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-- Posted Tuesday, 23 August 2005 | Digg This Article
THE INTERNATIONAL FORECASTER AUGUST 2005 (#3) Vol. 9 No. 8-3 P. O. Box 510518, Punta Gorda, FL 33951-0518 An international financial, economic, political and social commentary. Published and Edited by: Bob Chapman E-mail Addresses International_forecaster@yahoo.com (for correspondence) IF_distctr@yahoo.com (for information regarding your subscription or renewals) CHECK OUT OUR WEBSITE ADDRESS IS: www.theinternationalforecaster.com
US MARKETS New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson has declared a state of emergency for the N.M. border, saying the federal government has failed to act while people smugglers and drug runners terrorize local residents. Arizona’s Governor, Janet Napolitano is considering a similar move. Richardson’s executive order unlocks $1.8 million in state funds for border security projects. Richardson says the N.M. border “constitutes an emergency condition with potentially catastrophic consequences,” citing violence against law enforcement, property damage and increases in drug and people smuggling. If Richardson has a state of emergency having caught 30,000 illegal aliens, what does Janet Napolitano think with 510,876 arrests? This is a federal responsibility. The problem is our President, our Congress and corporate America refuse to address it to accommodate slave labor. The Governor of New Mexico should not have to spend $1.8 million of the taxes of New Mexicans to stop this onslaught. Our President and our Congress are a disgrace to this nation. You no doubt know that CAFTA lost in the House by just two votes, however did you know the two members were Rep. Charles Taylor from North Carolina, who said he voted no, but his vote was not counted. The other member was Rep. Jo Ann Davis of New Hampshire. She was present on the floor but was listed as not voting. She has just stated her votes was also no. The House Parliamentarian was contacted and said if there had been a tie vote the measure would have been considered as having failed. We had the vote stolen and there has to be something that can be done about it. The talk in Washington is that Iran needs to be invaded to keep it from developing nuclear weapons when the real reasons are similar to those in Iraq. Take over the oil, set up another strategic position in the Middle East, placate Israel and stop the new Iranian commodity exchange from trading oil in euros, which will destroy the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. The nuking of Iran is really all about economics and resources. It is about petro-dollar recycling. It has nothing to do with WMD, a nuclear program or fighting international terrorism. This is part of the same operation planned for Iraq in the late 1980s and early 1990s; the installation of pro-US governments and military bases before the onset of peak oil. In Iraq to stop selling oil in euros and in Iran to make sure their commodity exchange never opens. All this has to be consolidated by the onslaught of peak oil. Russia is contemplating selling oil in euros. Will the neocons stretched as they are militarily, dare to attack Russia? Very few people realize that in September 2000 Saddam Hussein switched from dollars to euros for oil payment. The US invaded and in June 2003 Iraq switched back to selling oil in dollars. There was no mention of this in the media, as usual. Iran’s opening of a Bourse for oil in euros is far more serious a matter then just selling oil in euros. It is now expected that trading will commence in March 2006 in conjunction with the NY, NYMEX and London’s IPE in regard to oil trades. The NYMEX and the IPE are controlled by international oil companies and by elitists. This exchange allows the euro to gain a firm foothold in the international oil trade. This is seen by US elitists as an encroachment on dollar supremacy and with the weakness of the dollar over the last few years and its negative future due to the wars and current account deficit and debt, trading oil in euros by Iran would soon end the dollar’s vaunted position as the world’s reserve currency. As we write working drafts are being circulated within the administration that layout the neocon invasion and occupation strategy. By using drafts they evade congressional subpoenas and the Freedom of Information Act keeping their intentions away from Congress and the people. Not that Congress gives a hoot – 95% of them are bought and paid for. The new scenario for Iran is the same as it was for Iraq, which has been a failure. Half of the military thinks the neocons are insane, the other half unfortunately go along with this foolish program. Another reason for the Iran program again is it is to be used as a cover for the failing financial system. The neocons know the viability of the US economy is nearing an end. If you look at history you can see the war tactic is used over and over as cover for economic and financial dislocation. Once Iran is allowed to set a new crude oil market with the euro it will only be a matter of time before the dollar takes a secondary position. That is only natural because as we pointed out before the EU imports as much oil from the Middle East as the US does and the EU supplies 45% of Middle East imports. What will the Fed do when billions of dollars start streaming into the US? The real bottom line is that the Fed will no longer be able to flood the world with dollar assets, namely US Treasury, bills, notes and bonds. That will result in a further fall in the value of the dollar, a precipitous fall. That is why almost all your assets should be in gold related asset; as the dollar falls versus gold – as gold rises – it will rise against all other currencies and remain the only real money. It should also be noted that late last year Russia and China inked a $100 billion oil and gas agreement and that China receives 13% of its oil from Iran. If you remember the US terminated all the previous foreign oil deals Iraq had after the invasion. We do not believe China will sit still for the US taking 13% of their oil imports. Incidentally, the nullification of those Iraq contracts cost the EU countries, Russia and China $1.1 trillion and we still see those events affecting politics and diplomacy between the US and those countries that effectively had their oil stolen. Any attack and occupation of Iran would create a crisis if not war between the neocons and China. We have to believe the neocons would do the same thing in Iran as they did in Iraq. It should also be considered that Iran has major military capabilities. Shock and awe are not going to work as well as they did in Iraq. Iran also controls the Straights of Hormuz with their new missile system. All Persian Gulf bound oil tankers must pass through these straights. An Iranian adventure is liable to prove disastrous for the US militarily, economically and financially. Regime change in Iran will guarantee an escalation of terrorism on a scale unimagined. It is evident that an attack on Iran would be solely a US-Israeli operation because the neocons do not have a ghost of a chance of getting a resolution passed in the UN Security Council, which includes China, Russia, France and Germany. If the US and Israel go it alone, the other important nations of the world might abandon the dollar in retaliation. That would definitely cause oil to be quoted in euros. That would kill the dollar as the world reserve currency. It would also cause other nations to absorb 30% to 50% losses and it would send gold straight out of sight. The moves by the neocons should be recognized for what they are and that is a desperate attempt to dominate the world’s largest oil supplies. As we have said often before, desperate people do desperate things. America’s mercenary Army is taking on the appearance of Roman Legions of two-thousand years ago. A US company out of Ecuador has signed up 1,000 Colombian police and military staff to work as hired guns in Iraq for less than 50% of what US soldiers are paid. We are sure they were not told that two-thirds of those who are not killed in battle will die of depleted uranium poisoning and die horrible agonizing deaths. These hired killers are paid $2,500 to $5,000 a month, half of what US and British mercenaries are paid. We would like to again point out that in 2003 and the first quarter of 2004 the Japanese created 35 trillion yen, which is about 1% of the world’s annual economic output. It was used to buy US dollars and forestalled a dollar collapse. The rebound allowed the reelection of George W. Bush and, of course, it was not in Japan’s best interests. This shows you, as we pointed out before, Japan made a deal after WWII – you do what we say and we will keep you in political power and you get to keep half of what you stole from Asians, most of whom you murdered. Japan has no independence - they take orders from Washington. They are a military protectorate or a colony of the US. Japan underwrites American economic and foreign policy. GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM, PALLADIUM AND DIAMONDS It looks as though the ECB has exceeded the European Bank Gold Sales agreement of 500 tons a year by 6.3 tons. These limits have been exceeded before. There are six weeks left to the end of the fiscal year on 9/26/05 and there should be no more sales from them. ***** SUBSCRIPTION and RENEWAL INFORMATION: 1-YEAR $129.95 U.S. Funds. Make check payable to Robert Chapman (NOT International Forecaster), and mail to P.O. Box 510518, Punta Gorda, FL 33951-0518. Please include name, address, telephone number and e-mail address. We accept Visa and MasterCard charges. Provide us with your card number and expiration date. We will charge your card US$129.95 for a one-year subscription. Note: We publish twice a month by surface mail or 3-4 times a month by E-mail. Correspondence to Bob Chapman international_forecaster@yahoo.com, or for subscription information IF_distctr@yahoo.com Foreigners please use foreign U.S. dollar denominated checks or Money Orders.
-- Posted Tuesday, 23 August 2005 | Digg This Article
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