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-- Posted Wednesday, 26 May 2004 | Digg This Article
THE INTERNATIONAL FORECASTER MAY 2004 (#4) Vol. 8 No. 5-4P. O. Box 510518, Punta Gorda, FL 33951 E-mail Addresses International_forecaster@yahoo.com (for correspondence) IF_distctr@yahoo.com (for information regarding your subscription or renewals) OUR NEW WEBSITE ADDRESS IS: www.theinternationalforecaster.com ** Receive an Introductory Copy of the IF -- See Below ** SUBSCRIPTION and RENEWAL INFORMATION: 1-YEAR $99.95 U. S. Funds. Make check payable to Robert Chapman (NOT International Forecaster), and mail to P.O. Box 510518, Punta Gorda, FL 33951. Please include name, address, telephone number and e-mail address. We accept Visa and MasterCard charges. Provide us with your card number and expiration date. We will charge your card $99.95 for a one-year subscription. Note: We publish twice a month by surface mail or 3-4 times a month by E-mail. Correspondence to Bob Chapman international_forecaster@yahoo.com, or for subscription information IF_distctr@yahoo.com. Foreigners please use foreign U.S. dollar denominated checks or Money Orders. ***** Our favorite Internet sites for gold and silver information are Goldseek.com, Silverseek.com and CapitalUpdates.com. ***** RADIO APPEARANCES We appear every other month on KFNN.COM - Sunday’s at 7:00 a.m. Mountain time on the Pat Gorman Business Program. We have been a regular for 15 years with Pat at Resource Consultants. He is a coin dealer and can be reached at 800-820-5905. My last appearance was on May 23rd, it will be re-run on May 30th. ***** I am a regular guest on the Genesis Communications Network family of programs. I am also asked to speak as a Guest Expert on various other national talk radio programs. Tune in to hear my latest analysis of current World events. For current information about my upcoming appearances on GCN or any national program, call: 1-800-686-2237 extension 347 for details, or go to www.gcnlive.com for live streaming from your computer. ***** US MARKETS As the Fed creates massive amounts of aggregates, the administration creates ever-larger deficits daily. There is no sign that either the Fed or the Bush neocons are going to ease up anytime soon. Irrespective of government statements, inflation is running at about 9.5%. Currently inflation is rising faster than interest rates and we expect that to continue as long as the Fed massively feeds the system and Mr. Bush and Congress create newer and bigger deficits. This is similar to the way it began in the late 1960s at the beginning of gold’s last great run. Today we have record budget and current account deficits that dwarf those of that period. Congress and the administration have no inclination to in any way cut spending and on top of that, we have perpetual war for perpetual peace. The stock market will top out finally this fall as the prolonged bear market rally is completed. If the Fed continues its madness as it did in the 1970s then interest rates could again reach a Fed fund level of 16.39%. We are currently at 1%. Today we have a nation that although they won’t admit it, lives in fear of its government. Where else today can you say something misinterpreted by an employer at an airport and be prosecuted? Where else can you have your phone tapped for writing the IF? Only in America. These are not universal values; these are the trappings of a police state. If you put all the above together you come up with a crisis and that is where we are headed. Exporting dollars is becoming a major American industry; $30 billion goes to Latin America every year and of that $14.5 billion goes to Mexico. Fifty percent of those sending funds home make $20,000 or less a year, but send home 10% of their income. The use of drugs to control attention deficit and hyperactivity problems in preschool children jumped 49% in the past three years. All children on ADHD drugs increased by 23% in children under five. The money being spent on ADHD is eclipsing spending on drugs for asthma and infections. At the same time, the use of antibiotics grew only 4.3%, while the use of antidepressants rose 21% and the use of medicines for autism and other conduct disorders jumped 71%. The most eye-popping change was a 369% increase in spending on ADHD drugs for children under five. Their parents are too lazy to deal with normal child behavior. New drugs, such as Strattera, Adderall and Concerta only require one dose in the morning and the kids are like zombies all day. It is estimated that almost 10% of American children are being poisoned with these drugs just so teachers won’t have to bother to correct them. By the time they are 10-15 years old they are ready for suicide. A federal advisory committee says Congress should pass laws to protect the civil liberties of Americans when the government sifts through computer records and data files for information about terrorists. A better idea of course is to terminate Patriot Acts I & II. Currently agencies are collecting and using personally identifiable information on persons for national security and law enforcement purposes. The programs are mirror images of the Pentagon program named, Total Information Awareness, now euphemistically known as, Terrorism Information Awareness, which makes each citizen a potential terrorist suspect. In data mining our government has no intention of protecting individual privacy. The only solution is to do away with Patriot Acts I & II. If we are going to have these Acts then Congress must pass legislation protecting our rights and demand court orders for data mining, search and seizure. What is happening is that anyone who speaks or writes negatively about government is subject to harassment and entrapment. We know because government has already tried unsuccessfully to use it against us. In our latest insanity, the US Postal Service is honoring EID Muslim holiday season with a commemorative first-class holiday postage stamp. The stamp should be boycotted. Get ready for the administration to blame the cost of energy for the fading of the recovery. The Fed and the Bush neocons were too early in their timing. They have nothing for an encore except not raising interest rates and the Fed pumping $2 to $3 trillion into the economy. The Bush neocons are well on their way to dismantling the anti-trust laws in our country. Mergers and acquisitions abound as the consolidation of companies continues leading to more and more concentration. Any strong company is fair game for internationalist corporatist interests. The profitable assets are removed, the carcass sold off and its employees left without jobs. Retirement funds and benefits are cut or lost, as is present and future healthcare. The mergers in telecommunications and the media are affected to kill the chance of any real news being reported. Halliburton, Bechtel and the Carlyle Group are running our country. There is no integrity left in journalism and anyone who reports the truth is hounded into silence. Today America is a scary place and we don’t see any improvement anytime soon. Surprisingly Alan Greenspan is going to stay as Chairman of the Fed, as he was re-nominated by George W. Bush. Due to offshoring and lower vehicle sales, major auto manufacturers are forcing contract houses to take a near 50% cut in billing rates or lose the business. New year will be a disastrous year for auto producers. More for subscribers.... GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM, PALLADIUM AND DIAMONDS The CFTC has found no evidence of manipulation of silver futures prices, as alleged by some investors. Of course, the evidence of manipulation is overwhelming. The commission had received over 500 letters and e-mails alleging a handful of market makers had colluded to suppress prices. The CFTC says supplies from mines and recycled scrap fell short of demand for the 15th straight year, with the gap widening to 72 million ounces. The Senate passed legislation last week 95-3 and sent it to the House, which would lower the capital gains tax on precious metals from 28 to 20%. It applies to collectibles such as gold, silver, platinum and palladium. This puts these metals on the same tax plain as stocks and bonds. JP Morgan Chase, Citibank and HSBC hold 99% of the US derivatives contracts for gold and other precious metals. JPM has 53.4%, Citibank 21.1% and HSBC 25.4%. In the last year, HSBC has increased their positions by 18.3%. All three banks represent the black nobility of Europe, the Illuminated ones. JPM has $41 billion worth of gold derivatives, at $390 an ounce, 105.4 million ounces of gold. The total value of contracts for the three banks is over $81 billion. About half, $40.2 billion, or 187 million ounces, which is 3,235 tons has one 1-year maturities or less. This kind of concentration is unheard of. If three brokers had these kinds of stock positions they would be put out of business. This is market manipulation, plain and simple. You buy stocks when nobody wants them. A survey by MBH Commodity for gold dropped to under 10% bulls on a 10-day basis, a record low number of bulls for the 17 years of the survey’s history. A correction from $420 to $375 is just a correction, not a collapse. It happens in all markets. In the shares it’s way over done. Most of the major of middle-tier producers are down 25-30% and exploration stocks are off 50-80%. Gold shares are purchased for the long haul. If you bought near the top, buy more. It is only a matter of time before the shares go back up as fast as they came down. More for subscribers.... AFRICA Only the Philippines and Hungry are more likely then South Africa of 17 emerging markets to run into a financial crisis. That is a 30% chance of a financial crisis in the next 12 months. In a crisis, the S. A. Reserve Bank would be incapable of defending the rand. They only have about $10 billion. Their current account deficit continues to expand as well. Again, this is not a good place to invest. That prominent pro Marxist Socialist Helen Suzman says after all the damage she caused that, “President Thabo Mbeki is anti-white, and she asserts that Parliamentary Democracy was better under Apartheid.” Are archliberals coming full circle? We hope so; we can use their help in our fight for freedom. Proportional representation is a disaster because it has given South Africa a one-party totalitarian Marxist state. She is not defending nor endorsing Apartheid, just pointing out the in place alternative is much, much worse. “The government spends like a drunken sailor and the poor are poorer then ever. Instead of investing in projects to give people jobs, they spend millions buying weapons, private jets and sending gifts to Haiti.” She also said, “Mugabe has destroyed Zimbabwe while S. Africa has stood by and done nothing. Mugabi’s being feted at the inauguration last month was an embarrassing disgrace. But, it served well to illustrate clearly Mbeki’s point of view. Mbeki admirers Mugabe for what he has done to whites, they both share an intense hatred of whites. Mbeki’s speeches all have an anti-white theme as he continues to convince everyone that there are two types of South African, the poor black and the rich white. Mbeki is not improving the lives of those who voted for him. His attitude toward Mugabe and to HIV/AIDS is the reason we are not getting the levels of foreign investment that we should.” Helen is correct and we couldn’t have said it any better. Unfortunately, we see no chance of improvement and a long slide down a slippery slope to oblivion. South Africa does not have democracy; it has racial dictatorial Marxist government. As a result of Helen Suzman’s championing of Marxism, caused both her children to leave the country. More for subscribers.... ** Receive an Introductory Copy of the IF -- See Below ** Full 27-page issue of this newsletter available to subscribers only
SUBSCRIPTION and RENEWAL INFORMATION: 1-YEAR $99.95 U. S. Funds. Make check payable to Robert Chapman (NOT International Forecaster), and mail to P.O. Box 510518, Punta Gorda, FL 33951. Please include name, address, telephone number and e-mail address. We accept Visa and MasterCard charges. Provide us with your card number and expiration date. We will charge your card $99.95 for a one-year subscription. Note: We publish twice a month by surface mail or 3-4 times a month by E-mail. Correspondence to Bob Chapman international_forecaster@yahoo.com, or for subscription information IF_distctr@yahoo.com. Foreigners please use foreign U.S. dollar denominated checks or Money Orders.
-- Posted Wednesday, 26 May 2004 | Digg This Article
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