127.82 on Goldman’s call for $141 a barrel in the second half off 2008.  Gains pared slightly after the Saudis announced they would increase production by 300,000 barrels a day to make up for shortfalls in other countries, but oil still closed with a nearly 2% gain at a new record closing high.

 

The U.S. dollar index fell and treasuries rose after consumer confidence came out at a 28 year low and pushed interest rates lower in early trade, but bonds turned down to end with just slight gains as stocks rebounded in late trade.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P fell roughly 1% by late morning on another new record high in oil and poor consumer sentiment data, but all three indices rallied higher in afternoon trade and closed mixed and near unchanged on optimism that the housing sector may be rebounding.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Fannie Mae, Abercrombie & Fitch, Yahoo and Icahn, and Berkshire Hathaway.

 

The Commentary:

 

“June Gold finished up 19.9 at 899.9, 4.6 off the high and 5.4 up from the low.

 

July Silver closed up 0.275 at 16.96. This was 0.02 up from the low and 0.14 off the high.

 

The gold market managed a quasi impressive range up extension on Friday and since that move comes in the wake of a two week consolidation the trade seemed to take the action Friday seriously. Certainly seeing what appeared to be a resumption of weakness in the Dollar rekindled currency market related buying interest in gold and with the June gold contract also managing to rise above a series of classic technical points on the charts could have prompted some technical short covering buying. With the stock market initially making a fresh new high for the move and crude oil prices also making a new all time high, it is possible that gold was seeing fresh speculative buying from the inflation angle. In the end, seeing the June gold contract manage a return to the even number level of $900 probably prompted some outright speculative buying interest.

 

The silver market just didn't seem to get as much of a lift as the gold market early in the trade Friday, but in the end July silver did manage to migrate toward the upper end of the last two week's consolidation range. While silver might have been lifted by a brokerage upgrade of a major silver producer on Friday morning, the main thrust of the gains in silver prices seemed to come from the renewed strength in the Dollar and perhaps because of broad based gains in a host of physical commodities.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Jason Hommel: A further warning to the CFTC

Resource Investor reports on CFTC denial of silver manipulation

Venezuela won't be adding to world's gold supply

ECB affects surprise that banks dump their junk on it

John Embry: Last chance to board gold train at under US$1,000

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 5/15/2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,582,138

-115,879

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

133,104,789

-649,098

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

StreetTRACKS Gold Shares

583.93

18,773,965

US$ 16,540m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

111.85

3,596,217

US$ 3,239m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

20.91

671,843

US$ 605m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

27.00

867,971

US$ 764m

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 5/15/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$1,730,689,152

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,969,252.636

Shares Outstanding

19,950,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

61.25

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 5/15/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$3,195,997,377

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

192,569,101.300

Shares Outstanding

19,450,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

5,989.57

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

A free new stock report on Genco Resources by Peter Zihlmann at http://www.goldreview.com/news/ZihlmannInvest/1210955588.php, South Africa’s power problems, International Royalty’s (ROY) first quarter results, AngloGold’s (AU) completed transaction with B2Gold, Crystallex’s (KRY) comments on market activity and Las Cristinas, Kinross Gold’s (KGC) share subscription in Rye Patch, Midway’s (MDW) private placement, Gammon Gold’s (GRS) exploration program, and First Majestic’s (FR.TO) first quarter financial results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Cardero

CDY+27.53% $3.15