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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Fall Over 6% and 16% on the Week
By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted Friday, 3 October 2008 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | Source: GoldSeek.com

Please Note:  There will be no Gold Seeker Reports next week except for Friday.

 

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$827.85

-$14.70

-6.29%

Silver

$11.23

+$0.11

-16.26%

XAU

112.09

+0.95%

-18.95%

HUI

269.08

+1.27%

-18.26%

GDM

804.07

+1.38%

-17.64%

JSE Gold

1612.63

-5.83

-14.67%

USD

80.47

-0.08

+4.52%

Euro

137.98

-0.32

-5.60%

Yen

95.07

+0.04

+0.92%

Oil

$93.85

-$0.12

-12.2%

10-Year

3.644%

-0.002

-4.78%

Bond

119.6875

+0.296875

+1.92%

Dow

10325.38

-1.50%

-7.31%

Nasdaq

1947.39

-1.48%

-10.81%

S&P

1099.23

-1.35%

-9.39%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold rose about 0.5% to $847.25 at the New York open and then plummeted to as low as $818.60 by 9:30AM EST before it rebounded back near $840 by late morning, but it then fell back off into the close and ended with a loss of 1.74%.  Silver fell to $10.83 by 9:30AM EST before it rebounded to see a 60 cent gain at as high as $11.72 by late morning in New York, but it also fell back off in the last couple of hours of trade and ended with a gain of just 1%.

 

Euro gold fell to about €598, platinum lost $19.50 to $951.50, and copper gained roughly 5 cents to about $2.70.

 

Gold and silver equities rose over 7% by late morning, but they then fell back off for the rest of the day and ended with only about 1% gains.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Nonfarm Payrolls

Sep

-159K

-105K

-73K

Unemployment Rate

Sep

6.1%

6.1%

6.1%

Average Workweek

Sep

33.6

33.7

33.7

Hourly Earnings

Sep

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

ISM Services

Sep

50.2

50.0

50.6

 

The BLS net birth/death adjustment added 42,000 payrolls.

 

Financial-Rescue Package Wins Final Approval With House Vote of 263 to 171
Bloomberg

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

ISM Services - September

50.2 v. 50.6

 

Nonfarm Payrolls - September

-159K v. -73K

 

Unemployment Rate - September

6.1% v. 6.1%

 

Average Workweek - September

33.6 v. 33.7

 

Hourly Earnings - September

0.2% v. 0.4%

 

Factory Orders - August

-4.0% v. 0.7%

 

Initial Claims - 9/27

497K v. 493K

 

Construction Spending - August

0.0% v. -1.4%

 

ISM Index - September

43.5 v. 49.9

 

ADP Employment - September

-8K v. -37K

 

Consumer Confidence - September

59.8 v. 58.5

 

Chicago PMI - September

56.7 v. 57.9

 

Personal Income - August

0.5% v. -0.6%

 

Personal Spending - August

0.0% v. 0.1%

 

Next week’s economic highlights include FOMC Minutes and Consumer Credit on Tuesday, Pending Home Sales on Wednesday, Initial Jobless Claims and Wholesale Inventories on Thursday, and Export and Import Prices and the Trade Balance on Friday.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil ended just slightly lower on worries over demand going forward.

 

The U.S. dollar index fell and treasuries rose as the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P eventually fell after the house passed the bailout bill 263 to 171.  All of those moves were opposite earlier in the day on hopes that the bill would be passed, but all markets reversed after the fact on worries that the plan will now actually work to solve all of the serious problems facing the markets.  Many also expect a fed rate cut of at least 25 basis points sometime soon.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Wells Fargo and Wachovia, Toyota, UBS, Boeing, and General Growth.

 

The Commentary:

 

“December Gold closed down 11.1 at 833.2. This was 8.2 up from the low and 13.8 off the high.

 

December Silver finished up 0.205 at 11.325, 0.365 off the high and 0.1 up from the low.

 

The gold market waffled around both sides of unchanged and in the wake of the US monthly payroll report the trade forged a quick $30 trading range. Clearly higher US equity prices and an apparent passage of the House bailout package served to knock some flight to quality bulls from the gold market. It also goes without saying that ongoing gains in the US Dollar added to the weakness in gold prices. Surprisingly the gold market and a host of other physical commodity markets weren't severely undermined in the wake of the weaker than expected US readings and that might have been the result of the mostly steady US unemployment rate reading.

 

The silver market clearly diverged with the gold market during the action Friday, as the silver market seemed to adopt the physical commodity posture while the gold market was under pressure because of declining economic uncertainty. With the copper market managing a week ending bounce, it is possible that action inspired some similar short covering in the silver market.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Royal Canadian Mint under strain to meet demand for gold

Rob Kirby: The invisible hand and the pox known as usury

Dan Norcini: Real gold isn't being sold off, only paper gold is

Franklin Sanders: Somebody's 'painting the tape' with gold and silver

Jason Hommel: If that silver price was real, you could get rich quick

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 10/02/2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

8,596,414

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

136,408,439

+904,930

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchage (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx)

SPDR® Gold Shares

755.26

24,282,494

US$ 20,681m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

116.26

3,738,011

US$ 3,128m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

12.40

397,825

US$ 334m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

26.22

843,012

US$ 718m

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 10/2/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$1,711,424,490

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

2,039,885.244

Shares Outstanding

20,700,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

63.45

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 10/2/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$2,697,575,209

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

220,216,436.200

Shares Outstanding

222,900,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

6,849.50

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Silver Wheaton’s (SLW) acquired mine life from Alexco (AXU), Gold Fields’ (GFI) view on global gold supply, Freeport’s (FCX) output, and Keegan’s (KGN) sediment survey results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  ITH

THM+11.93% $1.97

2.  Golden Star