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Gold Juniors ETF Ought To Lift This Whole Asset Class

By: Peter Cooper, Arabian Money


-- Posted Thursday, 14 January 2010 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | | Source: GoldSeek.com

The first-ever gold juniors exchange traded fund is only two months old but already attracting attention among investors. Its owners will be hoping that Van Eck’s GDXJ will map the progress of gold ETFs like GLD in promoting its asset class.

 

GLD owns more physical gold than many countries, and has been a major force in making gold easy and cheap to own, without the problems of security and storage. Buyers can own their gold online in a brokerage account and trade it instantly at anytime.

 

Gold juniors

 

For those unfamiliar with smaller gold and silver stocks these divide into metal producers and explorers, and many mix both activities. They are a devil to analyze as data is hard to verify and the claims made by the companies always over-hyped.

 

However, in past gold booms the real money has been made by investing in these junior stocks, so long as you stick your pin in the right place. Thousand-fold increases are common when a junior finds gold, but then very few do.

 

On the other hand, the juniors are highly leveraged to a rising gold price. Exploration companies own claims to mineral rights on parcels of land, and these claims surge exponentially in value in a gold boom, whether or not there is actually any gold in them there hills.

 

In theory then owning the juniors is the very thing to do if you are confident that a big hike in the gold and silver price lies ahead. You have leverage to the price of precious metals without actually having any leverage in the form of debt.

 

2010 golden year

 

And for 2010 we have experts from Merrill Lynch to Goldman Sachs and gold bugs like Jim Sinclair saying that this is year is great for gold.

 

But if you are not confident about picking winners among the juniors then the diversification offered by the GDXJ is a neat way out. Van Eck has invested GDXJ in 56 small caps from larger firms like Hecla and New Gold to the more obscure like Hong Kong traded LingBao Gold.

 

That said if GDXJ performs well the real winners will still be some individual smaller gold and silver companies. For if GDXJ proves as popular this year as it probably will be then this will also be the making of fortunes in some individual junior stocks that presently lie in obscurity.

 

GDXJ’s success will attract investor attention back to this largely forgotten asset class. And GDXJ will pay the price of diversification by missing the biggest killings.


-- Posted Thursday, 14 January 2010 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com


About Peter Cooper:
Oxford University educated financial journalist Peter Cooper found himself made redundant by Emap plc in London in the mid-1990s and decided to rebuild his career in Dubai as launch editor of the pioneering magazine Gulf Business. He returned briefly to London in 1999 to complete his first book, a history of the Bovis construction group.

Then in 2000 he went back to Dubai to become an Internet entrepreneur, just as the dot-com market crashed. But he stumbled across the opportunity to become a partner in www.ameinfo.com, which later became the Middle East's leading English language business news website.

Over the course of the next seven years he had a ringside seat as editor-in-chief writing about the remarkable transformation of Dubai into a global business and financial hub city. At the same time www.ameinfo.com prospered and was sold in 2006 to Emap plc for $27 million, completing the career circle back to where it began a decade earlier.

He remains a lively commentator and columnist as a freelance journalist based in Dubai and travels extensively each summer with his wife Svetlana. His financial blog www.arabianmoney.net is attracting increasing attention with its focus on investment in gold and silver as a means of prospering during a time of great consumer price inflation and asset price deflation.

Order my book online from this link




 



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