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Asian Metals Market Update for 29th January, 2007



By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants


-- Posted Monday, 29 January 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

GOLD

SILVER

COMEX GOLD FEBRUARY FUTURE -- $648.60

COMEX SILVER MARCH FUTURE -- $1346.50

 EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

GOLD -- $636.00 -- $660.00

SILVER -- $1290.0 - $1390.00

COPPER AND CRUDE OIL -- EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

COPPER MARCH -- $258.00 - $274.10

NYMEX CRUDE OIL  DECEMBER - $53.80 - $57.60

GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS

 This is a very important week for gold and silver as well as the US dollar. The US dollar gained towards the close of the previous week as there is a slight probability that the Fed might raise interest rates instead of cutting them. Gold, silver and crude oil have had a great January with an even battle between bulls and bears. Gold needs tobreak $660 this week and silver $1425 and failure to break and close over them will result in a good correction.

 

The Fed meeting this week will be key as Bernanke completes one year in office. For the past one year the Fed has not surprised the markets. This meeting will be the key as US growth has beaten market expectations. If the Fed signals that interest rates could rise there could be marginal correction in gold and silver.

 

The base metals rally has been lead by nickel as LME stocks continue to fall and fears of strike. Copper has also gained on rising Chinese imports. China’s copper imports rose 59.4% in December 2006 suggesting that industries were restocking themselves. Higher growth expectations in the developed nations (apart from China and India) will continue to support base metal prices at lower levels. As long as copper March future holds $245 there is every possibility of $300 and $330 over the coming months. 

 

GOLD -- FEBRUARY FUTURE

Gold needs to break $660 for $690. On the lower side as long as $636 holds on closing basis the downside is limited. A consolidated fall below $636 will result in $628.

 

SILVER -- MARCH FUTURE

Silver needs to break $1400-$1425 for further gains. On the lower side as long as $1317 and $1305 hold on closing basis the downside is limited.

 

 

Happy Profitable Trading

 

 Disclaimer : Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of

prices of specific currencies, precious metals, base metals, or equity indices reflect the views

of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees  have any liability 

for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any

 party  in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies,

errors in, or omissions of Information.

 


-- Posted Monday, 29 January 2007 | Digg This Article


1080-81, Ugger Sen Street,”Somani Bhawan”
Sita Ram Bazar, New Delhi-110006. India.
Ph: [O] 91-11-30919880 [M] 09811139549
Website: www.insigniaindia.com
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