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Asian Metals Market Update for 29th December, 2006



By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants


-- Posted Friday, 29 December 2006 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

GOLD

SILVER

COMEX GOLD FEBRUARY FUTURE -- $635.20

COMEX SILVER MARCH FUTURE -- $1297.00

 EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

GOLD -- $628.50 -- $648.20

SILVER -- $1252.0 - $1339.00

COPPER AND CRUDE OIL -- EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

COPPER MARCH -- $284.00 - $300.80

NYMEX CRUDE OIL  DECEMBER - $60.00 - $63.75

GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS

  Today is the last trading day of 2006 and gold, silver and other precious and base metals have provided an excellent year on year return. Gold future has given a return of 12.90% in 2006 (if one invested on 4th January 2006).  Silver future out performed gold as it gave a return of 36.27% in 2006. Gold did not rise due to central bank buying selling which will be negligent in 2007 and gold should give a return of between 20% and to 25% in 2007. Silver has outperformed gold by miles but the high volatility factor associated with it justifies the return. Silver should give a return of 30% to 35% in 2007. Copper has been the star performer in 2006 as it future’s rose 66.10% so far in 2006 (despite the December bashing). I will be very happy if copper is able to deliver a return of over 30% in 2007. Energies disappointed in 2006 due to the hype created by Katrina and Rita. Energies should give a decent return of over 15% in 2007 but the performance of energies will be dependent on technological factors as well.

 

There has been huge fund investment in agricultural commodities in 2006 with record fund investment in this sector. Ever rising population, changing global weather patterns, continuous decrease in forest land are reducing production. Australia had one of the severest drought in history. Farmers are also rotating their crops based on their prices. Wheat, corn, soybean among others had all risen sharply in 2006. In 2007 there will be even more money pouring into crop speculation.

 

It’s a long weekend and traders are either going to square off of go long due to geopolitical risk factors. Crude oil as well the US dollar will continue to impact intra day movement of gold and silver.

 

GOLD -- FEBRUARY FUTURE

  Gold needs to break and hold $637.60 for $643.40. On the lower side $628.50 and $618.80 are the support levels.

 

SILVER -- MARCH FUTURE

Silver needs to break $1308 for $1339 and $1400. On the lower side supports are at $1252 and $1224. Initial supports are at $1294, $1282, $1272 respectively.

 

Wish Every body a Happy New Year and Highly Profitable 2007

 

 Disclaimer : Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of

prices of specific currencies, precious metals, base metals, or equity indices reflect the views

of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees  have any liability 

for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any

 party  in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies,

errors in, or omissions of Information.

 


-- Posted Friday, 29 December 2006 | Digg This Article


1080-81, Ugger Sen Street,”Somani Bhawan”
Sita Ram Bazar, New Delhi-110006. India.
Ph: [O] 91-11-30919880 [M] 09811139549
Website: www.insigniaindia.com
Email:





 



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