Precious metals as well base metals were buoyed by US china trade disputes which could lead to protectionism between the two nations. China's trade surplus almost doubled in the first quarter, as the U.S. takes complaints to the World Trade Organization. The surplus widened to $46.4 billion from $23.3 billion a year earlier. However in the month of March, Chinese exports gained 6.90% to $83.4 billion and imports climbed 14.5% to $76.6 billion. If Chinese imports continue to rise over the next few months and exports fall then it will be sign of domestic demand led Chinese growth which could result in gold testing 1980’s high.
Copper for the first time in six weeks has consolidated for a day. There is profit taking at the current levels, once profit taking is over volatility will increase, copper could restart its next bullish journey. The first phase of copper gains is over. London Metal Exchange (LME) three month copper test and break $8000. Failure of LME three month copper to break $8000 in April will result in slide to $7000 once again. In the first 100 days of 2007 Comex copper has gained 22.64%. Nickel has gained 45.24% in the first 100 days of 2007. Most of the precious metals as well as base metals have given an average return of over 15% so far in 2007. There will be continued investment demand at lower levels in both precious metals as well as base metals for the rest of 2007. High volatility will not deter new investors to enter base metals. Global equity market is a paper market, which is like a black horse painted with rosy colours with the rosy colour fading in the summer heat. Metals are hard assets, still at a nascent stage to be classified as investment, but should give equity markets good competition.
GOLD -- JUNE FUTURE
Gold targets $692 and $700 as long as $673.60 holds on closing basis. A consolidated fall below $673.60 will result in $660 and $653.20.
SILVER -- MAYFUTURE
Silver targets $1412 and $1480 as long as $1340 holds on closing basis. A daily close below $1340 will result in $1305 and $1284 respectively.
Happy Profitable Trading
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