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Is Soros Buying Gold Ready For The ‘Ultimate Bubble’?

By: Peter Cooper, Arabian Money


-- Posted Friday, 29 January 2010 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! | | Source: GoldSeek.com

Given the moves by rival hedge fund managers like John Paulson into the yellow metal, it would be surprising if that living trading legend George Soros is not buying gold at the moment.

 

Indeed, you should always buy when this man hints he might be selling. His comments at the World Economic Forum in Davos this week seem classic trader double-speak. What does Soros mean when he says gold is the ‘ultimate bubble’ asset class?

 

False prophets

 

Newspapers like the normally sensible Daily Telegraph fell for his ruse, immediately jumping the gun to a prediction about a massive tumble for the yellow metal. Yet Soros said no such thing.

 

He merely pointed out what even the most ardent gold bug would concede. Namely that if you study the history of financial crises then the credit-induced asset price inflation that causes them moves from one asset class to another until it reaches gold as the ‘ultimate bubble’ or the last of the bubbles.

 

Soros did not say that we are nearing that position with gold around $1,080, having last month touched $1,226 an ounce. What he did create was a buying opportunity, presumably for funds controlled by himself.

 

For why should gold be running out of steam at this point? Even if credit growth slows the gold market is still so small that only the tiniest fraction of this money is required to send the price much higher.

 

Trader talk

 

Soros knows that. He also knows that gold prices show no sign of the parabolic spike that we saw in oil prices in July 2008. Surely the next most obvious spike will be in bond prices – when the current stock market sell off really gets moving.

 

Only after the bond bubble has blown up will gold become a candidate for the next bubble, and given the relative sizes of the bond market and the gold market that could be one humdinger of an ‘ultimate bubble’.

 

Soros is playing his own book in Davos. Gold investors should not be alarmed but take some delight in what he is saying.


-- Posted Friday, 29 January 2010 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com


About Peter Cooper:
Oxford University educated financial journalist Peter Cooper found himself made redundant by Emap plc in London in the mid-1990s and decided to rebuild his career in Dubai as launch editor of the pioneering magazine Gulf Business. He returned briefly to London in 1999 to complete his first book, a history of the Bovis construction group.

Then in 2000 he went back to Dubai to become an Internet entrepreneur, just as the dot-com market crashed. But he stumbled across the opportunity to become a partner in www.ameinfo.com, which later became the Middle East's leading English language business news website.

Over the course of the next seven years he had a ringside seat as editor-in-chief writing about the remarkable transformation of Dubai into a global business and financial hub city. At the same time www.ameinfo.com prospered and was sold in 2006 to Emap plc for $27 million, completing the career circle back to where it began a decade earlier.

He remains a lively commentator and columnist as a freelance journalist based in Dubai and travels extensively each summer with his wife Svetlana. His financial blog www.arabianmoney.net is attracting increasing attention with its focus on investment in gold and silver as a means of prospering during a time of great consumer price inflation and asset price deflation.

Order my book online from this link




 



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