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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Fall Over 5% and 12% on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted Friday, 8 August 2008 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | Source: GoldSeek.com

Please Note: There will not be a Gold Seeker Report on Monday.

 

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$857.30

-$13.40

-5.66%

Silver

$15.29

-$0.935

-12.38%

XAU

144.47

-4.41%

-11.12%

HUI

334.13

-6.33%

-14.36%

GDM

1012.41

-5.73%

-13.10%

JSE Gold

1865.46

-50.56

-6.33%

USD

75.86

+1.32

+3.30%

Euro

150.20

-3.01

-3.39%

Yen

90.74

-0.61

-2.25%

Oil

$116.34

-$3.68

-7.00%

10-Year

3.950%

+0.015

+0.05%

Bond

116.375

+0.125

+0.39%

Dow

11734.32

+2.65%

+3.60%

Nasdaq

2414.10

+2.48%

+4.46%

S&P

1296.31

+2.39%

+2.86%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold steadily fell throughout most of world trade and dropped to as low as $850.65 by about 10AM EST in New York before it rebounded nearly 1% into the close, but it still ended with a loss of 1.54%.  Silver fell throughout the day and ended near its low of $15.245 with a loss of 5.76%.

 

Euro gold rose to over €570 on significant euro weakness, platinum lost $23.50 to $1555, and copper fell nearly 6 cents to about $3.40.

 

Gold and silver equities fell for most of the day and ended roughly 5% lower.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Productivity

Q2

2.2%

2.5%

2.6%

Wholesale Inventories

June

1.1%

0.6%

0.9%

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Wholesale Inventories - June

1.1% v. 0.9%

 

Productivity - Q2

2.2% v. 2.6%

 

Consumer Credit - June

$14.3B v. $7.8B

 

Pending Home Sales - June

5.3% v. -4.9%

 

Initial Claims - 8/02

455K v. 448K

 

FOMC - 8/5

2.0% v. 2.0%

 

ISM Services - July

49.5 v. 48.2

 

Factory Orders - June

1.7% v. 0.9%

 

Personal Spending - June

0.6% v. 0.8%

 

Personal Income - June

0.1% v. -0.2%

 

Next week’s economic highlights include the Trade Balance and Treasury Budget on Tuesday, Export and Import Prices, Retail Sales, and Business Inventories on Wednesday, CPI and Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday, and the NY Empire State Index, Net Foreign Purchases, Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production, and Michigan Sentiment on Friday.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil fell markedly as the U.S. dollar index rose on the view that the financial and economic problems in the US have spread to the rest of the world and influenced central banks to join the fed in its policy of not raising interest rates anytime soon.

 

Treasuries saw slight gains while the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P soared higher on lower energy prices.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Fannie Mae, RBS, Beazer Homes, MBIA, and McDonald’s.

 

The Commentary:

 

“August Gold finished down 12.9 at 857.8, equal to the high and equal to the low.

 

September Silver closed down 0.927 at 15.33. This was 0.04 up from the low and 0.46 off the high.

 

The gold market was pushed to the lowest price level for the year as a surge higher in the Dollar along with a steep drop in oil prices triggered broad based selling in a wide range of physical commodity markets. This type of outside market action tends to have a bearish influence on gold since a strong Dollar and weak oil prices lower gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation. In fact, seeing a sharp recovery in equity markets certainly lowers the economic anxiety a bit which in turn is reducing gold's appeal as a safe haven asset. Ideas that the Fed's next rate move is likely higher and that Euro-zone rates may drop due to softening economic conditions also appears to be dimming investment demand for gold. Lower gold prices are expected to attract physical buyers to the market, but spec liquidation certainly dominated the action during Friday's trade. Even an escalation in geopolitical tensions with a military confrontation between Russian troops and Georgian separatists failed to provide support to gold this session.

 

The silver market couldn't escape the massive liquidation that took place across all metals markets on Friday. The combination of an upside trend reversal move in the Dollar and a drop in oil prices to the lowest levels in 3 months trounced the appeal of silver as an alternative investment. This bearish outside market action tends to dampen inflation expectations and that lowers silver's appeal as a safe haven investment. With the market falling below key levels, sell-stops certainly appeared to accelerate silver's decline with prices dropping to the lowest level for the year.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Are central banks getting it all wrong?

James Turk: Central banks intervening to support U.S. dollar

'An Inconvenient Truth' for the U.S. economy

If the CFTC can botch oil market regulation like this ...

Rate cuts likely ahead for European Central Bank

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: Governments caused credit crisis, capitalism gets blamed

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 8/07/2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

8,433,167

+6,457

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

138,072,559

-28,056,886

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx)

SPDR® Gold Shares

659.31

21,197,322

US$ 18,463m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

119.39

3,838,367

US$ 3,283m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

10.87

349,046

US$ 299m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

30.16

969,612

US$ 845m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: The LSE subtracted 0.31 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 8/7/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$1,712,774,982

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,967,280.000

Shares Outstanding

19,950,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

61.19

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 8/7/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$3,305,201,257

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

199,248,650.600

Shares Outstanding

201,500,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

6,197.33

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Cardero’s (CDY) acquired shares of ITH (THM), Claude’s (CGR) second quarter results, Gammon Gold’s (GRS) second quarter results, Aurizon’s (AZK) second quarter results, IAMGOLD’s (IAG) second quarter results, NovaGold’s (NG) lawsuit, and Coeur’s (CDE) second quarter results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  ITH

THM +3.85% $1.35

2.  US Energy

USEG+1.66% $3.06

3.  Rubicon

RBY +0.85% $1.18

 

LOSERS

1.  Coeur

CDE -15.04% $2.09

2.  Almaden

AAU -13.25% $1.57

3.  Golden Star

GSS -11.82% $1.79

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Adanac Molybdenum Corp.: Fish Habitat Reserve Facilitates Ruby Creek Tailings Permit - More
- August 08, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Merc Agrees to Acquire Golden Sierra and Appoint Dr. Michael Byron as CEO - More
- August 08, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Can-Cal Withdraws Previously Announced Results for its Wikieup and Pisgah Projects - More