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Asian Metals Market Update for 5th December, 2006



By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants


-- Posted Tuesday, 5 December 2006 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

GOLD

SILVER

COMEX GOLD FEBRUARY FUTURE -- $651.50

COMEX SILVER MARCH FUTURE -- $1428.00

 EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

GOLD -- $645.80 -- $661.10

SILVER -- $1405 - $1460.00

COPPER AND CRUDE OIL -- EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

COPPER MARCH -- $310.60 - $329.40

NYMEX CRUDE OIL  DECEMBER - $61.25 - $67.20

GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS

Gold and silver are consolidating at the moment but are finding buyers at lower levels. Gold and silver fell yesterday after crude oil prices fell temporarily and thereafter as crude oil prices rose, gold and silver also rose suggesting the direct linkage between bullion prices, the US dollar and crude oil prices. This link will continue for the rest of the week unless spot gold breaks $660. Silver is not linked with anyone and is at set to create new historical highs over the coming weeks.

 

OPEC is worried by a fall in the dollar that is eroding member states' oil revenue and ministers will take up the issue when they meet next week to discuss a further cut in output.  The dollar is at a 20-month low against the euro, a bonus for non-dollar oil consumers but a threat to producers. As the global readjustment of the US dollar continues Opec will have to look for alternate currencies.  The political effect of a weaker US dollar is that can disintegrate the Opec over the billing in US dollars. Iran and Venezuela are already anti US others could follow over the coming years. The net effect gold will continue to maintain the safety premium it commands.

   

 

Funds are reducing their investments in base metals and increasing their investments in precious metals which further reinforces the case for bullishness in gold and silver. Global liquidity has not increased over the past few weeks. Fund managers and retail investors will have to balance to balance their portfolio in such a way their have investments in precious metal, base metals, equities, treasuries etc. There is quicker realignment of portfolio these days which has added to the volatility.

 

GOLD -- FEBRUARY FUTURE

  Gold needs to break $668 for $692 and $730. On the lower side as long as 641.20 holds on closing basis the downside is limited.

SILVER -- MARCH FUTURE

  Silver breaks $1435 then a rise to $1530 and $1667 is on the cards. On the lower side $1355 is the key support.

 

 

Happy Profitable Trading

 

For SMS and Yahoo support please mail at sms@insigniaindia.com

 

 Disclaimer : Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of

prices of specific currencies, precious metals, base metals, or equity indices reflect the views

of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees  have any liability 

for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any

 party  in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies,

errors in, or omissions of Information.

 


-- Posted Tuesday, 5 December 2006 | Digg This Article


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