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Asian Metals Market Update for 12th February, 2007



By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants


-- Posted Monday, 12 February 2007 | Digg This ArticleDigg It!

GOLD

SILVER

COMEX GOLD APRIL FUTURE -- $671.70

COMEX SILVER MARCH FUTURE -- $1390.0

 EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

GOLD -- $663.00 -- $684.00

SILVER -- $1355.0 - $1434.00

COPPER AND CRUDE OIL -- EXPECTED TRADING RANGE

COPPER MARCH -- $249.70 - $262.00

NYMEX CRUDE OIL  FEBRUARY  - $58.20 - $62.30

GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS

It’s more of cheap Japanese investment in commodities that is driving gold, silver as well as crude oil higher.  Japanese economy is not showing consistent growth. The bank of Japan will not raise interest rates and will also allow the yen to weaken further. Fund manager can easily borrow in yen at an interest rate below 3% and easily get a return of more than fifteen percent in commodities. This is what fund managers are resorting to.  Gold has broken the $660 and if it manages to hold $660 then there should be even greater short term hot money flowing into commodities.

 

Fundamentally as well as technically gold and silver are bullish, with the bulls dominating for most part of 2007. Gold and silver were delinked from the movement in foreign exchange markets on Friday. This delinking will continue over the next few weeks. Carry traders will continue to dictate the markets. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) could sell a limited amount of its gold reserves as part of a wider solution to its "flawed" income system, the IMF's Managing Director Rodrigo Rato told. But any sale should only be part of a wider solution to its revenue sources and should not disrupt the gold market, he said. Gold will not be affected by any news unless a clear proposal comes.

 

GOLD -- APRIL FUTURE

  Gold targets $688.20 and $698.50 as long as it holds $659.80 on closing basis. Only a daily close below $65980 will result in $650.90 and $639.80.

 

SILVER -- MARCH FUTURE

Silver targets $1458 and $1534 as long as it holds $1329 on closing basis. Only a daily close below $1329 will result in $1252.

 

Happy Profitable Trading

 

  Further MCX, NCDEX and Comex future Analysis can be obtained by registering to our

website www.insigniaindia.com where readers can obtain the one week analysis free and

learn about subscription details. Comments and questions are also invited via email to 

chintan@insigniaindia.com

 

 Disclaimer : Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of

prices of specific currencies, precious metals, base metals, or equity indices reflect the views

of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees  have any liability 

for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any

 party  in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies,

errors in, or omissions of Information.

 


-- Posted Monday, 12 February 2007 | Digg This Article


1080-81, Ugger Sen Street,”Somani Bhawan”
Sita Ram Bazar, New Delhi-110006. India.
Ph: [O] 91-11-30919880 [M] 09811139549
Website: www.insigniaindia.com
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