It was approaching 10:00a.m. today when I turned on the TV to TOUT-TV (CNBC-TV). Mark Haines had commented that given everything, the stock market was not bad off down only 100 or so points. While one would assume his role should be impartial, I’ll let his seemingly biased view go as just an observation. But his smug, arrogant behavior while interviewing a gentleman about gold was typical of TOUT-TV’s extreme tilt towards the “Don’t Worry, Be Happy” crowd. I wish there was a video clip for all to see as it defines what TOUT-TV really is. His arrogant remarks about how bad gold has been as an investment – in his only two questions (which were really statements) -not only showed his disdain for gold despite what should be a position that brings objectivity to the screen, but his lack of knowledge. I will bet the ranch that Haines and his buddies like Kernan and Kudlow would marvel about the stock market’s performance since it bottom in 2002. A 29% return on the S&P 500 the last 5 years is no barn-burner but certainly better than losing money, no? But it doesn’t come close to gold’s 129% gain in the same period. Only on TOUT-TV can 29% be better than 129%.
Gold – $660
Despite being quite overbought short-term and too many funds long on the Comex, gold managed a valiant comeback from its lows today, (although they have it back down again in the access market). I believe it clearly demonstrates outside of very short periods of correction, the least resistance over time remains up. I, for one, welcome these sharp and short corrections and wonder what the shorts must be thinking its going to take to ever see a sustained retreat in the gold price? The answer appears more and more to be a four-digit gold price.As noted at the beginning, gold was over bought and too many funds were long on the Comex so a correction as low as $650 is possible but I remind you yet again the surprises should all be on the upside.
U.S. Stock Market – DJIA 12,216 - S&P 500 1,400
Whether or not they rang the bell for the ultimate top, I do suggest you re-read these recent issues of mine. It’s not “if” we will go into a very dark period for the stock market, but “when”? The answer is closer now than ever.
http://www.grandich.com/docs/alert_02-21-07.pdf
http://www.grandich.com/docs/GL_01-14-07.pdf
U.S. Dollar – US Dollar Index 83.38
If you still don’t believe the U.S. Dollar is terminally ill, just look at it in the face of today’s carnage. In years past, there would have been a flight into it. Now? Say good night, Gracie.
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